Kawhi Leonard and the Los Angeles Clippers will make the trip to the Kia Center on Friday to take on Paolo Banchero and the Orlando Magic, and we have searched through the NBA odds to find you the best bet for this matchup.
The LA Clippers have been reeling, and head coach Ty Lue recently called them out, saying their identity is "They're soft."
The Clippers responded with a controversial win over the Philadelphia 76ers, but can they string together back-to-back wins when they take on the Orlando Magic?
Find out which NBA player prop I'm backing in my free NBA picks for the Clippers vs. Magic on March 29.
Clippers vs Magic predictions
My best bet: Franz Wagner Over 3.5 assists (+130 at bet365)
I'm not going to lie, the pricing for the player props on this matchup between the Los Angeles Clippers and Orlando Magic is pretty solid; there's really nothing extremely glaring where there is an edge that makes you race to open your app and hit the button.
While it's not the biggest probability gap in the world, I do think we can take advantage of Franz Wagner's assists prop on Friday against the Clippers, with it trading at 3.5 (+130). This is a really low number for Wagner, and the Magic are coming off one of their worst offensive performances of the season. If I'm the Magic coaching staff, I'm making some changes, putting Wagner on the ball more.
There are two things that should make this much more possible. For starters, the matchup with the Clippers where we will see Kawhi Leonard guarding Paolo Banchero. You obviously want Banchero getting touches, but constantly going at Leonard isn't a strategy for offensive success. This should lead to the Magic increasing the usage of Wagner and allowing him to generate more offense.
The other big thing here is that Gary Harris is off the injury report for the Magic. The Magic desperately need his shooting to help space the floor for Wagner so he can create for others, and he isn't an assists stealer. You pass the ball to Harris and he is most likely taking a three-point shot, which will help convert potential assists. When Harris is out and Markelle Fultz is in the starting unit, Fultz makes an extra pass and steals the assist from Wagner.
Wagner is projected to drop 3.7 dimes against the Clippers on Friday, which allows us to price the Over 3.5 assists at +103, but it is available at bet365 at +130.
Clippers vs Magic same-game parlay
Franz Wagner Over 3.5 assists
Gary Harris Over 1.5 threes made
Paolo Banchero Over 1.5 threes made
I think it's pretty obvious how Harris Over 1.5 threes also made its way into our SGP to be paired with Wagner's assists prop.
I'm also adding Banchero Over 1.5 threes made to this parlay because Banchero was very critical of his own shooting after the Magic's last loss. Banchero has taken 13 three-pointers in his last two games and only made two. I imagine there was a lot of shooting practice between Wednesday's game with the Warriors and Friday's game against the Clippers, and Banchero knows he needs to knock down some triples to keep the floor spaced, especially with Leonard guarding him.
He's not on the board yet, but I wouldn't be opposed at all to pairing an Over on a Moritz Wagner points prop with Wagner's assists prop. The Wagner brothers run a ton of pick and roll together with Franz Wagner as the ball handler, so if Franz Wagner is going Over his assists, it will probably be on one or two dimes to his brother.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Clippers vs Magic odds and trends
Clippers vs Magic opening odds
- Spread: Los Angeles +1 (-112) | Orlando -1 (-108)
- Moneyline: Los Angeles (-104) | Orlando (-112)
- Over/Under: Over 210.5 (-110) | Under 210.5 (-110)
Clippers vs Magic spread and Over/Under analysis
- The Magic originally opened as a 1-point favorite at FanDuel, but we have seen this line flip to make the Clippers the favorite at -2.
- The total initially dropped down to 208.5 at FanDuel after opening at 210.5, but it has been trending upwards ever since then, with it now trading at 212.5.
- Several sportsbooks are trading the total at 212, so make sure to shop around before placing a bet in this market.
- It doesn't look like this number will get any higher than the 212.5 we are seeing available at FanDuel.
Clippers vs Magic betting trend to know
The Orlando Magic have covered the Spread in 47 of their last 72 games (+19.50 Units / 25% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Clippers vs. Magic.
Clippers vs Magic game info
| Location: | Kia Center, Orlando, FL |
| Date: | Friday, March 29, 2024 |
| Tip-off: | 7:00 p.m. ET |
| TV: | Bally Florida, Bally SoCal |
Not intended for use in MA.
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