Belcher is going to upset Palhares

Forum: Mixed Martial Arts
Author: [Mixed Martial Arts] Topic: Belcher is going to upset Palhares
scouteam PM scouteam
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Posted: 5/2/2012 6:38:20 PM

Palhares is a beast, but I think Belcher is a better grappler than he's given credit for.

 

On the feet, Belcher is better and the longer / taller fighter. I see Palhares trying desperately to get it to the ground and Belcher trying desperately to keep it on the feet.

 

I don't think Belcher will kick much, as it opens up the takedown for Palhares. I see Belcher moving and avoiding some tough spots and scrambles and pulling out a judges decision.

 

Belcher +240

 

 

Bighurt PM Bighurt
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Posted: 5/2/2012 8:46:42 PM
.....i think belcher is in for about a year long vacation rehabbing his knee....i will admit those are some pretty good odds....if he keeps it upright you have a good chance to cash
kneeunthaface PM kneeunthaface
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Posted: 5/2/2012 10:29:09 PM
I don't want to say Palhares is a one trick pony, but he's a one trick pony.  Belcher is too seasoned and savvy to fall into an obvious submission which is Paul Harris' only way to victory.  Ive been saying that this fight is going to look like Marquardt/Paul Harris.
ctm1985 PM ctm1985
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Posted: 5/3/2012 1:13:15 AM
I know you're backing Belcher, but anyone else think Palhares by KO/TKO +2480 is just an insane line??  I had no play for this fight and probably wasn't going to bet it, but I threw something on that.  Palhares pounded the crap outta Dan Miller, he only survived because it's impossible to finish that dude.  Belcher's been TKO'd twice and Palhares has big power.

Currently +2100 on 5dimes..
scouteam PM scouteam
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Posted: 5/3/2012 1:58:42 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by ctm1985:

I know you're backing Belcher, but anyone else think Palhares by KO/TKO +2480 is just an insane line??  I had no play for this fight and probably wasn't going to bet it, but I threw something on that.  Palhares pounded the crap outta Dan Miller, he only survived because it's impossible to finish that dude.  Belcher's been TKO'd twice and Palhares has big power.

Currently +2100 on 5dimes..

 

I like the value in the bet, if Palhares decides to pounded on Belcher, but Palhares will likely go for the sub, if he doesn't get it, he's might get stopped himself, but your bet is solid if Palhares takes a safe, ground and pound approach.

sawman PM sawman
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Posted: 5/3/2012 9:44:01 AM
Anyone know the reach advantage? Must at least 6"
I have been lookin so forward to this fight since it was announced. Should b a beaut
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deserted PM deserted
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Posted: 5/3/2012 9:47:15 AM
I think this fight is a toss up, so I agree with the + $ play! Gl!
sawman PM sawman
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Posted: 5/3/2012 9:50:46 AM
Looks like only 4"
As far as competition, they've both beat, I think belcher has beaten better guys. Dan miller is the only notable for palhares. Subbin drawl, massenzio and branch are not huge accomplishments. Plus palhares packed it in vs marquart
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jonnyg4508 PM jonnyg4508
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Posted: 5/3/2012 11:43:31 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by kneeunthaface:

I don't want to say Palhares is a one trick pony, but he's a one trick pony.  Belcher is too seasoned and savvy to fall into an obvious submission which is Paul Harris' only way to victory.  Ive been saying that this fight is going to look like Marquardt/Paul Harris.


You among others are underestimating Palhares' wrestling and overall TD skills.  He has very solid TDs and last I recall Belcher doesn't have the greatest TDD.  A guy with good wrestling and great BJJ along with strength is no one tick pony. 

That said at these odds I think Belcher is a steal.  I pick Palhares but I wouldn't of thought it would be at these odds.
CappaDon PM CappaDon
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Posted: 5/3/2012 2:00:21 PM
I cant belive hes such a heavy dog.  Almost makes me scared to bet on him...small play on Belcher for me
scouteam PM scouteam
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Posted: 5/3/2012 2:51:02 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by jonnyg4508:



You among others are underestimating Palhares' wrestling and overall TD skills.  He has very solid TDs and last I recall Belcher doesn't have the greatest TDD.  A guy with good wrestling and great BJJ along with strength is no one tick pony. 

That said at these odds I think Belcher is a steal.  I pick Palhares but I wouldn't of thought it would be at these odds.

 

I believe what he means by one trick pony is that everyone knows that Palhares has to get the fight to the mat to win. He's an amazing grappler, but his game plan is easy to figure out, but hard to stop so far.

scouteam PM scouteam
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Posted: 5/5/2012 10:50:06 PM
CappaDon PM CappaDon
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Posted: 5/5/2012 11:29:20 PM
Man what a win I can't wait to see who he fights next.
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ctm1985 PM ctm1985
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Posted: 5/5/2012 11:31:40 PM
Damn.. I figured it would be competitive and wouldn't be an automatic sub when it hit the ground, but I didn't expect that.  Forget sprawl and brawl, Belcher got right in his face and had confidence wherever it went, ballsy.

Nice call
Skanless1 PM Skanless1
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Posted: 5/6/2012 1:45:06 AM
good call on this fight.  belcher looked great.
sawman PM sawman
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Posted: 5/6/2012 11:05:12 AM
I had belcher, even tho I got killed all night... But darn!! Was that exciting. When palhares is like a boa grabbing his leg, you don't know what's gonna happen. When belcher was dropping the bombs I was so excited. Never seen such an exciting ground battle. Belcher is awesome. Beat down the man nobody would fight
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Bighurt PM Bighurt
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Posted: 5/6/2012 3:16:05 PM
nice call.....belcher looked great on the ground....i thought it was gonna be over 2 or 3 times when palhares had his leg....great win
deserted PM deserted
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Posted: 5/6/2012 7:32:48 PM
Gj buddy! I was on the edge of my seat that entire fight!
Forum: Mixed Martial Arts
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