Miami @ Houston Picks & Props

Among all players in the league, Terry Rozier comes in at the 24th percentile for scoring ability on the road with a feeble 38.6% rate this year. The matchup against Houston is a challenging one for three-pointers; when the Rockets have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SGs have shot for the lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (24.8%). The 2nd-most sluggish tempo offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Heat. The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). Terry Rozier is expected to experience a decrease in efficiency for all stats on account of being on the road in this matchup.

The Miami Heat rank as the 7th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing away from home in regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc. The Rockets have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Heat. Nikola Jovic has made 2.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 higher than he's converted over the course of the season while playing on the road. Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 7.6 foul shots per game (most in the league) against the Rockets, finding it easy to draw fouls.

In comparison to last season's 1.7 clip, Kevin Love's personal fouls per game have regressed this season to 0.9. The Miami Heat rank as the 7th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing away from home in regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc. The Rockets have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Heat. Kevin Love has converted 87.5% of his foul shot attempts while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile among all players in the NBA. Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 7.6 foul shots per game (most in the league) against the Rockets, finding it easy to draw fouls.

The Miami Heat rank as the 7th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing away from home in regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc. The Rockets have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Heat. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has attempted 4.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 1.9 higher than he's attempted overall this season on the road. The matchup vs. Houston is a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a colossal 3.5 foul shots per game this year when the Rockets are at home (6th-most in the league).

Among all players in the league, Amen Thompson slots into the 86th percentile for scoring efficiency with a terrific 54.9% rate this year. The Houston Rockets have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 25 games. The Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists). Among all players in the league, Amen Thompson lands in the 82nd percentile for getting to the charity stripe, tallying a colossal 3.4 free throws per game this year. Amen Thompson will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court generally improves stat production for all stats.

Bam Adebayo has converted 52.9% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 7.5% more than he's sunk overall this season. Among all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo measures in the 94th percentile for playing time, registering a whopping 35.1 minutes per game this year. The Miami Heat rank as the 7th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing away from home in regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc. The Rockets have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Heat. Bam Adebayo has attempted 4.0 free throws per game on the road this year, placing him in the 88th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Fred VanVleet has tallied 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (76th percentile). In terms of threes, the Houston Rockets's feeble 32.2% rate of sunk threes comes in as the 2nd-worst in the NBA this year. The Rockets are expected to see a decline in possessions in this game from competing against the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Miami Heat).

The matchup against Houston is a challenging one for three-pointers; when the Rockets have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SGs have shot for the lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (24.8%). The 2nd-most sluggish tempo offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Heat. The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). Duncan Robinson will likely suffer a reduction in efficiency in all facets of the game on account of playing away from home in this matchup.

Among all players in the league, Alperen Sengun ranks in the 91st percentile for shots made, tallying an enormous 7.5 per game this year. Alperen Sengun has averaged 36.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 4.7 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year at home. The rate of treys hit against Bam Adebayo has been very high (52.2%) when facing other starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Houston Rockets have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 25 games. The Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Haywood Highsmith has made 52.8% of his field goal attempts while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 81st percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Miami Heat rank as the 7th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing away from home in regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc. The Rockets have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Heat. The matchup vs. Houston is a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a colossal 3.5 foul shots per game this year when the Rockets are at home (6th-most in the league).

Tyler Herro has tallied 23.9 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league in this category: 94th percentile. Out of all players in the league, Tyler Herro ranks in the 99th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, posting 9.7 per game this year. Tyler Herro has tallied 35.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 94th percentile. The Miami Heat rank as the 7th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing away from home in regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc. The Rockets have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Heat.

Dillon Brooks has converted 7.0 baskets per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.1 more than he's made overall this season with the home court advantage. Dillon Brooks has attempted 8.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 more than he's attempted in all games this season. Dillon Brooks has averaged 36.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.3 more than he's averaged in all games this year. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled 6.3 three attempts per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, marking this as a strong matchup. The Houston Rockets have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 25 games.

Out of all players in the league, Jalen Green ranks in the 90th percentile for shots when playing at home, posting 15.7 per game this year. Jalen Green has attempted 7.7 three-point shots per game this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile among all players in the league. Jalen Green has been on the court for 32.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 84th percentile. The matchup against Miami is a good one for three-point attempts; when the Miami Heat are away from home, opposing starting SFs have tallied the 3rd-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8). The Houston Rockets have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 25 games.

Jabari Smith Jr. has played 38.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games while at home, 6.1 higher than he's played over the course of the season at home. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have shot 43.4% on 3-pointers (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, resulting in a favorable matchup. The Houston Rockets have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 25 games. The Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists). Jabari Smith Jr. has missed 0.1 free throw attempts per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 25th percentile for misses at home.

Alec Burks has gone over 8.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Tari Eason has gone over 9.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.