WNBA Predictions and Moneyline Picks for Monday, August 3

Phil Naessens - Contributor at Covers.com
Phil Naessens • Betting Analyst 19+ years betting experience
Updated: Aug 3, 2026 , 07:05 AM ET • 4 min read

The Aces and A'ja Wilson come up big as 48% underdogs in Atlanta tonight.

A'ja Wilson Las Vegas Aces WNBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. A'ja Wilson of the Las Vegas Aces WNBA

The WNBA is offering up a three-game Monday slate with all eyes focused on tonight's heavyweight fight between the Las Vegas Aces and Atlanta Dream.

The Aces are coming off a brutal buzzer-beating loss at Chicago, and our best bet is for the Aces to bounce back and upset an inconsistent Dream side. 

Read on for the best WNBA picks & moneyline plays for Monday, August 3.

WNBA moneyline picks for August 3

Matchup Pick (Probability)
Aces Aces
vs
Dream Dream
Aces 48%
Storm Storm
vs
Liberty Liberty
Aces 78%
Sky Sky
vs
Mercury Mercury
Sky 51%
💰 All moneylines parlayed 4.6x

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Expert WNBA moneyline picks for August 3

Aces vs Dream: Aces (48% probability)

I like the Las Vegas Aces tonight. 

Las Vegas comes into Atlanta motivated after Saturday’s heartbreaking 84-83 loss in Chicago with the league's sharpest offense over their last five games, carrying a 120.2 offensive rating and converting 59.7% of their effective field goal attempts. 

They've protected the basketball exceptionally well during that stretch, limiting giveaways to a 13.4% turnover rate while allowing just 10.4 points off turnovers. 

The Atlanta Dream surrenders 45.2 points in the paint per game, and the Aces have too much firepower inside for Angel Reese and the Dream to handle, even with Brionna Jones on the floor. 

Back Las Vegas straight up to 51%. 

Storm vs Liberty: Liberty (78% probability) 

I like the New York Liberty to bounce back tonight.

New York pulls down 80.9% of defensive rebounds at Barclays Center, turning those extra possessions into 18.4 second-chance points per game over their last five outings. 

The Lady Liberty locks down the paint defensively during that same five-game span, holding opponents to 40 points per game in the paint and just 5.6 second-chance points a night. 

The Seattle Storm comes into Brooklyn on a five-game slide, giving up 120.9 points per hundred possessions while allowing 17.6 points off turnovers

The Liberty have too much for the Storm to deal with, and are a perfect addition to any combo right to 80%. 

Mercury vs Sky: Sky (51% probability) 


It’s hard not to like the Chicago Sky tonight. 

Chicago comes in riding huge momentum off Saturday's thrilling 84-83 win over Las Vegas behind Sydney Taylor's 29-point night.

Over their past five games, the Sky carry a +4.8 net rating and a 109.3 offensive rating while operating at a fast pace of 101.04 possessions per game. 

The Sky take care of the basketball with a tight 13.8 percent turnover rate. The Phoenix Mercury sits at 105.0 NET ratings on both offense and defense over their last five outings, turning the ball over on 15.1% of possessions while playing at a much slower pace. 

Chicago has already proven they can handle Phoenix. Back the Sky straight up to lock down the victory to 54%. 

Today's WNBA moneyline parlay

Aces moneyline

Liberty moneyline

Sky moneyline

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Prior to joining Covers in 2022, Phil Naessens spent 38 years as a resident tennis pro in Las Vegas, Mykonos, and Corfu, Greece. He’s the past host of the Phil Naessens Show (Armed Forces Radio), and currently hosts the Crush and Rush Tennis Podcast.

Phil is the author of the Betting 101 series (MLB, NFL, NCAAF, and Tennis) and has written for numerous publications, including Advance Local, SB Nation, FanSided, and Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports. 

His favorite sports to bet on are tennis, MLB, WNBA, Euro men’s and women’s hoops, NCAA sports, NFL, and the NBA. Phil has numerous betting accounts in the US and Europe, and his best advice is to line shop for the best value possible.

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