San Antonio @ Memphis Picks & Props

Relative to last season's 48.2% clip, Luke Kennard's scoring ability has dropped this season to 38.3%. The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games, opposing clubs have snagged 15.0 offensive rebounds per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the San Antonio Spurs (saving possessions that can lead to more opportunities for offense). Over the last 25 games, opposing clubs have attempted 24.2 foul shots per game (8th-highest in the NBA) vs. the San Antonio Spurs, easily managing to get to the foul line.

This matchup is a good one for three-pointers; when the Grizzlies are playing at home, opposing teams have totaled the most three-pointers per game in the NBA against them this year (15.1). The Spurs check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Keldon Johnson stands to experience a decrease in production across the board due to being on the road in this contest.

Jaren Jackson Jr. has attempted 18.0 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games while at home, 2.2 more than he's attempted overall this season at home. Jaren Jackson Jr. has successfully made 2.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.8 higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season when playing at home. Out of all players in the league, Jaren Jackson Jr. rates in the 82nd percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 31.5 minutes per game this year. As it relates to three-point attempts, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The Grizzlies have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

In comparison to last year's 13.8 clip, Bismack Biyombo's playing time has increased this year to 24.6 minutes per game. As it relates to three-point attempts, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The matchup against Victor Wembanyama is a positive one for shot attempts from the field; when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a whopping 10.8 field goals per game (93rd percentile). The Grizzlies have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Grizzlies are expected to see a spike in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the speediest tempo road team in the league over the last 5 games (the San Antonio Spurs).

Ja Morant has attempted 20.0 field goals per game since the start of last season, placing him in the 98th percentile among all players in the league. Ja Morant has attempted 5.0 treys per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 81st percentile out of all players in the NBA. Among all players in the league, Ja Morant ranks in the 80th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 31.8 minutes per game with the home court advantage since the start of last season. As it relates to three-point attempts, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies. This year when they are at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 48.4% on three-pointers (30th-best in the league) against the San Antonio Spurs, designating this as a good matchup.

Marcus Smart has attempted 5.7 3-pointers per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 84th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the NBA, Marcus Smart registers in the 75th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 29.5 minutes per game this year. As it relates to three-point attempts, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The Grizzlies have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Grizzlies are expected to see a spike in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the speediest tempo road team in the league over the last 5 games (the San Antonio Spurs).

Among all players in the NBA, Victor Wembanyama comes in at the 86th percentile for shots from the field without the home court advantage, putting up 14.5 per game this year. As it relates to shot attempts from downtown, the 6th-most aggressive team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Spurs. The quickest pace visiting team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Spurs. The Grizzlies have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to more plays for the San Antonio Spurs. While on their home court, the Grizzlies have given up the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (9.6) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Doug McDermott has gone over 5.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Santi Aldama has gone over 7.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.