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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: SJSharks - Monday Bases
SJSharks99 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#1
Posted: 8/20/2012 12:51:16 AM
Sunday 3-3: Could have been worst, could have been better, but none the less a split. Ended up turning a slight profit on the day with all 3 wins being + money plays (2 dogs and 1 RL). Hopefully last weeks profitable one rolls into Monday and this week.


71-46 Last 117 (60.6%)


48-29 Last 77 (62.3%)



Season:169-155-4
ML: 93-82
RL: 28-14
Totals: 34-45-3
Props: 13-14-1


I have given up on totals, they are hands down my weakest point when it comes to baseball. I might dabble into team totals a bit more, but I have absolutely no desire to play combined game totals anymore. I also am probably gonna be looking into playing more RLs since they have treated me well this season. It would be pretty foolish to continue playing something I am struggling with and ignore something that's been going well.


Monday Bases


Mets RL (+100): I initially had concerns on whether or not Carlos Gonzales will be in the line up. But I felt if I waited any longer or for that news to be announced, this would become a negative really quick. I looked up Cargo's career #s against Dickey and like what I saw. Cargo is batting .167 and is 1-6 lifetime against Dickey. So whether or not he plays, I am still gonna play this. Another missing big missing piece for the Rockies will be Michael Cuddyer. He was placed on the 15 game DL. Those are 2 big pieces potentially being out of the line up for the Rockies, with 1 of them being confirmed. The Mets will also have a major pitching advantage with the Dickey against Colorado's Alex White. On the year the knuckleballer Dickey is 15-4 with a 2.89 era. He loves pitching at Citi field where he is 7-1 with a 2.66 era and impressive WHIP of 0.95. His career #s against the Rockies isn't great (7.66 era) but those #s really don't have any stock in this game. Dickey will be facing a very young Rockies team who majority of them will be facing Dickey for the very 1st time. This of course will be give Dickey the major advantage in familiarity factor. This would be a big advantage for any elite pitcher, but even more so a knuckleballer, which is a much tougher pitch to pick up as a young hitter. The Rockies will be sending Alex White to the hill. On the year he is 2-6 with a 5.74 era. He has struggled mightily on the road, coming in with a 1-3 record and a 6.97 era. He will of course be on the well documented 75 pitch limit in this game. This could bring in a taxed bullpen for extended work. I feel comfortable laying the RL and playing the full game on this one, despite the Mets bullpen struggles, because I feel Dickey has a solid chance of going at least 8 innings. This will eliminate the middle relieve, and hopefully we only gotta sweat the 9th.





I have a few other leans  but waiting on some information in those before I make any plays on them. I am also gonna be very short on time tomorrow due to a all day monday meeting... so if I play any leans, they won't included a long write up... Sorry guys. Best of luck to everyone on Monday
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#2
Posted: 8/20/2012 12:55:39 AM
Good luck sj. Know y'all have another strong day. If I my ask how do u feel about the over in the Yankees game Tom 9 1/2
Posted using a mobile device.
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#3
Posted: 8/20/2012 12:56:20 AM
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#4
Posted: 8/20/2012 12:56:46 AM
Great write up, I will tail you on Mets
Have a good night bro 
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#5
Posted: 8/20/2012 12:57:37 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by jford0523:

Good luck sj. Know y'all have another strong day. If I my ask how do u feel about the over in the Yankees game Tom 9 1/2



totals is my weak point... I honestly don't wanna give any opinion on it for that reason.
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#6
Posted: 8/20/2012 1:00:11 AM
Pasteur -

KPMan - thanks, best of luck to us
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#7
Posted: 8/20/2012 1:02:59 AM
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#8
Posted: 8/20/2012 1:12:58 AM
BOL shark 
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#9
Posted: 8/20/2012 1:30:59 AM
phat03

piknroll


thanks guys... time for some much needed ...
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#10
Posted: 8/20/2012 1:31:06 AM
Kick behind and take names tomorrow against the books and in the meeting!! Haha 
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#11
Posted: 8/20/2012 2:20:43 AM
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#12
Posted: 8/20/2012 2:49:10 AM
BOL on it too.  Mainly cause you gave a compelling argument 
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#13
Posted: 8/20/2012 3:00:58 AM
Just can't back the mets anemic offense at -200, it's hard to watch sometimes
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#14
Posted: 8/20/2012 3:05:32 AM
GL!
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#15
Posted: 8/20/2012 3:15:42 AM
mets
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#16
Posted: 8/20/2012 4:09:21 AM
as always BOL SJ!!! I went with your under in Detroit and hey man it was a great play after the first 2 innings scoring slowed down a but may have been just a conincidence you havent been doing well in those but hey stick with what works, if it aint broken dont fix it you kill those RL's!!!
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#17
Posted: 8/20/2012 5:14:36 AM
Look for Flannery to arrive by helicopter. His daughter won huge at the track today. She had stacks of 50 g's. Must have hit the pick 6. friggin Insane.
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#18
Posted: 8/20/2012 5:26:35 AM
is it just me SJ or every time me and you bet on giants they get their behind kicked gotta love the home team!!
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#19
Posted: 8/20/2012 7:15:00 AM
GL


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#20
Posted: 8/20/2012 7:18:47 AM
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#21
Posted: 8/20/2012 7:51:04 AM
I think Dickhead domintaes for mets today, bol
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#22
Posted: 8/20/2012 8:10:32 AM

NICE

SHARK

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#23
Posted: 8/20/2012 8:10:52 AM
GL today SJSharks
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#24
Posted: 8/20/2012 8:32:19 AM
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#25
Posted: 8/20/2012 9:09:24 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by EazyFBaby:

Just can't back the mets anemic offense at -200, it's hard to watch sometimes



I am not laying -200.. I got +100
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