Olympic betting: Federer's grass success moves odds

Jul 17, 2012 |
Olympic betting: Federer's grass success moves odds
Roger Federer returns to the lawn at the All England Club - his home away from home.
Roger Federer returns to the lawn at the All England Club - his home away from home.
Tennis fan get treated in 2012 with the Olympic Summer Games serving as the season's fifth Grand Slam event, welcoming the top players from around the globe to London.

The tennis events will be held on the grass courts of the All England Club, which recently hosted a Wimbledon win for Roger Federer. We talked with Aron Black of British book bet365.com about who tennis bettors are playing and fading on the men’s side heading into the 2012 games:

Men’s singles

Federer made some significant moves on the Olympic board following his seventh Wimbledon title, jumping from +350 to +275. The Swiss legend is right at home on the grass courts in London, giving him some added value behind overall favorite Novak Djokovic at +163.

Djokovic, who was knocked from the No. 1 spot in men’s tennis following Wimbledon, has one Wimbledon title under his belt and is coming off a semifinals loss to Federer at the All England Club. Third-overall favorite and defending 2008 gold medal winner, Rafael Nadal (+300), is also getting some support but nothing compared to the action on Federer.

Olympic tennis bettors are shocking books with action on a few long-shot wagers, like David Ferrer of Spain and Tomas Berdych of the Czech Republic. Ferrer has dropped from as high as +15,000 to +5,000 while Berdych has moved from +3,300 to +2,800.

“(Ferrer) seems to be the lottery-ticket play for a lot of bettors looking at bigger-price participants,” Black told Covers. “Berdych has the game to threaten any player on his day and has long been one of the tour players who are just outside the top four in the rankings.”

Another surprise for bookmakers is the lack of support for host nation, the United Kingdom, and its biggest tennis star, Scotsman Andy Murray. Murray, coming off a runner-up showing at Wimbledon, is currently priced at +450 - the fourth-overall favorite for the summer games.

“After a very dramatic run to the final and being the first Brit to do so since 1938, there is very little support in terms of action on Andy Murray,” says Black. “It would appear that the bettors think he’s one to be swerved, which is surprising given the caliber of tennis he played, especially in the later rounds of Wimbledon. But we may see at least some patriotic money on him as the Olympics begin.”

Here’s a look at the Top-10 favorites to bring home gold on the men’s side:

Novak Djokovic, Serbia +163
Roger Federer, Switzerland +275
Rafael Nadal, Spain +300
Andy Murray, United Kingdom +450
Juan Martin Del Potro, Argentina +2,000
Jo-Wilfried Tsonga, France +2,000
Tomas Berdych, Czech Republic +2,800
Milos Raonic, Canada +3,300
John Isner, United States +5,000
David Ferrer, Spain +5,000

Odds courtesy of bet365.com.

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