Nice night again withe the O's cashing last night at home against NY in the extra frame.
Tonight I have a totals play tonight in the Detroit/Cleveland game. There are thunderstorms that will be scattered in that area tonight, but worse comes to worse Veralnder gets yanked after a rain delay.
Play the over 8.0ov -115. If its not raining the wind should be blowing to dead right field with a game time temp of 75.
The headline tonight tonight appears to be pitching as Verlander goes for Detroit and Jimenez for the Tribe. Other then the headline for sportswriters, I am not expecting to see any good pitching at all tonight. Both of these starters are terrible in this situation form a technical (handicapping perspective) and situational angle.
Tigers top hitters vs Jimenez have a carrer OBP of almost .450! That is insane. Despite the nice 3-2 records on the year Jimenez has over a 9 era at home. I am aware he had a good outing in Detroit on May 11, but I view that as extra incentive for Tigers to hit him tonight having just seen his stuff about two weeks ago.
Verlander in his last 3 outings has a whip of 1.57 and an ERA of 6.75. His last outing he was shelled for 8 runs @ Texas and I am thinking that may have been something more then just a bad day at the office (no further comment.)
The Indians have been one team this year that has been very good against opposition #1 pitchers (Verlander is a 2, but in reality he is a 1 anywhere else.) Although Swisher will not be in the line-up tonight, and he has pasted Verlander...the rest of the Tribe line-up has an avg OBP of almost .350 against him.
Play the over 8 -115, runs early....and quite often....
GL!
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Nice night again withe the O's cashing last night at home against NY in the extra frame.
Tonight I have a totals play tonight in the Detroit/Cleveland game. There are thunderstorms that will be scattered in that area tonight, but worse comes to worse Veralnder gets yanked after a rain delay.
Play the over 8.0ov -115. If its not raining the wind should be blowing to dead right field with a game time temp of 75.
The headline tonight tonight appears to be pitching as Verlander goes for Detroit and Jimenez for the Tribe. Other then the headline for sportswriters, I am not expecting to see any good pitching at all tonight. Both of these starters are terrible in this situation form a technical (handicapping perspective) and situational angle.
Tigers top hitters vs Jimenez have a carrer OBP of almost .450! That is insane. Despite the nice 3-2 records on the year Jimenez has over a 9 era at home. I am aware he had a good outing in Detroit on May 11, but I view that as extra incentive for Tigers to hit him tonight having just seen his stuff about two weeks ago.
Verlander in his last 3 outings has a whip of 1.57 and an ERA of 6.75. His last outing he was shelled for 8 runs @ Texas and I am thinking that may have been something more then just a bad day at the office (no further comment.)
The Indians have been one team this year that has been very good against opposition #1 pitchers (Verlander is a 2, but in reality he is a 1 anywhere else.) Although Swisher will not be in the line-up tonight, and he has pasted Verlander...the rest of the Tribe line-up has an avg OBP of almost .350 against him.
Play the over 8 -115, runs early....and quite often....
6-2 in the 3rd. This game is going way OVER! I wish I would've seen your post sooner. All of my games seem to be extremely stressful. I had TOR earlier and finally got a walk off win. I am usually on the other end. Congrats on a great pick! I will be looking for you tomorrow!
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6-2 in the 3rd. This game is going way OVER! I wish I would've seen your post sooner. All of my games seem to be extremely stressful. I had TOR earlier and finally got a walk off win. I am usually on the other end. Congrats on a great pick! I will be looking for you tomorrow!
I was all over this Over as well "m"...get the same feeling regarding the StL/SD game currently at 8!!!
Rookie pitcher vs rookie pitcher...Cards with the MLB's best run differential after a 10run outburst last night...Freese back for Cards and Padres scoring/winning at home...
OVER 8 -110 (QUITE LARGE)
GL and good call...
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I was all over this Over as well "m"...get the same feeling regarding the StL/SD game currently at 8!!!
Rookie pitcher vs rookie pitcher...Cards with the MLB's best run differential after a 10run outburst last night...Freese back for Cards and Padres scoring/winning at home...
I was all over this Over as well "m"...get the same feeling regarding the StL/SD game currently at 8!!!
Rookie pitcher vs rookie pitcher...Cards with the MLB's best run differential after a 10run outburst last night...Freese back for Cards and Padres scoring/winning at home...
OVER 8 -110 (QUITE LARGE)
NO! I like Padres under 8. Burch is a damn good pitcher, who is improving every game. He has an un-hit-able cut fastball, but has gotten behind in a few counts that wound up in long balls. Don't be fooled by his numbers, he throws in the mid-90's and his cut/fast ball moves like an SOB. If he is on, he can no hit teams. Avoid this one.
GL and good call...
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Quote Originally Posted by veenhuis:
I was all over this Over as well "m"...get the same feeling regarding the StL/SD game currently at 8!!!
Rookie pitcher vs rookie pitcher...Cards with the MLB's best run differential after a 10run outburst last night...Freese back for Cards and Padres scoring/winning at home...
OVER 8 -110 (QUITE LARGE)
NO! I like Padres under 8. Burch is a damn good pitcher, who is improving every game. He has an un-hit-able cut fastball, but has gotten behind in a few counts that wound up in long balls. Don't be fooled by his numbers, he throws in the mid-90's and his cut/fast ball moves like an SOB. If he is on, he can no hit teams. Avoid this one.
I was all over this Over as well "m"...get the same feeling regarding the StL/SD game currently at 8!!!
Rookie pitcher vs rookie pitcher...Cards with the MLB's best run differential after a 10run outburst last night...Freese back for Cards and Padres scoring/winning at home...
OVER 8 -110 (QUITE LARGE)
GL and good call...
NO! I like don't likesd/stl over 8. Burch is a damn good pitcher, who is improving every game. He has an un-hit-able cut fastball, but has gotten behind in a few counts that wound up in long balls. Don't be fooled by his numbers, he throws in the mid-90's and his cut/fast ball moves like an SOB. If he is on, he can no hit teams. Avoid this one.
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Quote Originally Posted by veenhuis:
I was all over this Over as well "m"...get the same feeling regarding the StL/SD game currently at 8!!!
Rookie pitcher vs rookie pitcher...Cards with the MLB's best run differential after a 10run outburst last night...Freese back for Cards and Padres scoring/winning at home...
OVER 8 -110 (QUITE LARGE)
GL and good call...
NO! I like don't likesd/stl over 8. Burch is a damn good pitcher, who is improving every game. He has an un-hit-able cut fastball, but has gotten behind in a few counts that wound up in long balls. Don't be fooled by his numbers, he throws in the mid-90's and his cut/fast ball moves like an SOB. If he is on, he can no hit teams. Avoid this one.
Im catching what you're dropping brother, and after a few more starts, i might agree with you a little more strongly...but right now, he is still finding his game and against a VERY HOT STL team, he will give up runs IMO. His last start was against a WAS team whose offense right now would struggle against college pitching!!! And I'm confident that SD puts up 4-5 vs a rook in his major league debut on the road???? This game could easily reach double digits in the first 5...
Play is locked...feeling good about it...but appreciate the opinion amigo
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Im catching what you're dropping brother, and after a few more starts, i might agree with you a little more strongly...but right now, he is still finding his game and against a VERY HOT STL team, he will give up runs IMO. His last start was against a WAS team whose offense right now would struggle against college pitching!!! And I'm confident that SD puts up 4-5 vs a rook in his major league debut on the road???? This game could easily reach double digits in the first 5...
Play is locked...feeling good about it...but appreciate the opinion amigo
according to the hourly weather report based on the zip code of the stadium, there is a 5% chance of rain at 10pm cleveland and 0% chance at 11 and midnight there. This game looks like it can be completed in its entirety with 20mph winds. Tailed you on this one because bother pitchers haven't been that great, but most importantly great call on that wind blowing, appreciate it
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according to the hourly weather report based on the zip code of the stadium, there is a 5% chance of rain at 10pm cleveland and 0% chance at 11 and midnight there. This game looks like it can be completed in its entirety with 20mph winds. Tailed you on this one because bother pitchers haven't been that great, but most importantly great call on that wind blowing, appreciate it
I was all over this Over as well "m"...get the same feeling regarding the StL/SD game currently at 8!!!
Rookie pitcher vs rookie pitcher...Cards with the MLB's best run differential after a 10run outburst last night...Freese back for Cards and Padres scoring/winning at home...
OVER 8 -110 (QUITE LARGE)
GL and good call...
careful with the over play on the padres/cardinals game. Heavy, heavy money on the cards/padres over 8, stands at 92% tabulating over 17,000 bets for this game. I'm hoping that 6 runs will be scored by the time the 5th inning ends, to pound that under 3 2nd half betting on heritage
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Quote Originally Posted by veenhuis:
I was all over this Over as well "m"...get the same feeling regarding the StL/SD game currently at 8!!!
Rookie pitcher vs rookie pitcher...Cards with the MLB's best run differential after a 10run outburst last night...Freese back for Cards and Padres scoring/winning at home...
OVER 8 -110 (QUITE LARGE)
GL and good call...
careful with the over play on the padres/cardinals game. Heavy, heavy money on the cards/padres over 8, stands at 92% tabulating over 17,000 bets for this game. I'm hoping that 6 runs will be scored by the time the 5th inning ends, to pound that under 3 2nd half betting on heritage
careful with the over play on the padres/cardinals game. Heavy, heavy money on the cards/padres over 8, stands at 92% tabulating over 17,000 bets for this game. I'm hoping that 6 runs will be scored by the time the 5th inning ends, to pound that under 3 2nd half betting on heritage
I have no play n the game. But I actually watched the Nats/Padres game the other night and think that Burch is WAY under-rated because his numbers look big... but he is young and got his first home and road start under his belt... Now he can relax and pitch. SD is a giant ballpark, so good Defense is always concerning on totals.
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Quote Originally Posted by TheCrow:
careful with the over play on the padres/cardinals game. Heavy, heavy money on the cards/padres over 8, stands at 92% tabulating over 17,000 bets for this game. I'm hoping that 6 runs will be scored by the time the 5th inning ends, to pound that under 3 2nd half betting on heritage
I have no play n the game. But I actually watched the Nats/Padres game the other night and think that Burch is WAY under-rated because his numbers look big... but he is young and got his first home and road start under his belt... Now he can relax and pitch. SD is a giant ballpark, so good Defense is always concerning on totals.
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