Pittsburgh @ St. Louis Picks & Props

Dakota Hudson will have the handedness advantage against Ke'Bryan Hayes today. Ke'Bryan Hayes has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 2nd-deepest RF fences today. Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ke'Bryan Hayes today. As it relates to plate discipline, Ke'Bryan Hayes's talent is quite weak, putting up a 3.61 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 23rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Edman in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. The weather report projects the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Tommy Edman will hold that advantage today. Tommy Edman has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 5.1% seasonal rate to 10.5% in the last week. Tommy Edman has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.4-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 89.4-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Willson Contreras is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The weather report projects the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Willson Contreras will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the last 7 days, Willson Contreras's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95-mph over the course of the season to 97.5-mph of late.

Busch Stadium has the 2nd-deepest RF fences among all parks. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bryan Reynolds today. In the last week's worth of games, Bryan Reynolds's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.4% down to 6.3%. In the past week, Bryan Reynolds's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal mark of 93.9 mph to 82.8 mph. Compared to his seasonal mark of 11.2°, Bryan Reynolds has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3.8°) over the last two weeks.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Nolan Gorman ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Nolan Gorman is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. The weather report projects the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Nolan Gorman will have the handedness advantage against Mitch Keller in today's matchup. Nolan Gorman will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

The weather report projects the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jason Delay has notched a .325 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 81st percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The weather report projects the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Lars Nootbaar will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mitch Keller in today's matchup. Lars Nootbaar hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

The weather report projects the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Masyn Winn will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O'Neill in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. The weather report projects the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Tyler O'Neill hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Tyler O'Neill will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Over the past week, Tyler O'Neill's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.1% up to 25%.

Jack Suwinski is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. The weather report projects the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jack Suwinski will hold the platoon advantage against Dakota Hudson in today's game. Extreme groundball bats like Jack Suwinski tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Dakota Hudson. Jack Suwinski has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 12.3% rate last year to 17.8% this year.

Connor Joe is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The weather report projects the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Connor Joe hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Jordan Walker's BABIP skill is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The weather report projects the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jordan Walker will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. In the past week's worth of games, Jordan Walker's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.8-mph over the course of the season to 101.1-mph in recent games. Jordan Walker's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, going from 47.1% on the season to 65.2% over the last two weeks.

Alika Williams has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.