Miami @ Golden State Picks & Props

Duncan Robinson has attempted 7.1 3-point shots per game this year, a big improvement over his 4.7 rate last year. The Heat check in as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. the Golden State Warriors is a tough one for threes; their opposition has shot for the 5th-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (35.2%). Duncan Robinson has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 20.3% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year.

Kevin Love has sunk 2.8 threes per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's made overall this year. The Heat check in as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. the Golden State Warriors is a tough one for threes; their opposition has shot for the 5th-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (35.2%). Kevin Love has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 19.4% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year when playing away from home.

The matchup with Bam Adebayo slots into just the 100th percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs converting an enormous 68.4% of their field goal attempts this year. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 1stbest in in the league with 13.2 offensive boards per game this year. The Heat have allowed the least offensive boards per game (9.0) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Kevon Looney has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 22.4% more than he's sunk overall this year. Kevon Looney will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court usually boosts stat production in all facets of the game.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 1stbest in in the league with 13.2 offensive boards per game this year. The Heat have allowed the least offensive boards per game (9.0) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). This matchup is a hard one for drawing fouls; the other team has attempted a mere 19.0 free throws per game when the Heat are on the road this year (2nd-least in the NBA). Chris Paul will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court usually boosts player performance across the board.

Klay Thompson has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 78th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone when it comes to technicals. When it comes to shooting, the Golden State Warriors's feeble 45.3% field goal rate when playing at home places 3rd-lowest in the NBA this year. The 10th-least up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Golden State Warriors. The Golden State Warriors will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions today from sharing the court with the least up-tempo tempo away team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Heat).

Tyler Herro has attempted 19.4 field goals per game this year, significantly higher than his 16.5 mark last year. Among all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro places in the 96th percentile for threes made while on the road, tallying 3.0 per game this year. Tyler Herro has played 33.2 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 87th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. The Heat check in as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. Over the last 5 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (25th-highest in the NBA) against the Warriors, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line.

Stephen Curry has tallied 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.3 more than he's tallied over the course of the season. When it comes to shooting, the Golden State Warriors's feeble 45.3% field goal rate when playing at home places 3rd-lowest in the NBA this year. The 10th-least up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Golden State Warriors. The Golden State Warriors will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions today from sharing the court with the least up-tempo tempo away team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Heat).

Haywood Highsmith has sunk 59.6% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games on the road, 20.8% higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year away from his home court. The Heat check in as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting PFs have totaled 15.8 shot attempts per game (29th-highest in the NBA) against the Warriors, identifying this as a strong matchup. Haywood Highsmith has converted a terrific 70.2% of his foul shot attempts this year, significantly higher than his 51.8 rate last year.

Bam Adebayo has scored 22.0 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA in this category: 91st percentile. Among all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo ranks in the 88th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 33.8 minutes per game this year. The Heat check in as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. Out of all players in the league, Bam Adebayo registers in the 97th percentile for getting to the free-throw line, tallying a whopping 7.1 foul shots per game this year. The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs against Kevon Looney has been remarkably high (5.3 foul shots per game) when squaring off against other starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

Dario Saric has gone over 9.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

Andrew Wiggins has gone over 12.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.