Atlanta @ Denver Picks & Props

Peyton Watson has successfully made 62.0% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games at home, 11.0% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season while playing at home. Peyton Watson has made 47.5% of his attempts from downtown over the last 10 games at home, 10.0% more than he's sunk overall this year with the home court advantage. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games playing at home. The Nuggets will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Atlanta Hawks). Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 10th-best in in the league with 11.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Out of all players in the NBA, Zaccharie Risacher ranks in the 21st percentile for 3-point ability with an unimpressive 25.1% rate this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied 3.7 3-point attempts per game (4th-lowest in the league) vs. the Nuggets, labeling this as a difficult matchup. The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a challenging one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.6 foul shots per game this year (least in the league). Zaccharie Risacher will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling generally decreases stat production in all facets of the game.

This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 20.5% on threes (2nd-weakest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, creating a tough matchup. Trae Young will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium tends to decrease stat production for all stats.

This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied 3.7 3-point attempts per game (4th-lowest in the league) vs. the Nuggets, labeling this as a difficult matchup. The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a challenging one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.6 foul shots per game this year (least in the league). Jalen Johnson is expected to suffer a reduction in effectiveness in all stat categories due to playing on the visting team in this matchup.

De'Andre Hunter has successfully made 58.5% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 8.4% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year. Among all players in the NBA, De'Andre Hunter lands in the 91st percentile for three-point shots converted while playing away from home, tallying 2.6 per game this year. The Hawks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which ought to boost possessions for the Atlanta Hawks. The Hawks have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the visting team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Russell Westbrook has successfully made 57.8% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 13.7% higher than he's converted overall this season. This year, opposing starting PGs have averaged 2.8 threes per game (5th-most in the NBA) against the Hawks, branding this as a positive matchup. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games playing at home. The Nuggets will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Atlanta Hawks). Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 10th-best in in the league with 11.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

The Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of shots from behind the three-point arc. In comparison to last season's 82.8% clip, Michael Porter Jr.'s foul-shot effectiveness has been reduced this season to 68.3%.

Nikola Jokic has tallied a terrific 31.0 points per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 26.7 points per game last year. Nikola Jokic has attempted 6.0 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Among all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic registers in the 97th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 35.8 minutes per game while playing at home this year. The matchup vs. Clint Capela is a favorable one for 3-pointers; when Capela is on the visiting team fellow starting Cs this year, they have totaled a whopping 1.3 threes per game (97th percentile). The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games playing at home.

The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a difficult one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the other team's starting SFs have tallied the 4th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.9). The matchup vs. the Nuggets may be a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.6 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (5th-least in the league). Garrison Mathews will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city generally worsens player performance in all stat categories.

Dyson Daniels has successfully made a whopping 5.5 field goals per game this year, significantly more than his 2.1 rate last year. Dyson Daniels has successfully made 43.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games, 8.9% higher than he's made in all games this season. Dyson Daniels has tallied 33.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 89th percentile. The matchup against Denver is a positive one; when the Nuggets are at home, they have allowed the 2nd-most points per game in the league to opposing starting SGs over the last 5 games (20.4). The Hawks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.

In comparison to last year's 42.7% clip, Christian Braun's shooting prowess has jumped this year to 56.1%. Christian Braun has played a terrific 33.8 minutes per game this year, significantly more than his 19.8 minutes per game last year. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have shot 55.3% on field goal attempts (best in the league) vs. the Hawks, designating this as a favorable matchup. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games playing at home. The Nuggets will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Atlanta Hawks).

The faceoff with Nikola Jokic lands in the 100th percentile with rival starting Cs burying a monstrous 57.3% of their treys this year when they are playing on the road. The Hawks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which ought to boost possessions for the Atlanta Hawks. The Hawks have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the visting team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against Nikola Jokic is a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; when Jokic is at home other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a monstrous 4.4 foul shots per game (93rd percentile).

Jamal Murray has scored 24.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 more than he's scored in all games this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Jamal Murray places in the 98th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 36.4 minutes per game when playing at home this year. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games playing at home. The Nuggets will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Atlanta Hawks). Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 10th-best in in the league with 11.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Julian Strawther has gone over 7.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Onyeka Okongwu has gone over 11.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

DeAndre Jordan has gone over 2.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Bogdan Bogdanovic has gone over 10.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Vit Krejci has gone over 4.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.