Pittsburgh @ St. Louis Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O'Neill in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 4th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 89°. Tyler O'Neill will have the handedness advantage against Bailey Falter in today's matchup. Tyler O'Neill hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Tyler O'Neill will hold that advantage today.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 4th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 89°. Alika Williams will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Drew Rom in today's game. Alika Williams hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Alika Williams has been unlucky this year, compiling a .253 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .291 — a .038 difference.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 4th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 88°. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among every team in action today. Compared to his seasonal average of 23.7°, Jack Suwinski has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 31.6° mark over the past two weeks.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 4th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 89°. Masyn Winn will have the handedness advantage over Bailey Falter in today's matchup. Masyn Winn will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Notching a 96-mph average exit velocity in the past week's worth of games, Masyn Winn has been in great form lately.

Homers are generally less common at fields with deep fences, and Busch Stadium has the 5th-deepest among all major league parks. Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Bryan Reynolds today. Bryan Reynolds's exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 93.9-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 81.4-mph over the last week. Bryan Reynolds's launch angle recently (4.9° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is considerably worse than his 11.2° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 4th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 89°. Lars Nootbaar hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Lars Nootbaar will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 4th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 89°. Andrew McCutchen will have the handedness advantage against Drew Rom in today's matchup. Sporting a .347 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Andrew McCutchen is ranked in the 75th percentile for offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ji Hwan Bae in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 4th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 89°.

Ke'Bryan Hayes has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42%) and will be challenged by the league's 2nd-deepest RF fences in today's game. Ke'Bryan Hayes will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. By putting up a 3.67 K/BB rate this year, Ke'Bryan Hayes has demonstrated weak plate discipline, ranking in the 23rd percentile.

Paul Goldschmidt projects as the 19th-best batter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Paul Goldschmidt is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 4th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 89°. Paul Goldschmidt will have the handedness advantage against Bailey Falter in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Paul Goldschmidt will hold that advantage today.

Connor Joe is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 4th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 89°. Connor Joe will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Drew Rom in today's matchup. Connor Joe hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 80th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Nolan Gorman is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 4th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 89°. Nolan Gorman will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. In the past week, Nolan Gorman's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 16.2% up to 50%.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 88°. Andrew Knizner will have the handedness advantage over Bailey Falter in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Andrew Knizner will hold that advantage in today's matchup. A consistent launch angle is a measure of good hitting, and Andrew Knizner has been very consistent with his lately, notching a 46.8° launch angle standard deviation in the last 14 days.