Ezequiel Duran Total Hits Props • Texas
Sutter Health Park profiles as the #10 stadium in the game for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 95°. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Ezequiel Duran's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.1-mph over the course of the season to 93.5-mph of late. Ezequiel Duran's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 34.6% to 44.4%. Ezequiel Duran has been unlucky this year, posting a .254 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .299 — a .045 discrepancy.