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Author: [College Football] Topic: 2012 Vegasbuster W1 Picks
Vegasbuster send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#1
Posted: 6/27/2012 1:42:17 AM
A little early, but here you go:

Duke over Florida International
Virginia Tech over Georgia Tech
North Carolina St over Tennessee
Alabama over Michigan
Ohio St over Miami-OH
Central Florida over Akron
Ball St over Eastern Michigan
South Carolina over Vanderbilt
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#2
Posted: 6/27/2012 1:54:35 AM

why?

the only one on my list is UCF over Akron...all the rest are no plays for me...good luck...
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#3
Posted: 6/28/2012 10:04:12 PM
Why not?

Not trying to go undefeated, just trying to go 5-3 at a minimum this week.
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#4
Posted: 6/28/2012 10:20:17 PM
tell me why you like Ohio St over Miami...Do you think Urban Meyer will make a statement.   Ohio St has done surprisingly well as a home favorite the last 2 years...treadwell is a good coach ahd Dysert seems to be good by MAC standards...Ohio St D should be really good.  Will Braxton Miller be able to put points on the board.  I have the spread at Ohio St -28...Your thoughts...
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#5
Posted: 6/28/2012 10:50:09 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by LonghornHoosier:

tell me why you like Ohio St over Miami...Do you think Urban Meyer will make a statement.   Ohio St has done surprisingly well as a home favorite the last 2 years...treadwell is a good coach ahd Dysert seems to be good by MAC standards...Ohio St D should be really good.  Will Braxton Miller be able to put points on the board.  I have the spread at Ohio St -28...Your thoughts...

Comparing his team at Ohio State with his first year at Florida:

Zook had amassed a very good talent base at UF, but his coaching left a lot to be desired. When Meyer stepped in, he was trying to incorporate his spread-style offense with a pro-style returning QB in Chris Leake. Tebow didn't arrive until 2006 so he couldn't fully implement his offensive style because Leake was passer 1st, 2nd and 3rd. This Ohio State team is much closer, talent-wise, to what Meyer wants to do offensively than UF was in 2005 and Meyer won the BCSNC the following year. Braxton Miller had a very good season at QB with over 700 yards rushing and 1150 yards passing and 20 total TDs. I expect his offense to put up some good numbers immediately.

As far as defense goes, Ohio State returns 9 starters on defense that saw an uncharacteristic 21ppg allow in 2011. They only returned 4 starters on the defensive side of the ball LY, and when you couple that with the offensive struggles (318ppg on O) with Pryor exiting the program, it put a lot of pressure on them. They should be back to a 12-14 ppg D in 2012.

I'm expecting a 45-10 score.
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#6
Posted: 6/28/2012 11:02:48 PM
Love Ohio St over Miami  
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#7
Posted: 6/29/2012 12:28:22 AM
of all your picks, I really like UCF and Ohio St...what do you think the opening spread will be for those two games...I'm think -18 for UCF and -24 for Ohio St...your thoughts?
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#8
Posted: 6/29/2012 1:15:24 AM
I think Ohio St will be around 27-28 and UCF will be between 21-25
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#9
Posted: 6/29/2012 10:40:15 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Vegasbuster:

A little early, but here you go:

Duke over Florida International
Virginia Tech over Georgia Tech
North Carolina St over Tennessee
Alabama over Michigan
Ohio St over Miami-OH
Central Florida over Akron
Ball St over Eastern Michigan
South Carolina over Vanderbilt
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#10
Posted: 6/29/2012 5:31:31 PM
Why South Caro over Vandy? Vandy a 9-10 point underdog at home on a Thursday night. You like SC that much to lay DD on the road?
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#11
Posted: 6/29/2012 8:19:54 PM
There isn't much about like or disliking for my picks.

I have everything laid out with several criteria. I drop every matchup into my spreadsheets and it'll give me anywhere from 8-12 games per week. I'm betting them all across the board with the same on each.

This year, I'm probably going with 4 or 5 units per game with my goal being around +8 to 10 units per week and +56 to +70 units for the season.
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#12
Posted: 6/29/2012 8:41:00 PM
understood. BOL this year 
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#13
Posted: 6/29/2012 8:50:24 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Vegasbuster:

+56 to +70 units for the season.

garbage that was wrong : +112 to +140 units for the season.
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#14
Posted: 6/30/2012 1:16:55 AM
I Like Miami Oh, Tennessee and EMU 

if u go the other way you should be 3-0
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#15
Posted: 7/2/2012 6:31:50 PM
i really think ball state could be good in the MAC this year, 


HOPING they are +28 against clemson in wk 2
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#16
Posted: 7/7/2012 4:16:24 PM
Can't miss pick go with tn vols the surprise team this year you heard it here first......
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#17
Posted: 7/7/2012 11:34:52 PM
bol vegas!  

I believe sc has a tremendous run on covering opening day, correct?  like the last 4 in a row or something?
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#18
Posted: 8/18/2012 8:59:03 PM
Missed on some better lines, but here is what I have: 

South Carolina -7 
Ball State -3.5 
UCF -23.5 
Alabama -12.5 
Ohio State -22.5 
NC State +3.5 
Duke -4 
Virginia Tech -7 

All for: $400/$363 
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#19
Posted: 8/19/2012 9:27:22 AM
Love Bama/OSU/UCF- got some great defenses there that in all 3 cases very easily could hold there opponents under 14.  I follow the big ten teams very close and Michigan will have a very difficult time scoring with there offense (yes Robinson can break one but i do not see how they sustain drives because lets be realistic here much like my team(nebraska) Michigan does not have a good enough qb throwing the ball if they get in a hole.  I live right in Columbus ohio and OSU as much as it pains me to say it will have a good yr.  Still question marks on the same thing as robinson/taylor martinez- unreal athleticism but can he really throw the ball.  Its the OSU def that makes me love this one and Miller can rely on out classing Miami, he won't be relied apron to beat them with his arm.  Akron with a horrid def last yr and losing there top def player coming up against a very athletic UCF team who returns there backs and line mainly should be able to run at will and snag a few turnovers to create a short field and they could pitch a shutout.  The question here would be can they get to 30 and in my opinion thats a def yes.  

Like Vtech- again you got an experienced QB back and a solid defense and GT as good as there offense can be will have a garbage defense and Bud Foster having the whole off season to prepare will def help.

Not to keen on SCAR, I think Vandy is on the rise and keeps this game ugly and close.  

No real opinion on Ball St/Duke/NCST (to many things you have to assume on the side of Tenn for me)

Looking forward to the season and ready to start the contest Vegas good luck.
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#20
Posted: 8/19/2012 11:48:33 AM
I'm setting up the spreadsheets right now for the 21 guys who said they were in. I'll start a new post with the list of players later tonight..
Posted using a mobile device.
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#21
Posted: 8/19/2012 8:26:30 PM
Don't sell the MAC short. If they are +25 or more dogs, give them a serious look.
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#22
Posted: 8/19/2012 8:36:06 PM
Just locked in Ohio State -22.5. I agree that B Miller is athletic but does have a questionable arm. I expect these two a days NFL style practices accompanied with the acquisition of Urban Meyer to be beneficial for Braxton as he becomes a more talented, polished QB... Especially week 1 at home
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#23
Posted: 8/23/2012 4:03:26 PM
Best of Luck 
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#24
Posted: 9/2/2012 12:10:35 AM
5-2 with VT pending..

USCe -7
NCSt +3.5 
UCF -23.5 
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#25
Posted: 9/2/2012 12:12:47 AM
Damned iPhone..

Winners: UCF, Ohio St, Ball St, Alabama, Duke
Losers: NCSt & USCe

Pending: VT -7
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