Posted by PrimeTimecover
3 years ago

Phillips29- Atl 3 scoring drives at half...one point off your genius prediction of 10 or less.

Posted by StevenGA1011
3 years ago

SD +3.5 PHI -1

Posted by thenatural74
3 years ago

New York Jets -3 (hook) The Jets have the #1 ranked rushing team while the Bucs are #31 against the run. So the Jets should control the clock and the game and once they get the lead they will force the Bucs and there rookie qb to put the ball in the air and the Jets are ranked #1 against the pass. Yes I know Mark Sanchez is not playing but instead it will be Kellen Clemens and this is not a drop off at all but if anything it is a slight upgrade. Tampa Bay is just 1-8 ATS in their last nine home games and last week people got reminded that they will be inconsistent because of their rookie quarterback. They Jets have been a very good road favorite and are coming off a nice win over Buffalo. They have one of the best defenses in the NFL and I think that they should be able to shut down the Bucs. Kellen Clemons is not the usual backup quarterback because he actually has more experience than Mark Sanchez. I think that he will step up to the challenge here and get New York an important road win. Washington Redskins -1 Washington has gotten its offense on track finally and they gave one of the best teams in football all it could handle last week. Oakland pulled a stunner over Pittsburgh. But they are now due for a letdown. The Raiders have been one of the worst teams in the NFL to bet on for the last several years and I don’t know what makes people think that they are any different now. The Raiders are just 16-37 ATS at home. Oakland now 2-1 SU & vs. the spread behind sparkplug QB Bruce Gradkowski (Pittsburgh native), who tossed three TDP in the fourth quarter last week to shock his hometown Steelers (especially HC Mike Tomlin, who had promised to "unleash hell"). But the Raiders have had a tough time putting wins back-to-back, as they are now 0-3 SU & vs. the spread in 2009 after a victory, being outscored 85 to 10! The Redskins are showing late-season development despite their injury plague, as second-year WR Devin Thomas (two TDs last week), second-year TE Fred Davis (5 recs.) and rookie RB Quinton Ganther (46 YR) all contributed in last week’s near miss vs. New Orleans. Miami Dolphins +3 Miami is coming off a big win over New England and I think that they are excited about hanging around in the playoff hunt. I think that this is going to be a very close, competitive game and that Miami will either win or the points will hold up. Jacksonville has not beaten a team with a winning record all season long and they are coming off their best win of the season, over Houston. And even in that game they barely won even though they got to face Rex Grossman for a portion of it. I think Jacksonville is kind of a soft favorite. They are just 1-12 ATS when they are laying points and they are 0-9 ATS as a home favorite. The Jaguars are not nearly as good as their 7-5 record indicates, because though they are 2 games over .500, Jacksonville is actually getting outscored by 4.0 points/game this season. They have played a very easy schedule, and their offense is one of the worst in the league, averaging just 18.7 points/game. The Dolphins could have packed it in after their 0-3 start, but it just shows how mentally tough this team really is by winning 6 of their last 9 games. This team is well-coached and their players feed of of coach Sporano. Jacksonville is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons. Cincinnati Bengals +7 (bought half point) Minnesota limps home from a loss at Arizona getting exposed: The way to attack this team is by going after the secondary. The Cardinals tore them up, and now a very strong passing game comes to town with another star QB in Carson Palmer (16 TDs, 10 INTs). They have good balance on offense with RB Cedric Benson (969 yds, 4.4 ypc) back, but have outstanding WRs in Chad Ochocinco and Andre Caldwell. The offense ranks 18th overall, and the defense is 4th in the NFL. They had huge 18-12 victory at Pittsburgh that put them in control of the AFC North, as Cincinnati is 4-0 against the Steelers and Ravens this season. Another reason for Palmer’s improvement is the Bengals’ offensive line. He has been sacked only 22 times and rarely has been hit while attempting to pass. The way to beat Minnesota, as the Cardinals showed, is to take away the ground game and force 40-year old Brett Favre to win it. The Bengals are No. 2 in the NFL against the run. Minnesota lost LB E.J. Henderson Sunday night, a huge loss. If the odds makers would give the Bengals the respect they deserved, this line would be Minnesota -3. Instead, they haven't bought into this team just yet while they have Minnesota overvalued. The Bengals have proven they can play with anyone in the league, with a new-found running game and one of the best defenses in the game. Cincinnati allows just 15.6 points/game and 293 yards/game defensively. The Bengals are 4-1 on the road this season, and a PERFECT 6-0 ATS as an underdog this year. Any time you can catch this team in the role of the dog, especially catching a touchdown, it's more than worth it. The Bengals are fighting for a 1st-round Bye in the AFC, so there will be no letting up for this team. The Vikings are 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite since 1992. Denver Broncos/Indianapolis Colts UNDER 44½ Denver is averaging 20.0 points per game while their defense is allowing 16.8 points per game on 17.2 yards per point. Indianapolis is averaging 27.6 points per game and on defense they are giving up only 16.7 points per game on 20.0 yards per point. Both defenses make you work for each scoring opportunity which will benefit us here today. Denver has really stepped up when facing teams that average 350 or more yards of offense per game, their last eight games in that situation have all fallen under the posted total. In those eight games Denver averages 17.1 points per game while their opponents average 18.8 points per game. The Colts respond similarly after allowing 375 or more yards of offense in two consecutive games, posting a 7-19 Under mark in those contests. They are also 4-14 Under when playing at home after winning six or more straight games. Play UNDER on road underdogs of seven or more points the week after a straight up win on the road as a favorite in which they had at least three more minutes of possession time than their season-to-date average. These teams have gone ‘under’ at a rate of 0-10 under since 1994. Play UNDER on NFL teams who won by seven or more points in each of the last two weeks, these teams have gone ‘under’ at a rate of 18-41 ‘under’ since 2008. If they are installed as an underdog that record improves to 3-21 ‘under’ since 2008. Play UNDER on a home favorite of seven or more points after a straight up win at home as a touchdown or more favorite in their last game, these teams are 1-16 ‘under’ since 2007. The fact that the Broncos are on a current winning streak of at least two games also favors the under. Play UNDER on home favorites of seven or more points when their opponent is on a two or more game winning streak, these teams are 5-15 ‘under’ since 2007.

Posted by phillips29
3 years ago

"PrimeTimeCover - Atl +10 How could you not absolutely smother this? Atl is a month removed from being a dynamic offensive team. While NO will feel at home with the dome, look for ATL to play New Orleans close at home and coming off a bad performance. (L35-27 @ NO MNF...remember?) " Are you joking? No Ryan, Turner, White or 2 starting Oline. I don't even see Atlanta scoring 10 pts let alone slowing down NO's enough to stay within 10. You might as well roll your money up and smoke it if you think Atlanta is the play

Posted by griponit17
3 years ago

how the f&*@ can u call him an experienced QB thats a laugh good luck with that on VIKES ML BUCS GB

Posted by Bucks10
3 years ago

You're not winning with those plays

Posted by PrimeTimecover
3 years ago

Here you go- Jets @ Bucs OVER- Public is heavy on the under here with Sanchez out, but don't underestimate the influence of the rushing game on the passing game. Clemens is an experienced backup who will know how to make those big play action passes over the middle. Minnesota -6.5 After a miserable primetime performance on SNF, look for Favre and Co. to come out steaming. Cincinnati has lost so many people money this year while rarely covering the spread.....and losing to Oakland. (Would Vegas give the Steelers this few points?) Atl +10 How could you not absolutely smother this? Atl is a month removed from being a dynamic offensive team. While NO will feel at home with the dome, look for ATL to play New Orleans close at home and coming off a bad performance. (L35-27 @ NO MNF...remember?) San Diego @ Dallas UNDER This is plainly too many points. With a ridiculously important game at hand in week 15, Dallas has only one way of salvaging an early win in December: Defense. Those monsters on their front line and Dware are gonna get after Rivers and the charger's tired running game. Although this game may get into the 40's (24-21 Dallas? 23-17 Chargers?), I cannot see it reaching near the 50's. Your welcome

Posted by BigAir85
3 years ago

Hey Bigyo, same plays. gl

Posted by StevenGA1011
3 years ago

BAL -14 GB -3.5 BUF -1 BUF/KC OVER 37.5 NYJ -3.5

Posted by gurulando
3 years ago

I AM THE ULTIMATE GURU

Posted by veNicedammmit
3 years ago

doe. a deer. a female deer.

Posted by gurulando
3 years ago

Thats a 7 teamer for ALL you MUSHES out there...............................HOLLA AT ME POST GAME

Posted by gurulando
3 years ago

Niners +3.5 Chargers +3.5 Buffalo on the road Miami+3.5 on the road Jets -3 at TB under 37.5 Oakland vs Washington Denver +7 to end the Colts undefeated run...."upset special"

Posted by TRISTANS
3 years ago

Last week 3-1 on my posts. That being said this weeks picks are: ChargersML Chiefs Eagles BucsML ATL OVER Dallas OVER GL2ALL....Get that DOE!!

Posted by BigYo
3 years ago

TB JAGS CINCY BEARS

Posted by BigYo
3 years ago

TB JAGS CINCY BEARS