New Orleans @ Miami Picks & Props

As it relates to 3-point shots, the Heat's remarkable 38.3% rate of successful threes as the home team rates 6th-best in the NBA this year. The matchup against the Pelicans is a good one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the 4th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.1). In comparison to last year's 87.0% rate, Patty Mills's foul-shot proficiency has surged this year to 100.0%. Patty Mills will enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court usually increases stat production for all stats.

As it relates to 3-point shots, the Heat's remarkable 38.3% rate of successful threes as the home team rates 6th-best in the NBA this year. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has successfully made 2.0 foul shots per game this year, placing him in the 77th percentile among all players in the league. Jaime Jaquez Jr. will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage generally increases player production in all stat categories.

Jimmy Butler has attempted 16.4 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.6 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Jimmy Butler has made 54.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games at home, 16.5% higher than he's converted from downtown overall this year while at home. Out of all players in the league, Jimmy Butler measures in the 93rd percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 34.2 minutes per game this year. As it relates to 3-point shots, the Heat's remarkable 38.3% rate of successful threes as the home team rates 6th-best in the NBA this year. Jimmy Butler has attempted 7.9 free throws per game this year, ranking in the 99th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Terry Rozier has tallied 31.6 minutes per game at home this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. As it relates to 3-point shots, the Heat's remarkable 38.3% rate of successful threes as the home team rates 6th-best in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. the Pelicans is a good one for three-point attempts; the other team's starting PGs have tallied the 3rd-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (7.1). The matchup vs. the New Orleans Pelicans is a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PGs have attempted a whopping 4.1 free throws per game this year (8th-most in the league). Terry Rozier will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home tends to improve stat production across the board.

Nikola Jovic has attempted 4.4 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's attempted overall this season. Nikola Jovic has been on the court for 23.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.3 more than he's been on the court for in all games this season. As it relates to 3-point shots, the Heat's remarkable 38.3% rate of successful threes as the home team rates 6th-best in the NBA this year. This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied 5.4 3-point attempts per game (3rd-highest in the league) against the Pelicans, making this a positive matchup. Nikola Jovic has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 41.5% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season.

CJ McCollum has attempted a measly 14.6 shots per game this season, quite a bit less than his 17.9 rate last season. Over the last 20 games when they are away from home, the other team's starting PGs have scored 15.2 points per game (4th-fewest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, resulting in a difficult matchup for offensive efficiency. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games as the away team. The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to reduce opportunities for the New Orleans Pelicans. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Pelicans grade out 5thworst in in the NBA with only 8.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Trey Murphy III has put up 20.6 points per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 4.5 higher than he's put up overall this season on the road. Trey Murphy III has attempted 9.1 3-point shots per game over the last 15 games, 1.5 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year. The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games when playing on the road. The matchup against the Heat is a good one for field goal attempts; the opposition's starting SFs have totaled the 7th-most field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (12.2). Over the last 5 games, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 6.0 foul shots per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Heat, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls.

Herbert Jones has converted 58.4% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games on the road, 5.8% higher than he's sunk in all games this year when playing on the road. Herbert Jones has made 41.1% of his 3-point attempts this year, ranking in the 91st percentile out of all players in the NBA. Herbert Jones has tallied 29.5 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 78th percentile. The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games when playing on the road. The matchup vs. the Heat is a strong one for three-point attempts; opposing starting SGs have totaled the most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.3).

Zion Williamson has averaged 28.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.5 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year. Among all players in the NBA, Zion Williamson measures in the 82nd percentile for playing time, posting a massive 31.0 minutes per game this year. The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games when playing on the road. This year when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot 46.4% on 3-pointers (best in the NBA) vs. the Heat, resulting in a favorable matchup. Zion Williamson has attempted and missed 2.0 foul shot attempts per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 2.5 rate last season.

Naji Marshall has converted 56.2% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 10.2% higher than he's converted over the course of the year when playing on the road. The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games when playing on the road. Naji Marshall has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 19.2% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.

Jonas Valanciunas has converted 54.2% of his field goals away from home this year, ranking in the 85th percentile out of all players in the league. The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games when playing on the road. Jonas Valanciunas has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 17.2% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season.

Bam Adebayo has successfully made 63.5% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 11.3% more than he's sunk in all games this season. Bam Adebayo has made 100.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 68.8% higher than he's made in all games this season. Bam Adebayo has been on the court for 33.9 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 90th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. As it relates to 3-point shots, the Heat's remarkable 38.3% rate of successful threes as the home team rates 6th-best in the NBA this year. The rate of shots sunk against Jonas Valanciunas has been quite high (62.5%) when squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year (97th percentile).

Caleb Martin has not yet played a game this season.

Jose Alvarado has gone over 6.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Thomas Bryant has gone over 5.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Larry Nance Jr. has not yet played a game this season.