NFL Power Rankings: Week 7

By Teddy Covers - Covers Expert

There was a little bit of shuffling at the top of our NFL Power Rankings this week as the Seattle Seahawks, the Minnesota Vikings, and the Atlanta Falcons all made sizeable moves in the right direction - but the New England Patriots may have made the biggest move by separating from the pack.

NFL Power Rankings

Rank Last Week Change Team W-L-T (ATS) Power Rating Team Comments
1 1 same 5-1-0
-7.5 New England
After another dominant win last week, I’ve got the Patriots power rated a full field goal higher than any team in the league – they shouldn’t be underdogs on any field in 2016.
2 4 up 2 4-1-0
-4.5 Seattle
The Seahawks come out of the easy part of their schedule with a 5-1 record but tests loom – road games at Arizona, New Orleans, New England, Tampa Bay & Green Bay.
3 5 up 2 5-0-0
-4 Minnesota
The Vikings come out of their bye week as road favorites in Philadelphia despite the fact that their offense hasn’t clicked, ranked #30 in the NFL in yards per game.
4 7 up 3 4-2-0
-3.5 Atlanta
Matty Ice was brilliant in the spread covering loss at Seattle. He leads the NFL in passing yards, yards per pass, QB rating and TD-to- INT ratio!
5 6 up 1 5-1-0
-3.5 Dallas
Bill Belichick didn’t go back to Drew Bledsoe after the Patriots had established their winning ways with a young Tom Brady. Will Jason Garrett be just as wise with Dak Prescott?
6 8 up 2 4-2-0
-3.5 Denver
The Broncos recent power ratings slide could be primed for a bounceback this week with head coach Gary Kubiak and starting QB Trevor Siemian both back on the sidelines.
7 3 down 4 3-2-0
-3.5 Green Bay
Is Aaron Rodgers legitimately in decline? He threw a terrible interception in the loss to Dallas and his completion percentage and yards per pass both rank near the bottom of the NFL.
8 9 up 1 3-2-0
-3 Kansas City
After throwing nearly 70% of the time during their 2-2 start, the Chiefs ratio was back to normal in their win over Oakland: 22 pass attempts, 40 rushes.
9 11 up 2 3-3-0
-2.5 Arizona
Arizona is known for their downfield passing game, but Carson Palmer didn’t complete a single pass for longer than 14 yards in their Monday Night blowout over the Jets.
10 16 up 6 4-2-0
-1 Buffalo
The Bills rushed for a whopping 312 yards on 44 carries against the Niners last week, numbers that will probably leave Buffalo a tad bit over-rated in the markets moving forward.
11 10 down 1 2-4-0
-1 Cincinnati
The Bengals only two victories this season have come against the Jets and Dolphins, teams that are a combined 3-9 on the campaign.
12 13 up 1 4-2-0
-0.5 Oakland
The Raiders were as flat as a pancake in their home loss to KC last week, unable to maintain their momentum or intensity following three straight nail biting victories.
13 2 down 11 4-2-0
0 Pittsburgh
When Ben Roethlisberger missed a game last year, Landry Jones looked awful in a loss at KC. Jones will get the nod for the first time since that stinker on Sunday Night.
14 19 up 5 4-2-0
0 Washington
When the Redskins got hot last December, they notched four straight wins and covers to capture the NFC East. Their current four game winning streak comes with much less hype!
15 12 down 3 1-5-0
0.5 Carolina
With a pair of underwhelming rookies starting in the secondary, Carolina’s defense allowed more than 450 passing yards for the second time in their last three weeks.
16 17 up 1 4-2-0
0.5 Houston
Did the Texans ‘dig down deep’ as the TV talking heads are prone to say, or was it just Indy giving another game away late in the fourth quarter?
17 21 up 4 3-3-0
0.5 N.Y. Giants
Odell Beckham Jr’s incredible catch and run for the game winning touchdown came on a 4th and 1 play; saving the G-men from what would have been a devastating loss.
18 15 down 3 3-3-0
1 Baltimore
The injury riddled Ravens played without five former Pro Bowlers in their loss to the Giants, and lost CB Jimmy Smith in the second half due to a concussion.
19 18 down 1 3-3-0
1 Los Angeles
The injury bug is hitting Jeff Fisher’s defense. Cornerback Trumaine Johnson and defensive end Robert Quinn missed last week, while defensive tackle Michael Brockers got hurt at Detroit.
20 14 down 6 3-2-0
1 Philadelphia
Don’t underestimate the impact of offensive tackle Lane Johnson’s ten game suspension. Without his protection, Carson Wentz had the worst day of his career at Washington.
21 23 up 2 3-3-0
2 Detroit
A Lions defense that created only one turnover in their first four ballgames has sealed back-to-back home wins with game ending interceptions.
22 20 down 2 2-4-0
2 Indianapolis
The Colts have won as road favorites at Tennessee in each of the last three seasons. But after the Colts loss to Houston, the markets have spoken – Indy is an underdog this time.
23 27 up 4 3-3-0
2 Tennessee
The Titans victory over Cleveland last week was their first home win against anybody other than Jacksonville since their 2013 season finale.
24 26 up 2 2-4-0
2.5 San Diego
The Chargers defense is coming off their best game of the year, by far! They didn’t let the Broncos cross the 50 yard line until late in the third quarter.
25 24 down 1 2-3-0
2.5 Tampa Bay
Dirk Koetter’s squad has been installed as a road favorite in San Francisco by the betting markets, the first time Tampa has been road chalk since their season opener in 2013.
26 29 up 3 2-3-0
3 New Orleans
The good news? Back-to-back wins! The bad news? The defense blew a three touchdown lead, and 38 points from Drew Brees and company still wasn’t enough.
27 22 down 5 1-5-0
3.5 N.Y. Jets
The Jets have lost four straight games by a combined margin of 74 points, while managing to score only a single garbage time TD vs. Seattle in the second half of those contests.
28 25 down 3 1-5-0
4 Chicago
The Bears were +2 turnovers as home favorites against the Jaguars and still found a way to blow the game to a team that hadn’t rallied back from double digits on the road in 20 years.
29 28 down 1 2-3-0
4 Jacksonville
Even though the Jags stole a win in Chicago, their passing game continues to sputter. Blake Bortles stats have declined across the board since last year.
30 30 same 2-4-0
4 Miami
For the first time in 2016, the Dolphins had their entire starting offensive line healthy and on the field together. No surprise then, that Jay Ajayi ran wild in the win over Pittsburgh.
31 32 up 1 0-6-0
6 Cleveland
Let’s give the Browns some credit. With 18 rookies on the roster, in complete ‘rebuilding’ mode, the Browns continue to show fight through the final whistle every week.
32 31 down 1 1-5-0
7 San Francisco
The 49ers drop to the very bottom of my power ratings this week. Since their blowout over LA on the opening Monday Night, San Fran has lost five straight, all by a TD or more.

Power Ratings compute offensive and defensive statistics into one number for each team, while accounting for factors like recent performances and strength of schedule. Power Ratings can be used as a baseline for relative spread index to compare current or future match-ups between two teams. The relative spread does not account for non-statistical factors like home-field advantage, recent injuries, game time decisions, rivalries, publicity, and weather.