Mississippi State 13th SEC5-5

Texas A&M 1st SEC10-0

7:30PM ET Oct 04, 2025

Mississippi State @ Texas A&M Picks & Props

Picks |Consensus |Props |Trends |Top User Picks

MSST vs TAM Picks

NCAAF Picks

Receiving Yards

MC Mario Craver o77.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Best Odds

o77.5 -112

Pick made: one month ago

o77.5 -112

o78.5 -115

o77.5 -120

Mississippi State has allowed 15 passes of 20+ yards already. In fact, opponents are averaging an explosive pass play on almost 10% of dropbacks.

Only one receiver in college football has more 20-yard catches than Craver. And when Mississippi State played Tennessee, both Mike Matthews and Chris Brazzell II went for 100+ on six catches each.

The atmosphere at Kyle Field is going to be intense with a “Black Out” scheduled, and Craver will already be looking for both revenge and a bounce-back game. Getting his total this low, when he had 114+ yards in each of his first three games, feels like a steal.

Rushing Yards

Fluff Bothwell o60.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Best Odds

o63.5 -115

Pick made: one month ago

o65.5 -112

o63.5 -115

o65.5 -125

Both the Aggies (19th in tempo) and the Bulldogs (23rd) play with tremendous pace, meaning
there should be a boatload of snaps in this contest, creating more opportunity for the skill
position players to see volume. While the Aggies have a salty defense on the surface, a closer
inspection reveals that they have trouble tackling (119th per PFF). This leads to an inordinate
amount of explosive runs (134th nationally).

Rank	Leader	L10	Units
1	hudsoncfc	8-2-0	+5900
2	kowalabear	7-3-0	+4800
3	JL023	8-2-0	+4350
4	jjjdavis	8-2-0	+4300
5	riley3rd	8-0-0	+4000
6	midway1942	8-2-0	+3900
7	Lakeshow411	8-0-0	+3800
8	roxwawy20	8-2-0	+3800
9	sprality777	6-4-0	+3750
10	whooped	7-3-0	+3750
All Aggies Money Leaders

Mississippi State @ Texas A&M Picks & Props

MSST vs TAM Picks

MSST vs TAM Consensus Picks

62% picking MS State

68% picking MS State vs Texas A&M to go Over

MSST vs TAM Props

Marcel Reed Pas and Rus Yards Props • Texas A&M

MSST vs TAM Trends

Mississippi State have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 59% ROI)

Mississippi State have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.40 Units / 24% ROI)

Mississippi State have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+4.00 Units / 68% ROI)

Mississippi State has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)

Mississippi State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.45 Units / 10% ROI)

Mississippi State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.10 Units / 8% ROI)

Mississippi State has not hit the Team Total Under in any of their last 3 games (-3.62 Units / -100% ROI)

Mississippi State has only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 12 games (-3.10 Units / -23% ROI)

Mississippi State has only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 12 games (-2.75 Units / -20% ROI)

Mississippi State has only hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 12 games (-2.70 Units / -20% ROI)

Mississippi State has only hit the Moneyline in 1 of their last 3 away games (-1.00 Units / -13% ROI)

Mississippi State has only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (-1.30 Units / -3% ROI)

Texas A&M has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)

Texas A&M has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.25 Units / 3% ROI)

Texas A&M has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.45 Units / 19% ROI)

Texas A&M has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.40 Units / 3% ROI)

Texas A&M has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.95 Units / 22% ROI)

Texas A&M have only covered the Spread in 3 of their last 12 games (-6.95 Units / -53% ROI)

Texas A&M has only hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 12 games (-6.90 Units / -52% ROI)

Texas A&M have only covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 11 games (-5.55 Units / -47% ROI)

Texas A&M have only covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 12 games (-4.00 Units / -29% ROI)

Texas A&M has only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 11 games (-3.65 Units / -30% ROI)

MSST vs TAM Top User Picks

MS State Team Leaders

Texas A&M Team Leaders

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