Cincinnati @ St. Louis Picks & Props

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Paul Goldschmidt is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the weakest out of every team playing today. Paul Goldschmidt will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of every team playing today. Masyn Winn will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Over the last 7 days, Masyn Winn's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 2.2% up to 10%. Masyn Winn has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 88.2-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 86-mph EV.

Jake Fraley pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.8% — 89th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 2nd-deepest RF fences in today's game. Jake Fraley will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. Jake Fraley has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 6.1% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past two weeks. Jake Fraley's average exit velocity has declined of late; his 84.5-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 77.4-mph in the past 14 days.

Luken Baker is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of every team playing today. Luken Baker will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Luken Baker's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls lately (13.7° over the last week) is quite a bit higher than his 9.3° seasonal mark.

Richie Palacios has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (100% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Richie Palacios will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hunter Greene today. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of every team playing today. Richie Palacios will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Homers are generally less common at venues with deep fences, and Busch Stadium has the 5th-deepest in Major League Baseball. Miles Mikolas will hold the platoon advantage over Christian Encarnacion-Strand in today's matchup. Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Christian Encarnacion-Strand in today's game.

The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of every team playing today. Jose Fermin will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Jose Fermin is notably fast, ranking in the 75th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.32 ft/sec this year.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Spencer Steer ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Spencer Steer is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Spencer Steer's launch angle recently (29.8° over the past week) is significantly higher than his 15° seasonal figure. A consistent launch angle is a measure of good hitting, and Spencer Steer has been very consistent with his lately, posting a 34.3° launch angle standard deviation in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Tommy Edman's batting average skill is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Tommy Edman is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of every team playing today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Tommy Edman will hold that advantage today.

Joey Votto is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Joey Votto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Miles Mikolas today. Joey Votto's launch angle of late (22.5° in the last 14 days) is quite a bit higher than his 13.8° seasonal angle.

The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of every team playing today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Andrew Knizner will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Andrew Knizner's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, going from 17.9% on the season to 33.3% in the past week.

The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Will Benson will hold the platoon advantage against Miles Mikolas in today's matchup. Will Benson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (41.6% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Will Benson has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 101.4-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal EV of 95-mph. Will Benson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, rising from 18.2% on the season to 28.6% over the last two weeks.

Jordan Walker's BABIP talent is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jordan Walker is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of every team playing today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Jordan Walker will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Tyler Stephenson has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.