Cleveland @ Miami Picks & Props

Kel'el Ware has successfully made 54.7% of his field goal attempts this year, placing him in the 88th percentile among all players in the league. As it relates to shooting, the Heat's outstanding 114.5 points per game ranks 8th-strongest in the NBA over the last 10 games. Kel'el Ware ought to get a boost in effectiveness across the board as a result of possessing the home court advantage in this contest.

The 10th-slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Cavaliers. The Cavaliers are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play home offense in the league this year (the Miami Heat). Ty Jerome will likely experience a decrease in output in all stat categories as a result of being on the road in this matchup.

The matchup against the Cavaliers is a difficult one; they have given up the least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SGs this year (12.1). The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league at home this year. The Miami Heat will likely experience a decrease in plays in this contest from competing against the 10th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Cavaliers). The Heat rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Sam Merrill has sunk 50.5% of his field goals over the last 15 games on the road, 8.6% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season away from home. Sam Merrill has successfully made 49.5% of his attempts from downtown over the last 15 games on the road, 10.7% more than he's sunk over the course of the season without the home court advantage. Sam Merrill has played 24.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 5.0 higher than he's played in all games this year on the road. The matchup vs. the Heat is a favorable one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.3). The Cavaliers rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

De'Andre Hunter has sunk 54.4% of his field goals over the last 15 games on the road, 6.9% more than he's converted overall this year when playing away from home. The Cavaliers rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). De'Andre Hunter has converted 94.4% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 11.4% higher than he's made over the course of the season away from home.

The 10th-slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Cavaliers. The Cavaliers are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play home offense in the league this year (the Miami Heat). Donovan Mitchell will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually worsens stat production in all stat categories.

Andrew Wiggins has made 51.7% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games at home, 10.8% higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this season while on his home court. Andrew Wiggins has averaged 35.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 more than he's averaged in all games this year. As it relates to shooting, the Heat's outstanding 114.5 points per game ranks 8th-strongest in the NBA over the last 10 games. Andrew Wiggins has sunk an impressive 3.2 free throws per game this season, quite a bit more than his 2.0 rate last season. The matchup against Cleveland may be a good one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a massive 4.4 free throws per game over the last 20 games when the Cavaliers are away from home (2nd-most in the league).

Haywood Highsmith has converted 58.3% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 16.1% more than he's converted in all games this year. Haywood Highsmith has made 48.3% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 13.2% more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season. As it relates to shooting, the Heat's outstanding 114.5 points per game ranks 8th-strongest in the NBA over the last 10 games. Haywood Highsmith will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home tends to increase player production in all stat categories.

Darius Garland has attempted 6.9 shots from behind the three-point arc per game while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the NBA. Darius Garland has been on the court for 30.8 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. The matchup against the Miami Heat is a good one; they have given up the 4th-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1). The Cavaliers rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Darius Garland has made 3.5 free throws per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.8 higher than he's put through the net overall this year while playing away from home.

Among all players in the league, Evan Mobley comes in at the 89th percentile for shots hit, totaling a whopping 7.1 per game this year. Evan Mobley has made 2.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season. Evan Mobley has been on the court for 30.5 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 46.4% on threes (highest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, identifying this as a strong matchup. The Cavaliers rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Max Strus has made 3.8 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season. The matchup vs. the Heat is a good one for shot attempts from the field; the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled the 7th-most shot attempts per game in the league this year (12.2). The matchup vs. Andrew Wiggins is a strong one for threes; when Wiggins is on his home court other starting SFs this year, they have successfully made a massive 47.7% of their three-point shots (100th percentile). The Cavaliers rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Max Strus has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 18.8% higher than he's put through the net overall this season.

The faceoff with Kel'el Ware places in the 100th percentile with the other team's starting Cs converting an enormous 40.8% of their 3-point attempts this year. The Cavaliers rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Jarrett Allen has sunk 93.8% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 22.3% more than he's converted over the course of the year.

Bam Adebayo has attempted 19.6 shots per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 5.9 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year at home. Bam Adebayo has sunk 46.7% of his 3-point attempts over the last 15 games, 15.9% more than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season. Bam Adebayo has played 40.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.5 higher than he's played over the course of the season. As it relates to shooting, the Heat's outstanding 114.5 points per game ranks 8th-strongest in the NBA over the last 10 games. The matchup against the Cavaliers may be a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 4.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games (7th-most in the league).

Tyler Herro has made 9.8 buckets per game over the last 15 games, 1.3 higher than he's made in all games this year. Tyler Herro has converted 61.4% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games at home, 22.7% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season while at home. Out of all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro ranks in the 97th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 35.6 minutes per game this year. As it relates to shooting, the Heat's outstanding 114.5 points per game ranks 8th-strongest in the NBA over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers is a favorable one for three-point shots; the opposing team's starting PGs have posted the 2nd-highest three rate in the league this year (41.4%).

Dean Wade has gone over 3.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Nikola Jovic has gone over 7.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Duncan Robinson has gone over 5.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Isaac Okoro has gone over 2.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.