Boston @ Baltimore Picks & Props
BOS vs BAL Picks
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BOS vs BAL Consensus Picks
73% picking Boston vs Baltimore to go Over
Total PicksBOS 37, BAL 14
BOS vs BAL Props
Wilyer Abreu Total Hits Props • Boston
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best field in MLB for LHB base hits. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 81°. Wilyer Abreu will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Bradish in today's game. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense grades out as the weakest among all the teams on the slate today. Wilyer Abreu has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.3-mph to 94.8-mph in the last week.
Enmanuel Valdez Total Hits Props • Boston
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best field in MLB for LHB base hits. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 81°. Enmanuel Valdez will hold the platoon advantage over Kyle Bradish today. Enmanuel Valdez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense grades out as the weakest among all the teams on the slate today.
Adam Frazier Total Hits Props • Baltimore
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best field in MLB for LHB base hits. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest right field dimensions in Major League Baseball. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 81°. Adam Frazier will hold the platoon advantage over Tanner Houck in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Boston Red Sox.
Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 18th-best batter in baseball. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best field in MLB for LHB base hits. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest right field dimensions in Major League Baseball. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 81°.
Anthony Santander Total Hits Props • Baltimore
Anthony Santander is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best field in MLB for LHB base hits. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 81°. Anthony Santander pulls many of his flyballs (38.9% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like Anthony Santander are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Tanner Houck.
Bobby Dalbec Total Hits Props • Boston
The #8 ballpark in the game for boosting base hits to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 81°. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense grades out as the weakest among all the teams on the slate today. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Bobby Dalbec has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .286 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .308.
Justin Turner Total Hits Props • Boston
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Justin Turner in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Justin Turner is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The #8 ballpark in the game for boosting base hits to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 81°. Justin Turner has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
Jordan Westburg Total Hits Props • Baltimore
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. The #8 ballpark in the game for boosting base hits to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 81°. Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Boston Red Sox. Jordan Westburg will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.
Reese McGuire Total Hits Props • Boston
Reese McGuire has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.
Adam Duvall Total Hits Props • Boston
Adam Duvall has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.
BOS vs BAL Trends
Boston Trends
The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.65 Units / 49% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 37 of their last 65 away games (+8.13 Units / 11% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 60 away games (+6.25 Units / 9% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.95 Units / 29% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 away games (+0.10 Units / 2% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have only covered the Run Line in 56 of their last 126 games (-28.30 Units / -17% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have only hit the Moneyline in 56 of their last 126 games (-24.15 Units / -15% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 65 away games (-16.81 Units / -21% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have only hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 60 away games (-14.60 Units / -20% ROI)
Baltimore Trends
The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 83 of their last 134 games (+30.40 Units / 18% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 89 of their last 148 games (+27.80 Units / 15% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.70 Units / 50% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 45 of their last 77 games (+8.29 Units / 9% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+5.72 Units / 28% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have only hit the Team Total Under in 71 of their last 161 games (-31.57 Units / -17% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 79 games at home (-12.16 Units / -12% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 18 games at home (-8.47 Units / -27% ROI)
BOS vs BAL Top User Picks
Boston Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | dispnum1 | 5-5-0 | +16630 |
| 2 | stakay125 | 7-3-0 | +16380 |
| 3 | Jackson2399 | 6-4-0 | +15369 |
| 4 | regger22 | 8-2-0 | +14785 |
| 5 | Andrew333_ | 7-3-0 | +13995 |
| 6 | mikeg1827 | 5-5-0 | +13785 |
| 7 | Shitman | 8-2-0 | +13440 |
| 8 | Coakley | 7-3-0 | +12975 |
| 9 | Sandsaver727 | 3-7-0 | +12835 |
| 10 | TheTotalMan | 9-1-0 | +12815 |
| All Red Sox Money Leaders | |||
Baltimore Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sandsaver727 | 5-5-0 | +31435 |
| 2 | stumpmaker | 4-5-1 | +24450 |
| 3 | reddog6008 | 7-2-1 | +20117 |
| 4 | coach_d5 | 7-3-0 | +18885 |
| 5 | jnc3lb | 5-5-0 | +16895 |
| 6 | mccabe40 | 3-7-0 | +16810 |
| 7 | MLBFan8848 | 5-5-0 | +16285 |
| 8 | R_MUNDO | 4-6-0 | +16065 |
| 9 | Enelra18 | 4-5-1 | +15445 |
| 10 | Queefs4 | 5-4-1 | +15185 |
| All Orioles Money Leaders | |||