Cincinnati @ San Francisco Picks & Props
CIN vs SF Picks
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CIN vs SF Props
Thairo Estrada Total Hits Props • San Francisco
Built just 8 feet above sea level, Oracle Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which often leads to less offense. Hunter Greene will have the handedness advantage over Thairo Estrada in today's matchup. When it comes to his batting average, Thairo Estrada has been very fortunate this year. His .273 rate has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .258. Thairo Estrada has shown bad plate discipline this year, ranking in the 3rd percentile with a 5.76 K/BB rate.
Elly De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 5th-best hitter in the game when it comes to his BABIP skill. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oracle Park as the 3rd-best park in the majors for left-handed batting average. Oracle Park has the 2nd-shallowest RF fences among all stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.
Nick Martini Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
Nick Martini is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oracle Park as the 3rd-best park in the majors for left-handed batting average. Oracle Park has the 2nd-shallowest RF fences among all stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Nick Martini will have the handedness advantage against Logan Webb today.
LaMonte Wade Jr. Total Hits Props • San Francisco
LaMonte Wade Jr. is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oracle Park as the 3rd-best park in the majors for left-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. LaMonte Wade Jr. will hold the platoon advantage against Hunter Greene in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so LaMonte Wade Jr. has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.
TJ Friedl Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects T.J. Friedl in the 20th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Built just 8 feet above sea level, Oracle Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which often leads to less offense. Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for T.J. Friedl in today's game. T.J. Friedl's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 89-mph mark last year has dropped to 86.2-mph. T.J. Friedl's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 86.2-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 79.7-mph in the past week.
Casey Schmitt Total Hits Props • San Francisco
Oracle Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Among every team playing today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds. Casey Schmitt will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Casey Schmitt has made significant strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 6.2% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the past two weeks.
Wade Meckler Total Hits Props • San Francisco
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wade Meckler in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oracle Park as the 3rd-best park in the majors for left-handed batting average. Oracle Park has the 2nd-shallowest RF fences among all stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Wade Meckler will have the handedness advantage over Hunter Greene in today's game.
Joc Pederson Total Hits Props • San Francisco
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Joc Pederson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Joc Pederson is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oracle Park as the 3rd-best park in the majors for left-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Joc Pederson will hold the platoon advantage against Hunter Greene in today's matchup.
Noelvi Marte Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
Oracle Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. In the last week's worth of games, Noelvi Marte's maximum exit velocity (a favorable indicator of recent form and raw power) has been 111.7-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in the game.
Tyler Stephenson Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Tyler Stephenson is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. Oracle Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Tyler Stephenson has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.
Will Benson Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oracle Park as the 3rd-best park in the majors for left-handed batting average. Oracle Park has the 2nd-shallowest RF fences among all stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Will Benson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Webb in today's matchup. Bats such as Will Benson with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Logan Webb who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.
Paul DeJong Total Hits Props • San Francisco
Oracle Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Among every team playing today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Paul DeJong will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Nick Senzel Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
Oracle Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. In terms of his batting average, Nick Senzel has experienced some negative variance this year. His .218 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .233.
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Encarnacion-Strand in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Christian Encarnacion-Strand has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (86% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. Oracle Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Christian Encarnacion-Strand has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
J.D. Davis Total Hits Props • San Francisco
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Davis in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Oracle Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters. J.D. Davis has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among every team playing today, the worst outfield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.
Blake Sabol Total Hits Props • San Francisco
Blake Sabol has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.
Luis Matos Total Hits Props • San Francisco
Luis Matos has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.
CIN vs SF Trends
Cincinnati Trends
The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 55 away games (+21.50 Units / 38% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Run Line in 79 of their last 128 games (+21.40 Units / 13% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 53 away games (+12.55 Units / 20% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 53 away games (+6.40 Units / 11% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 81% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have only hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 53 away games (-19.45 Units / -32% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have only hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 67 away games (-12.65 Units / -17% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have not hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in any of their last 6 games (-6.80 Units / -100% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have not covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in any of their last 5 games (-6.67 Units / -100% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have not hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in any of their last 5 games (-5.11 Units / -100% ROI)
San Francisco Trends
The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 53 of their last 86 games (+16.19 Units / 16% ROI)
The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 55 games (+12.34 Units / 19% ROI)
The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 28 games (+4.16 Units / 12% ROI)
The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.02 Units / 37% ROI)
The San Francisco Giants have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 39 of their last 100 games (-29.92 Units / -25% ROI)
The San Francisco Giants have only hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 55 games (-20.71 Units / -32% ROI)
CIN vs SF Top User Picks
Cincinnati Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MLBFan8848 | 4-6-0 | +16975 |
| 2 | samua | 4-6-0 | +16620 |
| 3 | theSleeper | 5-5-0 | +15590 |
| 4 | sprtnt1 | 7-3-0 | +14035 |
| 5 | northlv6238 | 8-1-1 | +13865 |
| 6 | uncle_Pasha_DRW | 4-5-1 | +13531 |
| 7 | ASDFJKL123 | 5-4-1 | +13198 |
| 8 | stranger28 | 8-2-0 | +13139 |
| 9 | IronCity1 | 5-4-1 | +13060 |
| 10 | FAMCOLLECTOR | 6-4-0 | +12725 |
| All Reds Money Leaders | |||
San Francisco Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | chefsloan7 | 7-3-0 | +18210 |
| 2 | charro23 | 5-4-1 | +17850 |
| 3 | jazzmatazz | 6-4-0 | +17510 |
| 4 | alayne89 | 6-4-0 | +17150 |
| 5 | doomsday07 | 7-3-0 | +16820 |
| 6 | Huskerdave | 6-4-0 | +15895 |
| 7 | Midway28 | 8-2-0 | +15680 |
| 8 | DaBoss80 | 6-4-0 | +15400 |
| 9 | CNOTES | 7-3-0 | +14830 |
| 10 | JayAcosta20 | 5-5-0 | +14695 |
| All Giants Money Leaders | |||