Boston @ Kansas City Picks & Props
BOS vs KC Picks
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BOS vs KC Consensus Picks
BOS vs KC Props
Connor Wong Total Hits Props • Boston
Connor Wong's BABIP skill is projected in the 82nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #4 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate today. Connor Wong has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 96-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal average of 92.5-mph.
Alex Verdugo Total Hits Props • Boston
Alex Verdugo has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 4th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. The Kansas City Royals outfield defense projects as the 3rd-best among all the teams on the slate today. Alex Verdugo will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. In the past 7 days, Alex Verdugo's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal mark of 90.4 mph to 83.8 mph. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Alex Verdugo ranks in just the 18th percentile with a 8.3° launch angle, which is one of the most groundball-inducing angles in the game.
Justin Turner Total Hits Props • Boston
Jordan Lyles will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Justin Turner today. Justin Turner has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and will be challenged by the league's deepest RF fences in today's matchup. The Kansas City Royals outfield defense projects as the 3rd-best among all the teams on the slate today. Justin Turner will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. From last season to this one, Justin Turner's ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 47.4% to 42.4%.
Bobby Witt Jr. Total Hits Props • Kansas City
Bobby Witt Jr. has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and will be challenged by the league's deepest RF fences today.
Kyle Isbel Total Hits Props • Kansas City
The #4 venue in MLB for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate today. The Boston Red Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Isbel can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Kyle Isbel will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.
Luis Urias Total Hits Props • Boston
The #4 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate today. Luis Urias has exhibited impressive plate discipline since the start of last season, placing in the 83rd percentile with a 1.96 K/BB rate.
Drew Waters Total Hits Props • Kansas City
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drew Waters in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The #4 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate today. Drew Waters will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.
Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston
Rafael Devers hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 76th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 4th-deepest CF fences in today's game. The Kansas City Royals outfield defense projects as the 3rd-best among all the teams on the slate today. Rafael Devers will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. In the last 7 days, Rafael Devers's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.6% down to 0%. Rafael Devers's exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 94.6-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 84.6-mph in the past week.
Masataka Yoshida Total Hits Props • Boston
Masataka Yoshida has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (96% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today. Masataka Yoshida has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.8%) and will be challenged by the game's 4th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. The Kansas City Royals outfield defense projects as the 3rd-best among all the teams on the slate today. Masataka Yoshida will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Masataka Yoshida has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 5.9% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the last 7 days.
Triston Casas Total Hits Props • Boston
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Triston Casas in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Triston Casas is penciled in 4th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The #4 venue in MLB for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate today.
Trevor Story Total Hits Props • Boston
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 77th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. The #4 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate today. Trevor Story has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95.3-mph average to last year's 92.3-mph average.
Adam Duvall Total Hits Props • Boston
Adam Duvall is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. The #4 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate today. Adam Duvall has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 104.4-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal figure of 95.9-mph.
Samad Taylor Total Hits Props • Kansas City
The #4 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate today. Samad Taylor will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against James Paxton today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Samad Taylor will hold that advantage in today's game.
Dairon Blanco Total Hits Props • Kansas City
Dairon Blanco's BABIP skill is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #4 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the slate today. Dairon Blanco will have the handedness advantage against James Paxton today.
BOS vs KC Trends
Boston Trends
The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 24 away games (+10.40 Units / 39% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 45 away games (+5.35 Units / 10% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 50 away games (+4.35 Units / 7% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 away games (+3.65 Units / 49% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 32 away games (+2.30 Units / 6% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have only covered the Run Line in 46 of their last 99 games (-15.25 Units / -12% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have only hit the Game Total Under in 1 of their last 14 games (-13.35 Units / -86% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 61 away games (-12.80 Units / -18% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have only hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 45 away games (-11.75 Units / -21% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 50 away games (-10.56 Units / -17% ROI)
Kansas City Trends
The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 23 games at home (+7.85 Units / 32% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 24 games at home (+8.95 Units / 31% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+8.05 Units / 29% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.74 Units / 37% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+5.55 Units / 33% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have only hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 66 games at home (-16.20 Units / -23% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have only hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 64 games at home (-11.75 Units / -17% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 43 games (-8.81 Units / -18% ROI)
BOS vs KC Top User Picks
Boston Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | dispnum1 | 5-5-0 | +16630 |
| 2 | stakay125 | 7-3-0 | +16380 |
| 3 | Jackson2399 | 6-4-0 | +15369 |
| 4 | regger22 | 8-2-0 | +14785 |
| 5 | Andrew333_ | 7-3-0 | +13995 |
| 6 | mikeg1827 | 5-5-0 | +13785 |
| 7 | Shitman | 8-2-0 | +13440 |
| 8 | Coakley | 7-3-0 | +12975 |
| 9 | Sandsaver727 | 3-7-0 | +12835 |
| 10 | TheTotalMan | 9-1-0 | +12815 |
| All Red Sox Money Leaders | |||
Kansas City Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DaBoss80 | 6-4-0 | +21380 |
| 2 | CHEOAPONTE | 4-6-0 | +19625 |
| 3 | Sandsaver727 | 5-5-0 | +15915 |
| 4 | DavePaliwoda | 6-4-0 | +13570 |
| 5 | Mava5 | 7-3-0 | +13310 |
| 6 | jerrygora | 3-7-0 | +12980 |
| 7 | Brayy_Wyatt | 7-3-0 | +12595 |
| 8 | Yellafella59 | 7-3-0 | +12435 |
| 9 | stakay125 | 5-5-0 | +12285 |
| 10 | Mexicali72 | 3-7-0 | +12020 |
| All Royals Money Leaders | |||