NFL Power Rankings: Week 4

By Teddy Covers - Covers Expert

The Patriots hold on to the top spot for the fourth consecutive week in our latest Power Rankings, but the Cardinals, Bills and Falcons all make moves up the board after impressive wins in Week 3.

NFL Power Rankings

Rank Last Week Change Team W-L-T (ATS) Power Rating Team Comments
1 1 same 3-0-0
-6.5 New England
More Pats blowouts on the way? Over the last decade, no team in the NFL has passed the ball more when leading by double digits in the fourth quarter.
2 2 same 3-0-0
-5.5 Green Bay
In the modern era of NFL, even so called ‘public’ teams like the Packers can offer real value, as clearly evidenced by their 3-0 ATS mark to open the season.
3 5 up 2 3-0-0
-5 Arizona
After back-to-back 25+ point blowouts, here’s a quote from WR Larry Fitzgerald: “We're not clicking on all cylinders yet. And that's scary to think about, that we can get much better."
4 3 down 1 3-0-0
-5 Cincinnati
After another huge game from AJ Green, the Bengals 6.5 yards per play average no offense ranks #3 in the NFL, just ahead of New England.
5 4 down 1 3-0-0
-4.5 Denver
Through three weeks of the season, the Broncos lead the NFL in the stat that matters most to pointspread success – turnover margin.
6 9 up 3 2-1-0
-3.5 Buffalo
The Bills have been extremely efficient on offense, ranked #2 in the NFL with an 11.2 yards per point average; a real improvement compared to their 14.9 average last year.
7 8 up 1 1-2-0
-3 Seattle
The Seahawks offense continued to struggle against the weak Bears defense on Sunday, 0-2 in the red zone while failing to convert on 11 different third down tries.
8 13 up 5 3-0-0
-2.5 Atlanta
Of the seven 3-0 teams still remaining in the NFL, Atlanta has allowed the most points. Questions about this defense still persist even following their hot start.
9 7 down 2 1-2-0
-2 Kansas City
Injuries are mounting in Kansas City, with a banged up offensive line and a secondary that lost starter Philip Gaines on Monday Night.
10 11 up 1 1-2-0
-2 Philadelphia
Philly’s stats vs. the Jets showed no indication that this team has turned the corner. Sam Bradford was 14-28 for 118 yards and the Eagles gained only 3.4 yards per play.
11 15 up 4 3-0-0
-1.5 Carolina
The Panthers made a potential impact pickup on Monday, acquiring pass rushing force Jared Allen from the Bears to help replace the injured Charles Johnson.
12 10 down 2 1-2-0
-1.5 Indianapolis
Indy might be a little bit better than they are being given credit for right now – they’ve got an NFL worst -7 turnover margin despite having an elite QB in Andrew Luck.
13 16 up 3 2-1-0
-1 Minnesota
Over the last two weeks, the Vikings defense has really beaten up Matthew Stafford and Philip Rivers with their pass rush. Up next? Peyton Manning!
14 12 down 2 1-2-0
0 San Diego
The Chargers have a serious cluster injury problem on their offensive line. King Dunlap, Orlando Franklin and Chris Watt all got hurt in-game at Minnesota and DJ Fluker couldn’t walk after.
15 18 up 3 2-1-0
0.5 N.Y. Jets
The Jets offense really missed Eric Decker (134 receiving yards, 2 TD’s) and Chris Ivory (148 rushing yards, 2 TD’s), neither of whom suited up against Philly.
16 22 up 6 1-2-0
1 Houston
Tidbit worthy of note: The Texans changed to AstroTurf for Sunday's game after using natural grass in every game since Reliant Stadium opened in 2002.
17 14 down 3 1-2-0
1 Miami
Tight end Jordan Cameron following Miami’s humiliating loss: “Can't get any lower than this. We're going to find out a lot about each other, a lot about this team this week."
18 17 down 1 0-3-0
1.5 Baltimore
The Ravens running game has been non-existent through the first three weeks. Leading rusher Justin Forsett has no holes to run through, averaging only 41 yards per game.
19 24 up 5 1-2-0
2 N.Y. Giants
Signs are pointing towards the return of top receiver Victor Cruz at Buffalo this weekend, finally giving Eli Manning his full complement of skill position talent to work with.
20 6 down 14 2-1-0
2 Pittsburgh
I downgraded Pittsburgh five points for the transition from Roethlisberger to Vick at quarterback. Based on the pointspread this week, the markets almost doubled that adjustment!
21 29 up 8 2-1-0
2.5 Oakland
The Raiders win at Cleveland on Sunday snapped a 16 game losing streak in the Eastern Time Zone; a drought that stretched all the way back to 2009.
22 23 up 1 1-2-0
3 St. Louis
More evidence that St Louis has the most dominant front seven in the NFC? They lead the conference with 13 sacks and bullied the Steelers in the red zone.
23 25 up 2 1-2-0
3 Tennessee
Before we get too excited about the Titans improved play, the combined winning percentage of their opponents is an NFL worst .167 (in games not against Tennessee).
24 20 down 4 2-1-0
3.5 Dallas
Of Brandon Weeden’s 22 completions, 18 went to a running back or a tight end. The only Cowboys wide receiver to catch a pass last Sunday was Cole Beasley.
25 21 down 4 0-3-0
3.5 Detroit
The Lions better start winning at home, because their next three road games are all extremely tough: at Seattle, Kansas City and Green Bay.
26 19 down 7 1-2-0
3.5 San Francisco
Colin Kaepernick’s four interception performance at Arizona was as ugly as it gets. He took responsibility. “I nullified all the efforts of every player on the field today."
27 26 down 1 0-3-0
4 New Orleans
The betting markets viewed Luke McCown as nearly a full TD worse than Drew Brees. Will that opinion change after McCown’s 310 yard effort at Carolina, completing 31 of 38 pass attempts?
28 27 down 1 1-2-0
4 Washington
Washington is moving the football but not putting points up on the scoreboard, as clearly evidenced by their 20.3 yards per point average, No. 31 in the league.
29 28 down 1 1-2-0
4.5 Cleveland
The Browns finished the ‘easy’ portion of their schedule with a 1-2 record and a burgeoning quarterback controversy. Their next ‘easy’ game (on paper) doesn’t come until December.
30 32 up 2 1-2-0
5 Tampa Bay
Surprisingly, Kyle Brindza remains the Bucs kicker following a dismal effort in Houston – three missed field goals and a missed extra point in a ten point defeat.
31 30 down 1 0-3-0
6.5 Chicago
With Jimmy Clausen replacing Jay Cutler behind center, the Bears passing game finished with a net gain of 48 yards. Chicago punted on all ten of their possessions.
32 31 down 1 1-2-0
7 Jacksonville
To make things even worse for the Jags, they’ve got cluster injuries in the secondary. Two defensive backs were inactive against the Pats and three more DB’s got hurt during the game.

Power Ratings compute offensive and defensive statistics into one number for each team, while accounting for factors like recent performances and strength of schedule. Power Ratings can be used as a baseline for relative spread index to compare current or future match-ups between two teams. The relative spread does not account for non-statistical factors like home-field advantage, recent injuries, game time decisions, rivalries, publicity, and weather.