Denver @ Sacramento Picks & Props

The Denver Nuggets have been the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The matchup against Sacramento is a challenging one for field goals; when the Kings are on the road, the opposing team's starting PGs have compiled the 12th-lowest FG% in the NBA this year (40.3%). The Nuggets have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA without the home court advantage this year. In comparison to last year's 1.2 rate, Reggie Jackson's number of free throws has dropped this year to 0.9 free throws per game. Reggie Jackson figures to see a decline in productivity in all facets of the game due to playing on the visting team in this game.

The Kings have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games. Offensive rebounds save possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings rank 5thbest in in the NBA with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. This year, opposing clubs have grabbed 9.7 offensive boards per game (5th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets (reducing possessions that could otherwise lead to bonus chances for offense). Trey Lyles will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city tends to raise player production in all stat categories.

Keegan Murray has attempted 15.4 field goals per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 9.2 rate last year. Keegan Murray has attempted 8.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, a significant increase from his 5.6 rate last year. In contrast to last year's 29.0 mark, Keegan Murray's playing time has risen this year to 36.0 minutes per game. The Kings have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games. Offensive rebounds save possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings rank 5thbest in in the NBA with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Christian Braun has made an impressive 42.8% of his attempts from beyond the arc this season, significantly higher than his 35.0 rate last season. The Nuggets are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 7th-most up-tempo pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Sacramento Kings). The Denver Nuggets check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). This year, opposing squads have nabbed 9.0 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-fewest in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings (turning over possessions that could otherwise result in added chances for offense).

Compared to last season's 2.7 mark, Jamal Murray's three-pointers sunk have been reduced this season to 2.1 per game. Jamal Murray has accumulated 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, significantly more than his 0.0 technicals per game last year. The Denver Nuggets have been the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The matchup against Sacramento is a challenging one for field goals; when the Kings are on the road, the opposing team's starting PGs have compiled the 12th-lowest FG% in the NBA this year (40.3%). The Nuggets have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA without the home court advantage this year.

Domantas Sabonis has averaged 16.9 points per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile -- among the NBA's best by this metric. Domantas Sabonis has been on the court for 34.5 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 95th percentile. This year when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting Cs have averaged 12.1 field goal attempts per game (30th-most in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, resulting in a positive matchup. The Kings have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games. Offensive rebounds save possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings rank 5thbest in in the NBA with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Kevin Huerter has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the league (76th percentile). In terms of shots from downtown, the Sacramento Kings's unimpressive 33.8% rate of successful threes measures as the 6th-weakest in the league this year. The matchup vs. Denver is a difficult one for three-pointers; when the Denver Nuggets have the home court advantage, opposing starting SGs have put up the 13th-lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (26.2%). The Sacramento Kings will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league this year (the Nuggets).

Harrison Barnes has sunk 43.6% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games on the road, 8.7% more than he's made over the course of the season while on the road. The Kings have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games. Offensive rebounds save possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings rank 5thbest in in the NBA with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. This year, opposing clubs have grabbed 9.7 offensive boards per game (5th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets (reducing possessions that could otherwise lead to bonus chances for offense). The matchup against Denver is a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a massive 3.5 foul shots per game this year when the Nuggets are the visiting team (24th-most in the league).

Nikola Jokic has sunk a measly 27.8% of his 3-point attempts this year, a significant dropoff from his 37.4 rate last year. Nikola Jokic has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 0.8 higher than he's committed overall this year on the road. The Denver Nuggets have been the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year. This matchup is a positive one for three-pointers; when the Sacramento Kings are the visiting team, opposing clubs have posted the 3rd-highest 3-point rate in the league against them this year (39.1%). This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting Cs have tallied 0.7 three attempts per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) against the Kings, making this a difficult matchup.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The Nuggets have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA without the home court advantage this year. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope stands to suffer a drop-off in efficiency in all facets of the game as a result of being on the road in this matchup.

Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 30.9 minutes per game at home this year, placing him in the 78th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting PFs have tallied 8.1 baskets per game (30th-most in the NBA) against the Sacramento Kings, marking this as a favorable matchup. The Nuggets are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 7th-most up-tempo pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Sacramento Kings). The Denver Nuggets check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). This year, opposing squads have nabbed 9.0 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-fewest in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings (turning over possessions that could otherwise result in added chances for offense).

Out of all players in the league, Aaron Gordon rates in the 83rd percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 32.2 minutes per game playing at home this year. The matchup vs. Sacramento is a strong one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Kings are on the road, opposing starting SFs have totaled the 30th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.7). The Nuggets are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 7th-most up-tempo pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Sacramento Kings). The Denver Nuggets check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). This year, opposing squads have nabbed 9.0 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-fewest in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings (turning over possessions that could otherwise result in added chances for offense).

De'Aaron Fox has averaged an impressive 34.6 points per game this season, quite a bit more than his 25.1 points per game last season. In comparison to last season's 5.4 mark, De'Aaron Fox's 3-point attempts have surged this season to 8.5 per game. De'Aaron Fox has averaged 35.8 minutes per game at home this year, placing him in the 98th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. The Kings have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games. Offensive rebounds save possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings rank 5thbest in in the NBA with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

In contrast to last season's 1.9 clip, Malik Monk's three-point shots scored have spiked this season to 2.4 per game. The Kings have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games. Offensive rebounds save possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings rank 5thbest in in the NBA with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. This year, opposing clubs have grabbed 9.7 offensive boards per game (5th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets (reducing possessions that could otherwise lead to bonus chances for offense). In contrast to last season's 3.1 rate, Malik Monk's foul shots made have increased this season to 4.9 per game.