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Author: [WNBA] Topic: WNBA THU AUG 18 ""GAME OF THE MONTH""
44-dimes send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
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#1
Posted: 8/17/2011 6:16:45 PM
YTD  66-34  ( +53.8 units )

5u  0-1
4u  4-0
3u  9-6
2u  22-11
1u  31-16

GOY 0-1---We are done with this one until 2012
GOM 0-0
GOW 4-0--This one has worked out well


LOS ANGELES +2.5 ( 5 units ) Game of the Month

From a Bookmakers perspective this line is accurate. Now from my point of view. I would of made the Sparks a small favorite here. My reasoning for this is the all important emotion angle. This angle is usually dismissed by the oddsmakers and rarely reflects in the line.
For anyone that watched the end of Tuesday's game you know what I'm talking about. Parker is back and in more ways than one. She played a whole lot better than i had anticipated. 15 points 10 boards 3 assist all in over 25 minutes of play, but what she did at the end of the game probably sent the biggest message of the year to her team. The Spars are avenging a 35 point loss to the Fever three weeks ago. I LOVE IT. WE ALL SAW CONNECTICUT AVENGE A HUGE LOSS TO THE LYNX LAST NIGHT.
The Sparks will be full of adrenaline when they take to the court on Thursday night. I'll gladly fade the Fever here. Covering B2B games as a road favorite is not an easy task in any league.


MIN / WASH UNDER 151 ( 1 unit )
Let's not forget about this play!!!


GOOD LUCK EVERYONE----------LET'S SEE IF I CAN BEAT THE HYPE THIS TIME AROUND

NEVER GIVE UP
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#2
Posted: 8/17/2011 6:19:33 PM
Woo on both!!! Already placed my bets :D
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#3
Posted: 8/17/2011 6:22:18 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by penzfan17:

Woo on both!!! Already placed my bets :D


I think this line will be close to pick em by tomorrow. Getting points is always a good thing the Sparks win outright here.
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MEX_ROOKIE
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#4
Posted: 8/17/2011 6:24:47 PM

On it, bought it to +3.    Locked both bets. 

2 -0  

Good luck  and thanks again  

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#5
Posted: 8/17/2011 7:06:13 PM
If you're so confident with the pick, why didn't you take LA on the moneyline?? Is this going to be different than your debacle the other day??
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#6
Posted: 8/17/2011 7:11:33 PM
I hate that my book doesnt come out with lines until the day of.. Ughhh ill probably get pick-em
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#7
Posted: 8/17/2011 7:21:31 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by kodiak:

If you're so confident with the pick, why didn't you take LA on the moneyline?? Is this going to be different than your debacle the other day??


I sure hope not

I do have some on the money line as well but when i post my plays here  on Covers i only indicate my pointspread selections along with my units

gl
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#8
Posted: 8/17/2011 7:45:36 PM

A couple of notes on the Sparks game.......

That loss @ Indiana was LAs 4th game in 6 days on the road and they played the night before.

According to Massey ratings the Sparks have had the # 1 toughest SOS while Indianas is 11th.

 

  DIMES  

A

 

 

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#9
Posted: 8/17/2011 9:17:40 PM
Wat do u think of Wash ML????
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#10
Posted: 8/17/2011 9:39:26 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Golffgod98:

Wat do u think of Wash ML????


I think the Lynx win this game. It's just a matter of the cover. This has been a good team coming off a loss. They had a big lead in Chicago last week they covered the 1st half but failed to cover full game. In the game before Chicago they had lost at Phoenix.
The same situation applies here. They are coming off the wrong side of a blowout against the Sum.
I WAS ACTUALLY LEANING MIN 1ST  HALF IN THIS GAME IF YOU CAN GET -4 OR LESS

GL
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#11
Posted: 8/17/2011 10:05:42 PM
I actually liked LA as soon as I saw the line posted today.  Even better that you are on it 44.  Let's go!
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#12
Posted: 8/17/2011 10:39:52 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by 44-dimes:



I think the Lynx win this game. It's just a matter of the cover. This has been a good team coming off a loss. They had a big lead in Chicago last week they covered the 1st half but failed to cover full game. In the game before Chicago they had lost at Phoenix.
The same situation applies here. They are coming off the wrong side of a blowout against the Sum.
I WAS ACTUALLY LEANING MIN 1ST  HALF IN THIS GAME IF YOU CAN GET -4 OR LESS

GL


They've been a good team coming off of just about any result. I guess you have to write something when you get questions like this


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#13
Posted: 8/17/2011 10:48:40 PM
I don't see them winning ML nor covering the spread. Playing the Sparks at Minnesota will be the play. GL though.
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#14
Posted: 8/17/2011 11:02:04 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by MuggsyBogues:



They've been a good team coming off of just about any result. I guess you have to write something when you get questions like this




And now that I realize how lame my comment was, I'm going to make up for it by posting some meaningful info regarding Minnesota -4.0 play.

1) Well it's actually going to open at Minnesota -5.0
2) 2011 season 1H stats:
overall record
WAS (6-15), 11th
MIN (14-9), 3rd
home/away record
3-8 Was Home
9-3 Min Away
blowout factor:
WAS: -1
MIN: +6
line movement factor:
WAS: -2
MIN: 0
Was against the West:
2-5, -23 points
Min against the East:
2-4, -8 points



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#15
Posted: 8/17/2011 11:06:32 PM
In my mind, this bet  (Min -5.0) is nothing special. It's nothing compared to the gold mine that is the sparks tomorrow. In the long run, obviously.

And a pop quiz for our subscribers: Pinnacle Sports posts their full game lines the earliest in the undustry, and their halftime line the latest.

1) Why?

2) Which book posts 1H lines the earliest in the industry?

The quiz winner gets a free MuggsyBogues Play of the ThursDay, and a T-Shirt*







-------------
*MAYBE


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#16
Posted: 8/17/2011 11:07:54 PM
I like this play alot.  gL to us. 
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#17
Posted: 8/17/2011 11:10:19 PM
Tough one for me to tail this or not. I got burnt big by the Sparks on Tuesday night. BOL to you anyways 44.
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#18
Posted: 8/18/2011 12:37:57 AM
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#19
Posted: 8/18/2011 1:59:19 AM
Love the GOM 
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#20
Posted: 8/18/2011 3:05:41 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by 44-dimes:



I think the Lynx win this game. It's just a matter of the cover. This has been a good team coming off a loss. They had a big lead in Chicago last week they covered the 1st half but failed to cover full game. In the game before Chicago they had lost at Phoenix.
The same situation applies here. They are coming off the wrong side of a blowout against the Sum.
I WAS ACTUALLY LEANING MIN 1ST  HALF IN THIS GAME IF YOU CAN GET -4 OR LESS

GL


Yep you're right as usually! Minnesota -4.0 at -105. Reasonable, isn't it?

http://fourbooks.wordpress.com/2011/08/18/5-dimes-the-early-bird/
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#21
Posted: 8/18/2011 6:18:18 AM
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#22
Posted: 8/18/2011 7:09:46 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by MuggsyBogues:

In my mind, this bet  (Min -5.0) is nothing special. It's nothing compared to the gold mine that is the sparks tomorrow. In the long run, obviously.

And a pop quiz for our subscribers: Pinnacle Sports posts their full game lines the earliest in the undustry, and their halftime line the latest.

1) Why?

2) Which book posts 1H lines the earliest in the industry?

The quiz winner gets a free MuggsyBogues Play of the ThursDay, and a T-Shirt*







-------------
*MAYBE




GREEK OVER PINNY BY  ABOUT  30 TO 35 SECONDS ALMOST EVERY TIME.

SEND ME AN X-L PLEASE-----------THANK YOU
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#23
Posted: 8/18/2011 7:33:51 AM
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#24
Posted: 8/18/2011 7:42:47 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by 44-dimes:



GREEK OVER PINNY BY  ABOUT  30 TO 35 SECONDS ALMOST EVERY TIME.

SEND ME AN X-L PLEASE-----------THANK YOU


Haha not a chance big man! I know of at least one other book that posts earlier... much earlier than pinny!

Update: LA down to PK now
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#25
Posted: 8/18/2011 8:19:31 AM
Hey Dimes, I see you're having a great season in WNBA, but I was wondering if those winnings would be enough to cover your losses from NBA season, I remember you were about -50 units when you stopped posting NBA picks. What was your YTD NBA record after the Finals?
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