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Author: [Mixed Martial Arts] Topic: Strikeforce Tate vs Rousy Plays
MR219 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: bet365 |
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#1
Posted: 3/3/2012 4:33:21 PM
YTD Record:
Overall: 37-29-1, +20.25 Units
UFC: 34-27-1, +15.95 Units
Strikeforce: 3-2, +4.30 Units
Final 2011 Record: 148-132-3, +123.55 Units 
Final 2010 Record: 115-119-3, +11.25 Units 
Final 2009 Record: 80-82-1, +23.75 Units 
 
I am happy to report that my Ian McCall wager was ruled as void by my book, so I have reflected my record for the books decision.
 
For those of you who tailed and took Ian McCall last night, I suggest you get in touch with your respective book to get your money back...
 
Here are the plays for tonight's card:
 
1.  I am pounding Meisha Tate over Ronda Rousey for 10 units tonight, but one of my books sets fairly low limits for Strikeforce, so I have had to be a bit creative in making my bets.
 
First I have risked 4.3 units on Tate as a straigh bet at (+255) to win 10.9 units.  Then I parlay Tate with Jacre Souza over Bristol Marunde risking 5.7 units to win 17.60 units.
 
Therefore, my total wager is risking 10 units to win 28.5 units
 
I have said this before and I will say it again.  Gamble within your limits.  There is a lot of unknowns regarding Ronda Rousey.  The books have set Rousey as a big fav for a reason.  I can afford to lose the 10 units here.  Don't gamle here with money you cannot afford to lose.
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#2
Posted: 3/3/2012 4:36:52 PM

2.  Parlay of Jacre Souza over Bristol Marunde, Roger Bowling over Brandon Saling and Lumumba Sayers over Scott Smith.  Risking 5 units to win 5.35 units.

3.  Parlay of Paul Daley over Kazuo Misaki and Josh Thompson over KJ Noons.  Risking 3.1 units to win 3 units.

4.  Pat Healy (+156) over Caros Fodor.  Risking 3 units to win 4.7 units.

5.  Ryan Couture (+260) over Conor Heun.  Risking 1 unit to win 2.6 units.

6.  Alexis Davis (+425) over Sarah Kaufman.  Risking 1 unit to win 4.25 units.

BOL to everyone with your plays!!!

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#3
Posted: 3/3/2012 4:41:56 PM

More about my Tate play.  Rousey's been very impressive so far, but she has fought 4 complete cans.  This is a huge step up in class for.  Tate has got a very solid all around game, especially her wrestling and submission defense.  Her striking has also improved substantially, and trains with one of the best MMA camps.

I really do not think Rousey is going to be able to take Tate down, and if she does, I think Tate's submission defense is good enough to avoid getting caught.  It is really hard to know how Rousey will respond if she cannot get the quick finish.  We have seen what Tate offers deeper into fights, and I am impressed by what I have seen.

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#4
Posted: 3/3/2012 4:46:42 PM

mr219,

I follow your plays and I mean no disrespect but rousey will win tonite and quickly

yes I did bet rousey and yes i understand you even said you are betting with money you can afford to lose

this fight reminds me of gina vs cyborg or jones vs shogun

if both cases the challenger was -200 or so and everyone took the experienced champ with a bad result

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#5
Posted: 3/3/2012 4:52:24 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by mikeb:

mr219,

I follow your plays and I mean no disrespect but rousey will win tonite and quickly

yes I did bet rousey and yes i understand you even said you are betting with money you can afford to lose

this fight reminds me of gina vs cyborg or jones vs shogun

if both cases the challenger was -200 or so and everyone took the experienced champ with a bad result

I think most of the MMA sharps were pounding Cyborg and Jones in those fights.

...and really, you cannot compare Cyborg and Jones to Rousey.  We had a lot more info on both Cyborg and especially Jones going into those title fights that we do about Rousey...

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#6
Posted: 3/3/2012 4:55:04 PM

...and wow, did Witchita State just go practically the last 7 minutes of their game, score only 1 point and lose...

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#7
Posted: 3/3/2012 4:59:37 PM

yes you are correct- people were on jones and cyborg

i was on cyborg

not to sound dumb but i do know a lot about rousey

i hope your other plays cash but tate is in a load of trouble

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#8
Posted: 3/3/2012 5:03:53 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by mikeb:

yes you are correct- people were on jones and cyborg

i was on cyborg

not to sound dumb but i do know a lot about rousey

i hope your other plays cash but tate is in a load of trouble

No, you are not sounding dumb...

You say you know a lot about Rousey.  What do you know about her that you think I have missed?

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#9
Posted: 3/3/2012 5:05:47 PM
Great info on the main event. Good luck on everything. How come you don't like Daley?
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#10
Posted: 3/3/2012 5:09:38 PM
^^

Daley is part of his parlay?
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#11
Posted: 3/3/2012 5:09:57 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by sawman:

Great info on the main event. Good luck on everything. How come you don't like Daley?

I do like Daley.  See plays #3.  I parlayed him with Thompson.

Are you playing anything tonight?

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#12
Posted: 3/3/2012 5:11:05 PM

mr219

ugh i dont want to sound like the guy that comes to the forum that no one believes but my friend knows rhonda personally

he has told me not only will cardio not be a issue but that rhonda can also strike very well

he uste to train with her

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#13
Posted: 3/3/2012 5:11:31 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by kneeunthaface:

^^

Daley is part of his parlay?

I will make up an excuse for my buddy sawman. 

"It is sometimes hard to read the forums on a smartphone." 

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#14
Posted: 3/3/2012 5:22:14 PM
GL hardest workin guy in the mma forums for sure! 
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#15
Posted: 3/3/2012 5:22:21 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by mikeb:

mr219

ugh i dont want to sound like the guy that comes to the forum that no one believes but my friend knows rhonda personally

he has told me not only will cardio not be a issue but that rhonda can also strike very well

he uste to train with her

Well, that is good info.  I have no reason to believe that you are lying.   

I really hope the fight does go a little deeper so that we can see how well rounded she really is.

My only concern is that cardio in training vs cardio in a fight can be seriously effected when the adrenaline of competition kicks in.  We saw it last night with Kyle Noke.  When he was not able to lock in that submission on Andrew Craig in the first 3 minutes, he completely gassed.  Noke has not had cardio issues in the past from what I recall.  I am not saying that this would happen to Rousey, but I am very intrigued to see how she responds if she cannot get a quick finish.

I cannot wait to see Rousey's standup.  In 4 fights, we really have not seen her strike or defend strikes, because she has finished so quickly.  For her sake, I hope she is more than a one trick pony...

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#16
Posted: 3/3/2012 5:24:03 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by deserted:

GL hardest workin guy in the mma forums for sure! 

I may not come out ahead on every card, but I try my best, and have had some long term success, but yes, it does take a lot of time and hard work...

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#17
Posted: 3/3/2012 5:27:43 PM

Stepping away for a bit...

I will be back later to answer any more questions...

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#18
Posted: 3/3/2012 5:43:16 PM
Right. Missed that Daley play. Ya I have some plays. Had a bad night yesterday. I really banked on miller. L
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#19
Posted: 3/3/2012 5:44:05 PM

i hear you mr219

i did see the kyle noke fight and yes it is common for fighters to gas or shut down after not getting a sub

i dont know what else to say

i truely believe rhonda is like the female fedor

atleast back when fedor couldnt lose for 10 years

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#20
Posted: 3/3/2012 5:44:39 PM
Looking for redemption. I'll be tailin you on Tate and couture. Not too much. Also in Daley, jacare, Thomson, bowling
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#21
Posted: 3/3/2012 6:06:55 PM
Hey 219... Good luck tonight and thanks for you thoughts on these events. Your very thorough and its shows...
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#22
Posted: 3/3/2012 7:05:06 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by sawman:

Right. Missed that Daley play. Ya I have some plays. Had a bad night yesterday. I really banked on miller. L

I had my first losing night in a while as well.  I too, was heavy on Cole Miller.  Really bad game plan from the start...

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#23
Posted: 3/3/2012 7:08:37 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by mikeb:

i hear you mr219

i did see the kyle noke fight and yes it is common for fighters to gas or shut down after not getting a sub

i dont know what else to say

i truely believe rhonda is like the female fedor

atleast back when fedor couldnt lose for 10 years

There is nothing else to say.  You presented your reasoning in a clear, respectful manner.  I have no problem with that...

Just don't come in here and gloat if she wins (afterall, she is a huge fav)...,

Will she become the female Fedor?  Time will tell...

BOL on all your wagers tonight. 

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#24
Posted: 3/3/2012 7:09:14 PM

are the prelims on any channel

 

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#25
Posted: 3/3/2012 7:11:09 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by sawman:

Looking for redemption. I'll be tailin you on Tate and couture. Not too much. Also in Daley, jacare, Thomson, bowling

The Couture fight is going to be very interesting.  I don't think Conor Heun should be as big of a fav in this fight.  It will be intersting to see how much of an improvement we will see out of Ryan tonight...

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