Boston @ Baltimore Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Ryan O'Hearn is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best stadium in MLB for LHB base hits. Ryan O'Hearn will have the handedness advantage over Nick Pivetta in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Ryan O'Hearn will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Austin Hays is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. The #8 field in the majors for boosting BABIP to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Austin Hays will hold that advantage in today's game. Sporting a .347 BABIP this year, Austin Hays has performed in the 92nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best stadium in MLB for LHB base hits. Among all parks, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's RF dimensions are the shallowest. Adam Frazier will hold the platoon advantage against Nick Pivetta in today's game. Adam Frazier will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Adam Frazier's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 14.4% to 20.2%.

Cedric Mullins II is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best stadium in MLB for LHB base hits. Cedric Mullins II will hold the platoon advantage against Nick Pivetta in today's matchup. Cedric Mullins II pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Cedric Mullins II will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heston Kjerstad in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Heston Kjerstad has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (83% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best stadium in MLB for LHB base hits. Among all parks, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's RF dimensions are the shallowest. Heston Kjerstad will hold the platoon advantage against Nick Pivetta in today's game.

The #8 field in the majors for boosting BABIP to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. James McCann hits many of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and James McCann will hold that advantage today. James McCann's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 13.2% to 18.6%. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.252) may lead us to conclude that James McCann has been unlucky this year with his .228 actual batting average.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 16th-best hitter in MLB. Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best stadium in MLB for LHB base hits. Among all parks, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's RF dimensions are the shallowest. Rafael Devers has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.2-mph to 96.8-mph over the last two weeks.

Anthony Santander is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best stadium in MLB for LHB base hits. Anthony Santander pulls many of his flyballs (38.9% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Anthony Santander will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Anthony Santander has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.5-mph to 94.3-mph over the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 78th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. The #8 field in the majors for boosting BABIP to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Connor Wong will hold the platoon advantage against John Means in today's matchup. In the past 7 days, Connor Wong's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.6% up to 66.7%. Connor Wong has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.1-mph to 97.3-mph over the past 7 days.

The #8 field in the majors for boosting BABIP to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Pablo Reyes will hold the platoon advantage against John Means in today's matchup. Pablo Reyes's footspeed has improved this year. His 27.16 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.93 ft/sec now. By putting up a .274 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Pablo Reyes is ranked in the 85th percentile. Pablo Reyes has shown impressive plate discipline this year, ranking in the 87th percentile with a 1.72 K/BB rate.

Ceddanne Rafaela is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The #8 field in the majors for boosting BABIP to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Ceddanne Rafaela will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against John Means in today's game. Over the past 7 days, Ceddanne Rafaela's 80% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42.9%.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Justin Turner ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Justin Turner is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The #8 field in the majors for boosting BABIP to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Justin Turner will hold the platoon advantage against John Means today. Justin Turner has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Rob Refsnyder is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #8 field in the majors for boosting BABIP to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Rob Refsnyder will hold the platoon advantage against John Means today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.344) implies that Rob Refsnyder has had bad variance on his side this year with his .317 actual wOBA.

The #8 field in the majors for boosting BABIP to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Bobby Dalbec will hold the platoon advantage against John Means in today's game. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.4°, Bobby Dalbec has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 29° angle over the past 7 days. Bobby Dalbec has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .288 figure is a fair amount lower than his .311 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Adam Duvall is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. The #8 field in the majors for boosting BABIP to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Adam Duvall will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against John Means in today's matchup. Adam Duvall is an extreme flyball hitter and faces the weak outfield defense of Baltimore (#3-worst on the slate). Adam Duvall has made big gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 13.2% seasonal rate to 28.6% over the past 7 days.

Wilyer Abreu has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.