Baltimore @ Los Angeles Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gunnar Henderson in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. Gunnar Henderson has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.2-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 92.4-mph figure. Gunnar Henderson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, rising from 14.5% on the season to 31.3% over the past 7 days. Gunnar Henderson has posted a .352 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, grading out in the 78th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Drury in the 78th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Brandon Drury is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Brandon Drury will hold that advantage today. Brandon Drury has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.3-mph to 96.2-mph in the past 7 days. Compared to last season, Brandon Drury has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 38.8% to 45.6% this season.

Logan O'Hoppe is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 85% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Logan O'Hoppe will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Over the last 7 days, Logan O'Hoppe's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.6-mph over the course of the season to 98.9-mph of late. Over the past 14 days, Logan O'Hoppe has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 26.6° compared to his seasonal mark of 21.4°. Logan O'Hoppe has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last season's 26.59 ft/sec to 27.75 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyren Paris in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Kyren Paris will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cedric Mullins II in the 81st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Cedric Mullins II's launch angle this season (23°) is quite a bit better than his 17.3° figure last season.

Mickey Moniak will hold the platoon advantage over Grayson Rodriguez in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Mickey Moniak will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Mickey Moniak has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.6-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 89.2-mph EV. Grading out in the 95th percentile, Mickey Moniak has notched a .396 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Rengifo in the 79th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Luis Rengifo is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 63% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Luis Rengifo will hold that advantage today. Over the last week, Luis Rengifo's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7% up to 15%. Luis Rengifo's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (14°) is quite a bit better than his 9.1° mark last season.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Randal Grichuk will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Mike Moustakas is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. Mike Moustakas will hold the platoon advantage against Grayson Rodriguez today. Mike Moustakas is an extreme flyball hitter and faces the weak outfield defense of Baltimore (#2-worst on the slate today). Mike Moustakas will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 16.4°, Mike Moustakas has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 27.4° mark in the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Stefanic in the 84th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Michael Stefanic will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

James McCann will have the handedness advantage against Kenny Rosenberg today. James McCann's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 13.2% to 17.6%. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.260) provides evidence that James McCann has been unlucky this year with his .235 actual batting average. James McCann's maximum exit velocity (an advanced standard to evaluate power) has been 112.1 mph this year, checking in at the 79th percentile. The standard deviation of James McCann's launch angle this year (24.8°) is in the 88th percentile. A low figure like this tends to lead to a higher rate of hits on balls in play.

Jorge Mateo will have the handedness advantage over Kenny Rosenberg today. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Jorge Mateo has experienced some negative variance this year. His .266 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .322. Jorge Mateo is quite athletic, placing in the 99th percentile in Sprint Speed at 30.08 ft/sec this year.