WNBA Predictions and Moneyline Picks for Sunday, August 23

Phil Naessens - Contributor at Covers.com
Phil Naessens • Betting Analyst 19+ years betting experience
Updated: Aug 23, 2026 , 05:42 AM ET • 4 min read

Our Sunday WNBA moneyline plays feature the Mystics beating the Fire as 64% favorites tonight!

Sonia Citron of the Washington Mystics WNBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Sonia Citron of the Washington Mystics WNBA

Sunday’s four-game WNBA slate doesn’t offer much standalone moneyline value, but it does present an intriguing combo opportunity.

The Dallas Wings, Indiana Fever, Las Vegas Aces, and Washington Mystics are all heavy favorites, giving us four moneyline sides that can be combined for a more attractive return.

Find out why I’m backing all four favorites today in our best WNBA picks & moneyline predictions for Sunday, Aug. 23.

WNBA moneyline picks for August 23

Matchup Pick (Probability)
Storm Storm
vs
Wings Wings
Wings 80%
Fever Fever
vs
Sky Sky
Fever61%
Mystics Mystics
vs
Aces Fire
Mystics64%
Aces Aces
vs
Aces Tempo
Aces89%
💰 All moneylines parlayed 2.60x

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Expert WNBA moneyline picks for August 23

Storm vs Wings pick: Wings

Kalshi probability: 80%

The Dallas Wings get the nod at home.

Over the last five games, the Wings have posted a 108.8 offensive rating compared with the Seattle Storm's 104.3, while Dallas also owns a 52.2% rebound rate versus Seattle’s 47.5%

The Wings are only 2-3 over that stretch, but Seattle is 1-4, and Dallas has the stronger recent offensive profile.

With home court and the rebounding edge, I’m backing the Wings to win outright up to 85%. 

Fever vs Sky pick: Fever

Kalshi probability: 61%

The Indiana Fever has the better recent offensive profile, posting an 115.6 offensive rating over its last five games, compared with the Chicago Sky, which checked in at 96.2.

The Fever have also gone 3-2 over that span, while Chicago is 3-2 but carries a negative -4.3 net rating

Indiana’s recent shooting and ball security have been stronger, with a 55.7% effective field-goal rate and just a 12.7% turnover rate.

Even on the road and coming off a loss, the Fever are the moneyline side up to 70%. 

Mystics vs Fire pick: Mystics

Kalshi probability: 64%

The Washington Mystics' recent rebounding edge is the key. Over the last five games, the Mystics have posted a massive 59.2% rebound rate and 81.2% defensive rebound rate, while the Portland Fire sits at 50.2% and 70.6%.

Washington’s overall net rating is slightly worse over that span, but the Mystics’ ability to control the glass should limit Portland’s second chances.

With a major rebounding advantage and a 4-1 mark across their last five, I’m backing Washington to win outright up to 70%. 

Aces vs Tempo pick: Aces

Kalshi probability: 89%

The Las Vegas Aces enter Toronto with the stronger recent two-way profile.

Over the last five games, the Aces have posted a 109.5 offensive rating and a 104.8 defensive rating, resulting in a +4.7 net rating.

The Toronto Tempo, meanwhile, owns a 108.6 offensive rating but a 116.5 defensive rating over that same span, which spells trouble for the Tempo. 

The Aces have also gone 3-2 in their last five compared with Toronto’s 1-4. Las Vegas is the more reliable moneyline play up to 95%. 

Today's WNBA moneyline parlay

Wings moneyline

Fever moneyline

Mystics moneyline

Aces moneyline

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Prior to joining Covers in 2022, Phil Naessens spent 38 years as a resident tennis pro in Las Vegas, Mykonos, and Corfu, Greece. He’s the past host of the Phil Naessens Show (Armed Forces Radio), and currently hosts the Crush and Rush Tennis Podcast.

Phil is the author of the Betting 101 series (MLB, NFL, NCAAF, and Tennis) and has written for numerous publications, including Advance Local, SB Nation, FanSided, and Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports. 

His favorite sports to bet on are tennis, MLB, WNBA, Euro men’s and women’s hoops, NCAA sports, NFL, and the NBA. Phil has numerous betting accounts in the US and Europe, and his best advice is to line shop for the best value possible.

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