Los Angeles @ Miami Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chris Taylor in the 78th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best field in the league for righty base hits. In the majors, LoanDepot Park's centerfield fences are the 6th-shallowest. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Chris Taylor has suffered from bad luck this year. His .255 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .290. The standard deviation of Chris Taylor's launch angle this year (24.6°) is in the 87th percentile. A low mark like this tends to lead to a higher rate of base hits.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best field in the league for righty base hits. In the majors, LoanDepot Park's centerfield fences are the 6th-shallowest. Nick Fortes will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Pages in the 78th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best field in the league for righty base hits. In the majors, LoanDepot Park's centerfield fences are the 6th-shallowest. Andy Pages has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .300 figure is considerably lower than his .337 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Andy Pages's 20.3° launch angle (a reliable standard to assess a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most flyball-inducing in the majors: 95th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez as the 8th-best batter in the game when estimating his BABIP skill. Teoscar Hernandez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best field in the league for righty base hits. Teoscar Hernandez has made big gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 14.7% seasonal rate to 25% over the past 14 days. Over the past two weeks, Teoscar Hernandez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96-mph over the course of the season to 104.8-mph lately.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best park in the league for lefty BABIP. Griffin Conine will hold the platoon advantage against Jack Flaherty in today's matchup. Griffin Conine hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Griffin Conine will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which often leads to worse offense. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching. As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Xavier Edwards will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side against Jack Flaherty in today's game. Xavier Edwards has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-deepest LF fences today. Xavier Edwards's average exit velocity has declined lately; his 86-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 82.4-mph over the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best field in the league for righty base hits. Otto Lopez hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Otto Lopez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Otto Lopez has made significant improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 5.4% seasonal rate to 15.4% in the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddie Freeman as the 6th-best batter in the majors when it comes to his batting average talent. Freddie Freeman is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best park in the league for lefty BABIP. Freddie Freeman will have the handedness advantage over Edward Cabrera in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Freddie Freeman has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mookie Betts ranks as the 14th-best hitter in the game. Mookie Betts is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best field in the league for righty base hits. Mookie Betts hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Compared to his seasonal average of 20.5°, Mookie Betts has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 24.3° mark over the past two weeks.

Shohei Ohtani projects as the 4th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Shohei Ohtani is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. The Miami Marlins projected offense ranks as the 2nd-worst on the slate in terms of overall batting skill. It may be sensible to expect worse numbers for the Miami Marlins offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 8th-luckiest offense in the majors this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best park in the league for lefty BABIP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Jake Burger is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best field in the league for righty base hits. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Jake Burger will hold that advantage in today's game.

Connor Norby's BABIP skill is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Connor Norby is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best field in the league for righty base hits. Connor Norby will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Connor Norby's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95-mph over the course of the season to 98.9-mph lately.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 84th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best park in the league for lefty BABIP. Hitting from the opposite that Jack Flaherty throws from, Jesus Sanchez will have an advantage in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Jesus Sanchez will hold that advantage in today's game.

Jonah Bride is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best field in the league for righty base hits. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Jonah Bride will hold that advantage in today's game. Jonah Bride has made notable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 5.3% seasonal rate to 11.8% in the past two weeks. Jonah Bride has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.8-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 86.6-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best park in the league for lefty BABIP. Kyle Stowers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jack Flaherty in today's matchup. Kyle Stowers hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Kyle Stowers will hold that advantage today. Kyle Stowers has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 101.1-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 91.3-mph mark.

Tommy Edman's batting average skill is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Tommy Edman is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best park in the league for lefty BABIP. In the last two weeks, Tommy Edman's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 88.8-mph over the course of the season to 91.5-mph in recent games. Compared to last year, Tommy Edman has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 12.6% to 19.8% this season.

Gavin Lux's BABIP talent is projected in the 82nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best park in the league for lefty BABIP. Gavin Lux will have the handedness advantage against Edward Cabrera in today's matchup. Gavin Lux is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP. Gavin Lux hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best park in the league for lefty BABIP. Batting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Max Muncy will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Max Muncy can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Max Muncy has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97.9-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal EV of 95.5-mph. Last year, Max Muncy had an average launch angle of 22.7° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 27.7°.

Kevin Kiermaier has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Javier Sanoja has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.