Philadelphia @ Chicago Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 85th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Batting from the opposite that Jonathan Cannon throws from, Bryson Stott will have an advantage in today's game. Bryson Stott has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Bryson Stott has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.3-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 87.4-mph figure. Bryson Stott's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 16.2% to 20.1%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Miguel Vargas is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. Considering Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Miguel Vargas will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. Miguel Vargas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.4% — 77th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 4th-strongest out of all the teams in action today.

Hitting from the opposite that Jonathan Cannon throws from, Max Kepler will have an advantage today. Max Kepler pulls many of his flyballs (33.4% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Max Kepler's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 13.8% to 17.6%. Max Kepler has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .205 BA is a fair amount lower than his .241 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. In terms of plate discipline, Max Kepler's ability is quite good, sporting a 1.71 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 79th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Teel in the 91st percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-least fair ground in the league — generally good for homers. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 4th-strongest out of all the teams in action today. Kyle Teel will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edgar Quero in the 77th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Edgar Quero is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Edgar Quero will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Jesus Luzardo) in today's matchup. Edgar Quero has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 4th-strongest out of all the teams in action today.

Bryce Harper projects as the 13th-best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Bryce Harper will hold the platoon advantage over Jonathan Cannon in today's matchup. Bryce Harper has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Jonathan Cannon will have the handedness advantage against J.T. Realmuto today. J.T. Realmuto will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. Posting a 3.72 K/BB rate this year, J.T. Realmuto has displayed poor plate discipline, grading out in the 21st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase Meidroth in the 81st percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Chase Meidroth is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. Chase Meidroth will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup... and moreover, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Chase Meidroth has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 4th-strongest out of all the teams in action today.

Batting from the same side that Jonathan Cannon throws from, Trea Turner will not have the upper hand today. Trea Turner will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal figure of 10.5°, Trea Turner has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (2.8°) in the last two weeks.

Otto Kemp's BABIP ability is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-least fair ground in the league — generally good for homers.

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brandon Marsh will hold the platoon advantage against Jonathan Cannon today. Brandon Marsh has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.327) may lead us to conclude that Brandon Marsh has had bad variance on his side this year with his .299 actual wOBA. In notching a .326 BABIP this year, Brandon Marsh has performed in the 81st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 81st percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Andrew Benintendi is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-least fair ground in the league — generally good for homers. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 4th-strongest out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Andrew Benintendi will hold that advantage today.

Hitting from the same side that Jonathan Cannon throws from, Nick Castellanos meets a tough challenge in today's game. Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Nick Castellanos in today's game. Nick Castellanos's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 91-mph seasonal average has dropped to 82.2-mph in the past 14 days. By putting up a 4.09 K/BB rate this year, Nick Castellanos has shown weak plate discipline, placing in the 17th percentile.

Because of Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Lenyn Sosa will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today. Lenyn Sosa has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 4th-strongest out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Lenyn Sosa will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert Jr. in the 86th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Luis Robert Jr. is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-least fair ground in the league — generally good for homers. Considering Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Luis Robert Jr. will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 4th-strongest out of all the teams in action today.

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-least fair ground in the league — generally good for homers. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 4th-strongest out of all the teams in action today. Colson Montgomery will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Colson Montgomery has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 9.5% seasonal rate to 19% over the last 14 days. Colson Montgomery has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 83.1-mph to 89.4-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 15th-best hitter in baseball. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Jonathan Cannon throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have an advantage in today's game. Kyle Schwarber pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.2% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

When assessing his BABIP skill, Austin Slater is projected as the 11th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Austin Slater is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. Given Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Austin Slater will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. Austin Slater has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 4th-strongest out of all the teams in action today.

Mike Tauchman has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.