College Four-play: Week 6 predictions

October, will you marry me?  

It’s the time of year I love more than any other and I don’t want to fathom life without it.

For a lot of sports bettors, this is the time when you spend your late afternoons ignoring your work and monitoring the ‘live scores’ major league baseball tickers in the window you keep hidden from your boss.

Your nights? Spent huddled on the couch watching fast balls that seem suddenly soaked in magic and home runs that drip with agony.

For us college football degenerates, that’s just the stuff you watch during commercials.

Weekday college football is back, which means we have about two more excuses to crack a beer each week, or about two more than I need.

 

And though it is one of the most glorious things a man can ask for, there’s still something that feels a little dirty about it. Like you’re doing something you’re not supposed to.

 

I kept finding I had the urge on Tuesday to look back every few minutes to the Direct TV guide to make sure I wasn’t watching a rerun of some Saturday game. Each time I reaffirmed that I was indeed watching live C-ball, I got a little more giddy.

 

It was almost enough to make me forget that I went 1-4 against the number with my picks last week. I watched my record slip to 9-7-1after a start so tight, it was making Jessica Alba jealous.

 

But before we get back on the winning track with Saturday’s picks, let’s take a look at how my week has gone so far.

 

Tuesday

 

“Fssst.”

 

“What was that?”

 

“What was what, honey?”

 

“Did you just crack a beer? On a Tuesday?”

 

“Well, yeah, I guess so. But look - there’s college football on TV.”

 

“Oh my God, you’re problem is worse than I thought.”

 

“With the drinking?”

 

“No, with college football. You’re watching Florida Atlantic play Middle Tennessee. You need help.”

 

Wednesday

 

Blue turf. Trick plays. Must be Boise State night.

 

The next morning, co-workers will discuss how amazing blue turf is and wonder why there aren’t more stadiums with alternative-colored fields.

 

You would never hear this conversation on a Sunday. Nobody outside of Idaho is watching a Boise State game on a Saturday.  

 

Thursday

 

OK, breathe. Breeeeathe. You’re going to be alright.

 

Three college football games in one week night. Two teams ranked in the top 15. Wife goes away on business.

 

This is serious pleasure overload. If I order in and crack a beer, I think my head might explode.

 

And have you ever seen a more generous line than Oregon State +11 ½ at Utah?

 

Life is good.

 

Friday

 

Yaaaay, Utah State!

 

Only one more sleep to Saturday.

 

On to this week’s picks:

 

Navy vs. Air Force (-4 ½, 53)

 

While we’re talking of weeknight college football and things we’re thankful for, let’s not forget about these guys.

 

I’ve watched games of both these teams this year and they look pretty evenly matched. Normally in a situation like this, I’d take the dog, but there are some reasons I’m going the other way here.

 

Air Force is coming off a bye, while Navy is coming off an emotional win over Wake last week. Navy has won the last five meetings straight up and you know the fly boys aren’t exactly on Cloud 9 about that. And this one is on Air Force’s home turf. Cross-country travel can be tough on the armed forces schools with their grueling daily regiments.  

 

Pick: Air Force

 

South Carolina vs. Ole Miss (+2 ½, 44)

 

I have been a believer of Ole Miss this season and I took the Rebs (successfully) in an earlier column. So I was kind of hoping they’d see a small spread this week against the Cocks and that it’d be a swell play to take.

 

Then I picked up this week’s Sports Illustrated and there looking back at me was Ole Miss defensive end Greg Hardy doing his best Superman impression as he takes down Tim Tebow.

 

There goes that idea.

 

Pick: South Carolina

 

Texas vs. Colorado (+13, 56)

 

This is about as quietly as you’ll ever see Texas go 4-0. Jump on this money train before the coal runs out.

 

Pick: Horns

 

Auburn vs. Vanderbilt (+4, 37)

 

There is a reason why sharps hammered this line when it opened at +6 and quickly moved it to +4. Vandy is good, in case you didn’t read Week 3 of Four-play.

 

Auburn is coming off a pair of dogfights against Tennessee and LSU the past two weeks and the Tigers were probably hoping for an easy week when the season schedule was released.

 

They’re not going to get it.  

 

Two things will happen this week: 1. Auburn will find out how hard this Vandy team plays and 2. The rest of college football will finally believe the Dores are for real.

 

Pick: Vanderbilt

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Posted by mabridge
5 years ago

WBC Joe...come on dude....Vandy's stadium is a complete joke..so I give them little home court advantage. Vandy currently has a quality win...against Ole Miss...who had 6 turnovers against them. Do not be trapped into believing the ESPN nonsense when they talk about an upset. They are just trying to promote the game and get folks to tune in. Vandy's O is one dimensional going up against the best D in the SEC...that spells doom in this game. Auburn is going to line up and run it down Vandy's throat on O. Nothing fancy...no turnovers...and this thing is over at half.
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Posted by Danyule55
5 years ago

Looking for some feedback. UCONN +7.5 Illinois +2 Mizz -10 AirForce -4
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Posted by bk7376
5 years ago

W8LIFTER says: 10/03/08 06:48PM Better picks here! Alabama -15.5 Miami -2 North Carolina -8 Ohio St. -1 USC -16 COLIN COWHERD'S PICKS! W8 Picks the same every week!
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Posted by NickyKTheGreek
5 years ago

W8Lifter is just giving you Colin Cowherd's exact picks acting like their his or something
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Posted by WBCJOE15
5 years ago

"this Auburn line would be AU-13" really??? Have you seen Auburn play Offense? they can barely score 13 point half of the time... oh yea, they took LSU down to the wire... in Auburn...
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Posted by tomboy23
5 years ago

two big plays today... arkansas and oregon..... both will cover...
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Posted by mabridge
5 years ago

Guys...let's not get carried away. Vandy has statistically the worst O and worst D in the SEC after playing USC and Ole Miss. Arguable, Auburn has the best D and 9 or 10th best O in the SEC. Auburn took LSU down to the wire. Everyone is giving Vandy too much credit for beating Ole Miss. Ole Miss turned the ball over 6 times against Vandy. Ole Miss had 180 yards more O than Vandy. Ole Miss should have won that game by 14....If Ole Miss had won that game by 14 ... this Auburn line would be AU-13....Take the Tigers and enjoy this beat down. This thing will be over by halftime.
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Posted by dgibby65
5 years ago

Great picks. Like the logic on AirForce. It has been a while since Ole Miss has had to come off of a big win and lets not forget this SC defense. Snead has turned it over a bunch this year and that could be the case today. LOVE the Vandy pick. Auburn has to be worn out on defense after the last two weeks and now they have to chase around that Vandy qb all game. Ouch! Look for a repeat of Vandy / SC where it is close throughout the game and Vandy pulls away late. Texas pick is easy. They are playing some great ball. Best of luck and I see a 3-1 or 4-0 week on your horizon.
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Posted by KasperNV
5 years ago

Illinois Minny Navy-Over UNLV
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Posted by WBCJOE15
5 years ago

College football is all about let downs and QBs that make horrible decisions... Auburn has both of them going for them... they have to be beat down, tired, and worn down, plus Auburn's QB is a poor mans Jon Kitna, yea.... he's that bad. Take Vandy and the points while you sit back and enjoy the show.
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Posted by WBCJOE15
5 years ago

W8LIFTER says: 10/03/08 07:48PM Better picks here! Alabama -15.5 Miami -2 North Carolina -8 Ohio St. -1 USC -16 -------------------------------- I love it!!!! a Mega Donk... you're on all of the favorites!!!
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Posted by mvp12331233
5 years ago

W8LIFTER: I like yours a lot better. GOOD LUCK!
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Posted by Rauchy76
5 years ago

possible look ahead to the red river showdown w OK may allow buffs to sneak in a backdoor cover...waitin(hoping) for 14+...air force at home in the mountains i dig tho
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Posted by tcrotejr
5 years ago

texas is going to beat living garbage out of colorado!!!!!!!!!!!!! air force sinks navy!!!!! vandy and s. carolina maybe.
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Posted by tblackk24
5 years ago

Vandy is a def. a great pick. South Carolina however is dreadful. They still don't have a QB and lets not forget how badly they struggle with FCS Wofford. They barley beat them by a touchdown....Food for thought
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Posted by mvp12331233
5 years ago

I am with you on AIR FORCE, but I wouldn't touch the others! GOOD LUCK!
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Posted by ItsOnlyMoney
5 years ago

Great picks, but not so fast. I predict 1 out of your 4 will hit; and thats the Falcons. GL
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Top Response

Posted by ItsOnlyMoney
5 years ago

"Great picks, but not so fast. I predict 1 out of your 4 will hit; and thats the Falcons. GL"