Philadelphia @ Baltimore props

With a 3-point advantage, the Ravens are favored in this game, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their typical approach. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 49.9% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest clip among all teams this week. The predictive model expects this game to see the 4th-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 127.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The Baltimore Ravens have run the 6th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a mere 55.5 plays per game. Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Eagles, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 32.8 per game) this year.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 51.8% of their plays: the 5th-lowest clip on the slate this week. The model projects the Eagles to run the 6th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.4 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics. When it comes to safeties getting after the quarterback, Baltimore's unit has been fantastic this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Eagles are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a focus on throwing than their normal game plan. The 7th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a whopping 60.4 per game on average). Opposing teams have averaged 41.2 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: most in football. The model projects Saquon Barkley to notch 3.9 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 87th percentile when it comes to RBs. Saquon Barkley rates as one of the best pass-catching running backs this year, averaging a terrific 2.5 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 75th percentile.

Derrick Henry has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

This week, Mark Andrews is projected by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 77th percentile among tight ends with 4.4 targets. Mark Andrews's 84.8% Adjusted Completion% this season reflects an impressive boost in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 74.4% figure.

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Eagles are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a focus on throwing than their normal game plan. The 7th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a whopping 60.4 per game on average). Opposing teams have averaged 41.2 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: most in football. In this game, A.J. Brown is forecasted by the predictive model to finish in the 98th percentile among WRs with 10.2 targets. A.J. Brown's 91.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been notably better this year than it was last year at 77.6.

Jahan Dotson has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Rashod Bateman has gone over 2.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Justice Hill has gone over 2.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Nelson Agholor has gone over 1.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

Isaiah Likely has gone over 2.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Grant Calcaterra has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.