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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: Athletics Line Movement..
str8shot send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
str8shot
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#1
Posted: 8/20/2012 10:52:41 PM
Can someone explain why it opened -155 and closed at -195 and the A's are getting creamed Twins lead 4-0... Ive noticed when the "public" is on one side they get crushed another example the mets today.. are umps squeezing the strike zone?
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BigRich72 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
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#2
Posted: 8/20/2012 10:55:35 PM
game is still in the second inning.... after that angels collapse this weekend i watch till the very last pitch
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Onthereal send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#3
Posted: 8/20/2012 10:55:38 PM
Line movement will kill you in bases, just cap the game. 
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bushman9 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#4
Posted: 8/20/2012 10:58:07 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by str8shot:

Can someone explain why it opened -155 and closed at -195 and the A's are getting creamed Twins lead 4-0... Ive noticed when the "public" is on one side they get crushed another example the mets today.. are umps squeezing the strike zone?


Keep observing games for a while.  You will see games with high percentages on one side win some and lose some.  If it was as easy as your saying everyone would "fade the public" and win.  Some years underdogs hit at a better rate and some years favorites do. 
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CoverLane send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#5
Posted: 8/20/2012 10:59:47 PM
I think the umps control the line movements....the more they squeeze the strike zone the higher up the favorite juice goes.
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fullabs11 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#6
Posted: 8/20/2012 11:08:57 PM
Little moves, 10 or 20 bucks is a good sign. I notice huge action is almost always wrong. Look at total on dbacks game. Dropped a lot and gave it a lot of juice heavily favoring the under. It's over not even half way through. Angela the other night changed 40 bucks and built a lead then got drilled. I see it a lot.
Posted using a mobile device.
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Pasteur
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Pasteur
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#7
Posted: 8/20/2012 11:17:00 PM
line makers play the psychology game with the public.  "Oh my gosh, if the line is steaming that far up Oakland MUST be the right play!" 

Just ignore it and cap the game.  I've learned this the hard way myself
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str8shot send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#8
Posted: 8/21/2012 2:01:12 AM
Great Stuff thanks guys
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pinballwizard send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
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#9
Posted: 8/21/2012 6:22:50 AM
Thanks for what? Oakland got friggin smoked!!!! 
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HutchEmAll send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#10
Posted: 8/21/2012 3:37:58 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Pasteur:

line makers play the psychology game with the public.  "Oh my gosh, if the line is steaming that far up Oakland MUST be the right play!" 

Just ignore it and cap the game.  I've learned this the hard way myself

Really?  Juice the line by 30 more cents to incite more action on Oakland?  Are you really this insane?

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