Denver @ Dallas props

Dereck Lively II has converted 79.9% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 9.1% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year. The 10th-quickest pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks will likely get a boost in possessions today from facing the 4th-fastest tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Denver Nuggets). The Mavericks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). Dereck Lively II will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally boosts stat production for all stats.

Aaron Gordon has scored 13.7 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 76th percentile. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Denver Nuggets are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 10th-speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Dallas Mavericks). The Nuggets rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). Out of all players in the NBA, Aaron Gordon registers in the 87th percentile for getting to the foul line, posting a massive 3.8 foul shot attempts per game this year.

Among all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. rates in the 90th percentile for shots from the field converted, registering a monstrous 7.2 per game this year. Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 3.6 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 1.0 higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season. Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 34.5 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 93rd percentile. This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 16.0 shot attempts per game (highest in the NBA) against the Mavericks, creating a good matchup. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.

Out of all players in the league, Jamal Murray slots into the 90th percentile for field goal attempts, tallying 15.7 per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Jamal Murray places in the 97th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 36.1 minutes per game this year. The matchup against Dallas is a good one for 3-pointers; when the Dallas Mavericks are at home, opposing starting SGs have averaged the 3rd-most shots from downtown per game in the league this year (2.8). The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Denver Nuggets are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 10th-speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

As it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 6th-least aggressive team in the NBA while on their home court over the last 15 games has been the Mavericks. This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PGs have tallied 4.5 three attempts per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, identifying this as a challenging matchup.

Christian Braun has converted 56.4% of his shot attempts from the field away from home this year, putting him in the 88th percentile out of all players in the league. Christian Braun has sunk 54.7% of his treys over the last 5 games, 17.4% more than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this year. Among all players in the league, Christian Braun measures in the 89th percentile for playing time, putting up an enormous 33.4 minutes per game this year. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Denver Nuggets are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 10th-speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

As it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 6th-least aggressive team in the NBA while on their home court over the last 15 games has been the Mavericks. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, making it tough to get to the foul line.

The 10th-quickest pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks will likely get a boost in possessions today from facing the 4th-fastest tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Denver Nuggets). The Mavericks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). Naji Marshall has sunk 98.2% of his free throw attempts with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 90th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The matchup vs. Denver is a good one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SFs have attempted an enormous 3.2 foul shots per game this year when the Denver Nuggets are on the road (10th-most in the league).

Nikola Jokic has posted a terrific 31.6 points per game this year, a significant increase from his 26.7 points per game last year. Nikola Jokic has sunk 2.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.6 more than he's made from 3-point range overall this year while playing away from home. Nikola Jokic has averaged 37.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 99th percentile. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Denver Nuggets are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 10th-speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

The 10th-quickest pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks will likely get a boost in possessions today from facing the 4th-fastest tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Denver Nuggets). The Mavericks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). Among all players in the league, Klay Thompson measures in the 95th percentile for free-throw proficiency with a stellar 93.5% rate this year. The matchup against the Denver Nuggets is a good one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SGs have attempted an enormous 3.7 foul shots per game this year (3rd-most in the NBA).

Quentin Grimes has scored 17.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 7.1 higher than he's scored in all games this year. Quentin Grimes has attempted 7.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 2.7 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year. Quentin Grimes has been on the court for 29.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.3 more than he's been on the court for in all games this season. The 10th-quickest pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks will likely get a boost in possessions today from facing the 4th-fastest tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Denver Nuggets).

Russell Westbrook has sunk 63.5% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 15.5% more than he's converted overall this season when playing on the road. Russell Westbrook has been on the court for 33.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.7 higher than he's been on the court for overall this season. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Denver Nuggets are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 10th-speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Dallas Mavericks). The Nuggets rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Jaden Hardy has gone over 11.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Peyton Watson has gone over 7.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Julian Strawther has gone over 7.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Maxi Kleber has gone over 3.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Daniel Gafford has gone over 6.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.