San Francisco @ Chicago Picks & Props

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Miguel Vargas is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The weather report forecasts the 5th-most favorable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. Extreme groundball batters like Miguel Vargas generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Landen Roupp.

Batting from the same side that Aaron Civale throws from, Heliot Ramos will be in a tough position in today's matchup. Heliot Ramos will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.262) may lead us to conclude that Heliot Ramos has been very fortunate this year with his .283 actual batting average.

Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Rafael Devers in today's game. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Rafael Devers has experienced some positive variance this year. His .383 mark has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .365.

The weather report forecasts the 5th-most favorable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. Brett Wisely will have the handedness advantage over Aaron Civale in today's game. Brett Wisely has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert Jr. in the 86th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. The weather report forecasts the 5th-most favorable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. Among all the teams in action today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the San Francisco Giants. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Luis Robert Jr. will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 84th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Andrew Benintendi is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The weather report forecasts the 5th-most favorable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Landen Roupp throws from, Andrew Benintendi will have an advantage in today's game.

The weather report forecasts the 5th-most favorable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Patrick Bailey will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Aaron Civale today. Over the past week, Patrick Bailey's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.4% up to 14.3%. Despite posting a .236 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Patrick Bailey has had bad variance on his side given the .046 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .282.

The weather report forecasts the 5th-most favorable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. Lenyn Sosa has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Among all the teams in action today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the San Francisco Giants. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Lenyn Sosa will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Willy Adames is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. The weather report forecasts the 5th-most favorable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. Last year, Willy Adames had an average launch angle of 22.2° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 25.5°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jung Hoo Lee in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. The weather report forecasts the 5th-most favorable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. Jung Hoo Lee will have the handedness advantage over Aaron Civale in today's matchup. There has been a significant improvement in Jung Hoo Lee's launch angle from last season's 9.5° to 12.5° this year.

Mike Tauchman is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. The weather report forecasts the 5th-most favorable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Landen Roupp throws from, Mike Tauchman will have an edge in today's matchup. Mike Tauchman has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Teel in the 83rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Kyle Teel is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. The weather report forecasts the 5th-most favorable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Landen Roupp throws from, Kyle Teel will have an edge in today's game.

Mike Yastrzemski is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. The weather report forecasts the 5th-most favorable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. Mike Yastrzemski will hold the platoon advantage over Aaron Civale today. Mike Yastrzemski pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.2% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The weather report forecasts the 5th-most favorable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. Ranking in the 90th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.02 ft/sec this year, Christian Koss is remarkably quick.

The weather report forecasts the 5th-most favorable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. Josh Rojas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Landen Roupp in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the San Francisco Giants. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Josh Rojas will hold that advantage today.

Wilmer Flores is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The weather report forecasts the 5th-most favorable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. Wilmer Flores pulls many of his flyballs (36.7% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Wilmer Flores has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 89.9-mph average to last year's 87.6-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase Meidroth in the 78th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Chase Meidroth is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The weather report forecasts the 5th-most favorable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. Chase Meidroth has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

The weather report forecasts the 5th-most favorable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Landen Roupp throws from, Ryan Noda will have the upper hand today. Ryan Noda pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.2% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Among all the teams in action today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the San Francisco Giants.

Dominic Smith has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.