College four-play: Week 7 picks

Tell your friends. Tell your wife. Tell your boss.

You are busy this Saturday because college football weekends might not get any bigger this year  That means we have to listen to countless annoying BCS implication debates on every network that ever thought about broadcasting football.

But we’re not like that here. Our concerns are much simpler.

So, let’s not waste any time because I’m looking at the big ones this weekend. 

I’m now 12-8-1 entering the weekend after getting back on track with a 3-1 slate last Saturday.

Texas vs. Oklahoma (-6, 56)

Man I hate this game. Every year I cap it to death and usually end up on the wrong side of the money. 

This year isn’t shaping up to be much different. Two top five teams. Similar stats everywhere you look.

I am tempted to bail and take a pick on the total, but that’s about as fun as being the designated driver. Even though I’m pretty sure this one’s going way under, I won’t do that.

So take my keys because I’m getting loaded. I’m going to go with the Sooners and if I have to give you one reason for it, it’s turnovers. This Texas defense is tough, but it isn’t exactly ball hawky, if you’ll allow me to invent an adjective.

The Horns rank just 96th in that category this season and I don’t see things changing dramatically this weekend against an offensive line that gives Sam Bradford enough time to blow kisses to the cheerleaders while waiting for his receivers to get open.

Pick: Oklahoma 

Penn State vs. Wisconsin (+6, 47)

Bad news for the Badgers. A booze, sex and hazing scandal rocked the school this week and suspensions are being handed down.

Makes you wish you joined the band, doesn’t it?

News broke early this week that the band is suspended indefinitely following some inappropriate behavior that is being investigated by the school. Band director Mike Leckrone said he had the feeling he “hit them between the eyes with a sledgehammer” when he informed band members of the suspension.

How does he think the football team feels? Wisky is coming to the tail end of a gauntlet that saw the team play Michigan, Ohio State and now Penn State. The Badgers can’t afford to lose any support for this nationally televised contest.

Pick: Penn State

Oklahoma State vs. Missouri (-14, 79.5)

Chase Daniel can tell you this game is nothing to spit at. Yet still, it’s getting barely a whisper thanks to that other little Big 12 dance they have going down in Dallas.

It’s a little hard to believe the lack of hype considering these are two top 25 teams with a pair of offenses that are burning out scoreboard light bulbs with over 50 points a game.

I can’t remember a total topping 80 points in college ball, but this one looks like it could climb that high by the time this one gets under way. 

Pick: Oklahoma State

LSU vs. Florida (+6, 46)

By now you’ve likely heard about the faux pas made by LSU defensive tackle Ricky Jean-Francois. You know, how he said the Tigers are going to take Tim Tebow out of the game and everything.

Apparently he meant he just wanted to take him out for ice cream between quarters, but now he’s been muzzled by coach Les Miles.

Whatever you believe, this already angry Florida team just got a little angrier. The Gators still remember last year’s tough 28-24 loss to les Tigres.

I don’t think there’s going to be a blowout here, but the one thing you have to l

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Posted by BigLoad
5 years ago

I nailed Texas Nice now I have Fla Oka ST and Fla ATS
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Posted by BigLoad
5 years ago

doobiie - I trade for a living. and the government never has nor never will cover my losses. Because I trade and do not invest I was well up last week cheers
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Posted by doobiebrother
5 years ago

2-4 (-3.8) this week. CFB 29-25-1 (+7.5) Baylor (-4.5) – Bears have primed their #17 rush attack (218, 5.5) vs. Wake, UConn, and Oklahoma, and should ramble vs. ISU #93 rush “D” (173, 4.8). Cyclones 0-14 SU A and 0-9 SU in Oct. Baylor 11-0 SU & 9-2 ATS F 8<. Texas A&M (+3.5) - KSU 1-7 ATS L8, 2-14 SU A (6-15 ATS L21), 2-8 ATS F 4< and 0-5 SU vs. A&M (0-3 A). Aggies hurt by 3 non-offensive TDs in Stillwater LW, but outgained OSU 402-401. Offense taking to Sherman’s schemes, and KSU “D” #102. A&M has trouble stopping run, but #7 pass “D” matches up vs. Wildcats’ aerial attack. Two deep in A&M secondary has 118 combined starts. Oklahoma St./Missouri Under (77) - Teams scoring big vs. patsies, but each will see best “D” they’ve played. Mizzou returns 9 to defense that’s allowed 19.2 PPG in L11 H vs. B12, and OSU “D” an upgrade over LY. Cowboys held to 27< in 13 of 19 A, had just 39 at WSU (allowing 41.7) in only road game, and 21 of 56 vs. A&M LW didn’t come from offense (1 punt, 2 intercept returns). Under 6-0 in OSU’s B12 road games, and they’ll try to use running game to keep Tigers’ offense off field. Mizzou offense has scored 42< in L16 H vs. B12. N. Mexico (+23.5) – BYU running it up vs. weak schedule (#113), could be looking ahead to Thursday at TCU. Lobos rushed for 600+ L2W, return 2 time All MWC RB Ferguson, and could succeed running vs. BYU “D” that returned only 3 starters and has faced offenses ranked 86, 105, 111, and 118 in 4 lined games. NM also returns an All MWC DB and their kicker is 11-14 FG (5-7 40>). Lobos 17-8 SU A vs. MWC, 14-5 SU A in Oct., 9-2 ATS A w/MWC revenge, and 7-0 ATS MWC D of 20>. Visitor 6-1 in series. BYU 4-10 MWC F 22>. Weather might help (19 mph wind, 50% rain/snow). Oregon St. (-30) - WSU pitiful, ranking in bottom 15 (out of 119) in 11 of 20 categories I match up. Cougs playing 2nd straight A, and 7th straight week, with H game vs. USC on deck. WSU outscored by 38.2 PPG in going 0-5 ATS, and are 2-7 ATS in 2nd of B-to-B away, and 1-7 ATS vs. OSU. Beavers 6-0 ATS H, 7-0 ATS in Oct., 7-2 ATS vs. Pac 10, and 9-2 ATS as F 14>, outscoring opponents 196-30 in L6. OSU 9 days since Utah and NW off. Arizona/Stanford under (53) – Arizona another feasting on weak schedule (#117), but still impressed with “D” ranked #1 vs. pass and #2 overall. Cats haven’t seen decent rush attack, though, and DL 4 new starters. Stanford has rushed for 168 YPG on 4.6 YPC vs. good competition (Oregon St., ASU, TCU, ND) and will use running game to keep Arizona’s offense off field. Under 6-1 Cats F 7<, 4-1 Cats A vs. P10, 4-1 Cardinal H, 4-0 in series, and L3 in Palo Alto totaled 27, 22, 30. Stanford has WR out and 18 mph wind forecast.. SMU (+24.5) – Tulsa yet another with weak schedule (#118), and offense #1 in several categories. This their 1st road game in 5 weeks, and laying 24.5 at a site where they’ve never won a game (0-6 SU). SMU far tougher schedule (Texas Tech, TCU) and very competitive in 1st 2 CUSA games, both on road. Jones’ run-and-shoot improving weekly, and should go for about 400 vs. bad Tulsa “D”. Tease Northwestern (+7.5) and Miss.St. (+8) - Not a big teaser fan, but here’s 2 games where 6 points might actually be worth something. MSU 0-4 ATS vs. Nortwestern, 2-6 ATS RF 4<, 4-15 SU A in Oct. (1-6 ATS L7), and 3 of L4 meetings in Evanston decided by 3<. Miss St. 15 starters back from bowl team, extra week to prepare, and backs against wall at 1-4. Nearly upset Auburn & LSU TY, and LY upset Auburn, Kentucky, and Bama. Vandy 1-5 ATS SEC RF, 1-8 ATS F 6<, and 1-5 ATS vs. MSU. All Plays 3 Units.
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Posted by doobiebrother
5 years ago

Big load, the stock market is paramutual wagering, just like betting on sports. Just as the lines are set and moved on football games because of public opinion, as opposed to actual value, stocks go up and down according to what speculators THINK the company will do. Pundits have said for years if you leave your money in the market long term it will always go up, and they are right. The reason is that Wall Street is just a bunch of compulsive gamblers, and they are going to find a reason to play. Only difference between betting stocks and betting games is stocks are legal, and if you lose betting games, the government doesn't refund your money!
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Posted by BigLoad
5 years ago

Being a relative rookie to sprts gambling but a live long gambler of all proportions I am thinking maybe the editor has suffered another hockey stick to the head. I am with ya on 3 of your picks but am taking Texas ATS at 7 pts per your staff picks page pick. However at 6 pts here on this page you take Oka. So I am guessing you are predicting an OKA win of 6 or 6.5 pts - I would like to see the 6.5 pt win as havent seen that one in a while. I wonder aloud if betting will be up this weekend as people try and recover form their stock market 401k and RRSP losses this past week where the dow dropped 20% or more in last week or so. Sadly I cannot wach the games as I will be pursuing another pastime of golf today. I will lay some extra moneyon the night games just cus.
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Posted by RedRiver
5 years ago

Oklahoma by 2 TD's. If Colt tries to run in this game, his mouthpiece will make it to the sidelines before he does.
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Posted by tazzman54
5 years ago

LSU M/L ILLINOIS MISS ST M/L
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Posted by Moneyy
5 years ago

OK LSU PEN ST WINNER WINNER CHICKEN DINNER
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Posted by winnersthisweek
5 years ago

Here comes another big weekend for Jon russo and NFL Cappers....last week 3-1 in college 4-0 in the NFL have not have a losing week this season...ask around we are on fire, even my free picks finished the week 4-1...don't miss out on another huge weekend, shoot me an email and get one of my college and one of my pro games free this weekend. Jonrusso@nflcappers.com Buy my combo package get all my College and all my NFL games for just 14.99 this weekend nflcappers.com/purchase
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Posted by 1StupidHaole
5 years ago

I can't understand how the Gators are favored by 6 in this game?! I guess the QB situation at LSU has something to do with it, but LSU's freshman QB is playing well. I like LSU but will probably stay away. Better plays out there.
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Posted by GeorgeCarlin
5 years ago

Like all of them--esp the call on Missouri to de drawn into a tight game. Please say it aint so: Texas to be exposed!!! LSU will be a very close game, IMO, truly a one score differential, so the play is not that great here, much better games to play and win $$$ on. But you went to the rivalries. How bout Boise St to win big at So Miss -11
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Posted by DiverRon
5 years ago

I also like all but florida!
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Posted by CalBear
5 years ago

Love Oklahoma to win by double digits...I can't wait till this game is over to show everyone that Texas is not that good.
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Posted by dpain
5 years ago

I agree with you on every game. Love Oklahoma State getting that many points, they can score against anyone! The one that worries me is the Penn State game, but they look tough right now!
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Posted by Texan396
5 years ago

ByDesign says: 10/10/08 12:45PM There was already a total of 80 this year...Rice vs Tulsa Yeppers Tulsa 63 - Rice 28
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Posted by ByDesign
5 years ago

There was already a total of 80 this year...Rice vs Tulsa
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Posted by schase70
5 years ago

I have to agree with Stew (great value on IL also). I like the picks except for FLorida. This us a good spot for LSU to cover/upset in a rivaled, intense night game in G'ville. LSU outsizes FL on O and D. LSU runs the ball well and doesn't have TOs. None of LSU's 4 RB's have a single fumble in combined collegiate careers. LSU won't be intimidated in the Swamp knowing that FL gave up 31 there 2 weeks ago in a game that wasn't as competitive as close as the score indicated. It comes down to strength vs. strength and the unknowns. FL may be a bit under-rated at 11 and they're still in contention. But LSU is def. Nat. Champs and ranked 4th. LSU +7 is the safe play by a long-shot IMO.
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Posted by KasperNV
5 years ago

I like them all but Florida.
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Posted by StewGoo
5 years ago

The total was 80 for: Saturday 11/01/03 Colorado @ Texas Tech. I think that was the record at the time. You are capping some really tough games. I think Illinois is a gift at -12.5. They can score 35 on pretty much anyone.
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Top Response

Posted by StewGoo
5 years ago

"The total was 80 for: Saturday 11/01/03 Colorado @ Texas Tech. I think that was the record at the time. You are capping some really tough games. I think Illinois is a gift at -12.5. They can score 35 on pretty much anyone."