Sacramento @ Dallas Picks & Props

Dante Exum has sunk 43.7% of his shots from downtown since the start of last season, ranking in the 98th percentile out of all players in the league. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have notched 18.1 points per game (2nd-most in the NBA) against the Sacramento Kings, creating a strong matchup for offensive productivity. The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from squaring off against the 4th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Sacramento Kings). The Mavericks check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). This year, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 4.7 free throws per game (most in the league) against the Kings, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.

Daniel Gafford has attempted 9.2 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games, 2.0 more than he's attempted overall this year. Daniel Gafford has averaged 32.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.8 more than he's averaged over the course of the season. The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from squaring off against the 4th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Sacramento Kings). The Mavericks check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Daniel Gafford has successfully made 83.6% of his free throw attempts over the last 10 games, 10.7% more than he's sunk over the course of the year.

P.J. Washington has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 1.0 higher than he's committed over the course of the year. When it comes to shooting, the Dallas Mavericks's subpar 111.3 points per game when playing at home measures as the 8th-weakest in the league over the last 10 games. The Mavericks have played at the 7th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home. The matchup against the Kings may be a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.4 free throws per game over the last 20 games (least in the NBA).

Max Christie has successfully made 55.2% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 8.1% more than he's converted overall this season. Max Christie has attempted 5.3 3-point shots per game over the last 15 games, 1.7 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Max Christie has tallied 31.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.1 higher than he's tallied overall this season. The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from squaring off against the 4th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Sacramento Kings). The Mavericks check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Zach LaVine has made 10.1 shots made from the field per game over the last 15 games on the road, 1.4 more than he's put through the net in all games this season when playing away from home. Zach LaVine has successfully made an impressive 3.2 3-point shots per game this season, quite a bit more than his 2.4 mark last season. Zach LaVine has played 34.3 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 93rd percentile. This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting SGs have averaged 2.8 threes per game (3rd-most in the NBA) against the Mavericks, designating this as a positive matchup. The 4th-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Kings.

Keegan Murray has made 54.8% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 10.8% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season when playing away from home. Keegan Murray has attempted 5.6 treys per game this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray ranks in the 94th percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 34.9 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled 16.0 shot attempts per game (highest in the league) against the Mavericks, creating a strong matchup. The 4th-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Kings.

Keon Ellis has successfully made 54.7% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 8.0% more than he's made in all games this year. Keon Ellis has tallied 27.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.5 higher than he's tallied in all games this year. The 4th-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Kings. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Kings grade out 9th-best in in the NBA with 12.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games. Keon Ellis has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 18.1% higher than he's made over the course of the season.

As it relates to 3-pointers, the Sacramento Kings's poor 32.6% rate of made threes when playing away from home comes in as the 3rd-worst in the NBA this year. This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 0.8 3-pointers per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, resulting in a tough matchup. The Kings are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this game from facing the 7th-most lethargic tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks). DeMar DeRozan will likely suffer a reduction in efficiency across the board as a result of playing away from home in this contest.

Malik Monk has attempted 18.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 3.3 more than he's attempted in all games this season on the road. Among all players in the NBA, Malik Monk lands in the 92nd percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, registering 6.9 per game this year. Malik Monk has averaged 36.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 4.6 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season on the road. The 4th-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Kings. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Kings grade out 9th-best in in the NBA with 12.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

This year, opposing starting SFs have totaled 2.3 threes per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Kings, making this a strong matchup. The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from squaring off against the 4th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Sacramento Kings). The Mavericks check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). This year, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 3.1 foul shots per game (9th-most in the NBA) against the Kings, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls. Klay Thompson ought to see a spike in productivity in all facets of the game in light of owning the home court advantage in this game.

Domantas Sabonis has sunk 60.5% of his shots from the field on the road this year, ranking in the 94th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Domantas Sabonis has converted 57.2% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games, 8.7% more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year. Domantas Sabonis has tallied 35.9 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 96th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The faceoff with Daniel Gafford measures in just the 80th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs putting up a massive 15.3 points per game this year. The 4th-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Kings.

Among all players in the league, Kyrie Irving registers in the 94th percentile for shots playing at home, registering 17.2 per game this year. Kyrie Irving has averaged 34.6 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from squaring off against the 4th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Sacramento Kings). The Mavericks check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Kyrie Irving has successfully made 4.7 free throws per game over the last 15 games, 1.0 more than he's converted over the course of the year.

Naji Marshall has successfully made 61.8% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games at home, 11.9% more than he's sunk in all games this season playing at home. The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from squaring off against the 4th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Sacramento Kings). The Mavericks check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Naji Marshall will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home generally improves player production across the board.

Jonas Valančiūnas has gone over 6.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Trey Lyles has gone over 3.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Spencer Dinwiddie has gone over 10.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Jake LaRavia has gone over 3.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Anthony Davis has gone over 24.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.