Virginia @ Duke Picks & Props
UVA vs DUKE Picks
NCAAF Picks
Spread
Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst
Virginia needs quarterback Chandler Morris, but it seems distinctly possible he may miss this week due to injury. If so, then Duke should be favored by nearly double digits, largely as credit to the Blue Devils' defense. Taking this -6.5 on Sunday is an attempt at getting ahead of that possible line move, while knowing even with Morris, Duke will have homefield advantage and the better defense in this massive ACC tilt.
Receptions
TH
Trell Harris u4.5 Receptions (-152)
Projection 3.8039 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Receptions
CR
Cam Ross u4.5 Receptions (-165)
Projection 3.8612 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Receptions
JE
Jahmal Edrine u3.5 Receptions (-146)
Projection 3.1009 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Receptions
QB
Que'Sean Brown u4.5 Receptions (-146)
Projection 4.1664 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 2 out of 5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
JE
Jahmal Edrine o35.5 Receiving Yards (-113)
Projection 45.6654 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
CR
Cam Ross o41.5 Receiving Yards (-113)
Projection 51.4786 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
QB
Que'Sean Brown o52.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Projection 55.2138 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receiving Yards
CB
Cooper Barkate o74.5 Receiving Yards (-113)
Projection 75.733 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Rushing Yards
JT
J'Mari Taylor o80.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Projection 96.0791 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
UVA vs DUKE Consensus Picks
UVA vs DUKE Props
Player
Prop
Season Avg.
Best Odds
J. Edrine
wide receiver WR • Virginia
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.08
Chandler Morris Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Virginia
C. Morris
quarterback QB • Virginia
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.38
Cam Ross Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Virginia
C. Ross
wide receiver WR • Virginia
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.33
Nate Sheppard Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Duke
N. Sheppard
running back RB • Duke
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.85
Jaquez Moore Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Duke
J. Moore
running back RB • Duke
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.11
Sage Ennis Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Virginia
S. Ennis
tight end TE • Virginia
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.42
Kameron Courtney Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Virginia
K. Courtney
wide receiver WR • Virginia
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.08
Peyton Jones Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Duke
P. Jones
running back RB • Duke
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.25
Andrel Anthony Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Duke
A. Anthony
wide receiver WR • Duke
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.45
Landen King Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Duke
L. King
tight end TE • Duke
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.33
Darian Mensah Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Duke
D. Mensah
quarterback QB • Duke
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.08
J'Mari Taylor Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Virginia
J. Taylor
running back RB • Virginia
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
1.15
Anderson Castle Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Duke
A. Castle
running back RB • Duke
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.85
Cooper Barkate Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Duke
C. Barkate
wide receiver WR • Duke
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.46
Harrison Waylee Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Virginia
H. Waylee
running back RB • Virginia
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.38
Jeremiah Hasley Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Duke
J. Hasley
tight end TE • Duke
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.38
Sahmir Hagans Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Duke
S. Hagans
wide receiver WR • Duke
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.54
Que'Sean Brown Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Duke
Q. Brown
wide receiver WR • Duke
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.31
Trell Harris Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Virginia
T. Harris
wide receiver WR • Virginia
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.38
Eli Wood Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Virginia
E. Wood
wide receiver WR • Virginia
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.23
UVA vs DUKE Trends
Virginia Trends
Virginia have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.71 Units / 36% ROI)
UVA
DUKE
Virginia has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+5.40 Units / 18% ROI)
UVA
DUKE
Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.75 Units / 5% ROI)
UVA
DUKE
Virginia has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.65 Units / 32% ROI)
Virginia has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
Over
Under
Virginia has only hit the Team Total Under in 3 of their last 10 games (-5.12 Units / -44% ROI)
Virginia has only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 13 games (-2.75 Units / -19% ROI)
Over
Under
Virginia has only hit the Game Total Over in 2 of their last 6 away games (-2.45 Units / -37% ROI)
Over
Under
Virginia have only covered the Spread in 2 of their last 6 away games (-2.40 Units / -36% ROI)
UVA
DUKE
Virginia has only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 2 of their last 6 away games (-1.40 Units / -20% ROI)
Over
Under
Duke Trends
Duke has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
Over
Under
Duke has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.84 Units / 28% ROI)
Over
Under
Duke has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.35 Units / 25% ROI)
Over
Under
Duke has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.65 Units / 33% ROI)
Duke has hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games at home (+1.05 Units / 2% ROI)
UVA
DUKE
Duke have only covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 12 games (-7.30 Units / -52% ROI)
UVA
DUKE
Duke has only hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 12 games (-6.85 Units / -52% ROI)
Over
Under
Duke has only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 12 games (-5.60 Units / -39% ROI)
Over
Under
Duke has only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 12 games (-5.45 Units / -39% ROI)
Over
Under
Duke have only covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 12 games (-5.35 Units / -39% ROI)
UVA
DUKE
UVA vs DUKE Top User Picks
Virginia Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | YAL15M | 8-2-0 | +6700 |
| 2 | Alexandr1966 | 7-3-0 | +6300 |
| 3 | bpcollins | 10-0-0 | +5800 |
| 4 | minus110 | 6-4-0 | +5700 |
| 5 | Insiderone777 | 9-1-0 | +5400 |
| 6 | Osiros | 6-4-0 | +5200 |
| 7 | knuckleheadsmiths | 9-0-1 | +5000 |
| 8 | forkball | 8-2-0 | +4750 |
| 9 | kenpitch | 8-2-0 | +4650 |
| 10 | dblackod | 9-1-0 | +4450 |
| All Cavaliers Money Leaders | |||
Duke Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CigarSt22 | 8-1-1 | +7070 |
| 2 | BPD72 | 8-1-1 | +6900 |
| 3 | Franciswarns | 8-2-0 | +5800 |
| 4 | YIAYIA | 7-2-1 | +5410 |
| 5 | Haroldjr33 | 9-1-0 | +5150 |
| 6 | ezgoinguy34 | 9-1-0 | +4450 |
| 7 | KShaff | 10-0-0 | +4400 |
| 8 | Jackson2399 | 7-3-0 | +4350 |
| 9 | GodOfGambler64 | 7-2-1 | +4300 |
| 10 | djmdthedoc | 8-2-0 | +4200 |
| All Blue Devils Money Leaders | |||