Athletics Line Movement..

Forum: MLB Betting
Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: Athletics Line Movement..
str8shot PM str8shot
Joined: Jul 2010
Posts: 374
 
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Posted: 8/20/2012 10:52:41 PM
Can someone explain why it opened -155 and closed at -195 and the A's are getting creamed Twins lead 4-0... Ive noticed when the "public" is on one side they get crushed another example the mets today.. are umps squeezing the strike zone?
BigRich72 PM BigRich72
Joined: Aug 2012
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Louisiana
 
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Posted: 8/20/2012 10:55:35 PM
game is still in the second inning.... after that angels collapse this weekend i watch till the very last pitch
Onthereal PM Onthereal
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Maryland
 
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Posted: 8/20/2012 10:55:38 PM
Line movement will kill you in bases, just cap the game. 
bushman9 PM bushman9
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New York
 
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Posted: 8/20/2012 10:58:07 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by str8shot:

Can someone explain why it opened -155 and closed at -195 and the A's are getting creamed Twins lead 4-0... Ive noticed when the "public" is on one side they get crushed another example the mets today.. are umps squeezing the strike zone?


Keep observing games for a while.  You will see games with high percentages on one side win some and lose some.  If it was as easy as your saying everyone would "fade the public" and win.  Some years underdogs hit at a better rate and some years favorites do. 
CoverLane PM CoverLane
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Posted: 8/20/2012 10:59:47 PM
I think the umps control the line movements....the more they squeeze the strike zone the higher up the favorite juice goes.
fullabs11 PM fullabs11
Joined: Jun 2012
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Connecticut
 
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Posted: 8/20/2012 11:08:57 PM
Little moves, 10 or 20 bucks is a good sign. I notice huge action is almost always wrong. Look at total on dbacks game. Dropped a lot and gave it a lot of juice heavily favoring the under. It's over not even half way through. Angela the other night changed 40 bucks and built a lead then got drilled. I see it a lot.
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Pasteur PM Pasteur
Joined: Jul 2012
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North Carolina
 
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Posted: 8/20/2012 11:17:00 PM
line makers play the psychology game with the public.  "Oh my gosh, if the line is steaming that far up Oakland MUST be the right play!" 

Just ignore it and cap the game.  I've learned this the hard way myself
str8shot PM str8shot
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Posted: 8/21/2012 2:01:12 AM
Great Stuff thanks guys
pinballwizard PM pinballwizard
Joined: Jun 2009
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Canada
 
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Posted: 8/21/2012 6:22:50 AM
Thanks for what? Oakland got friggin smoked!!!! 
HutchEmAll PM HutchEmAll
Joined: Jan 2004
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Minnesota
 
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Posted: 8/21/2012 3:37:58 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Pasteur:

line makers play the psychology game with the public.  "Oh my gosh, if the line is steaming that far up Oakland MUST be the right play!" 

Just ignore it and cap the game.  I've learned this the hard way myself

Really?  Juice the line by 30 more cents to incite more action on Oakland?  Are you really this insane?

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