St. Louis @ Pittsburgh Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 77th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Alec Burleson is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 57% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 5th-best park in baseball for lefty BABIP. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which tends to lead to more offense. Alec Burleson will have the handedness advantage over Johan Oviedo in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Willson Contreras is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 5th-best park in the game for righty base hits. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which tends to lead to more offense. In the last 14 days, Willson Contreras's 52.2% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 47%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 5th-best park in the game for righty base hits. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which tends to lead to more offense. Masyn Winn has been lifting the ball well lately, posting a 21.7° launch angle in the last week.

HRs are generally less common at parks with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 8th-deepest in the majors. Adam Wainwright will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ke'Bryan Hayes today. When it comes to plate discipline, Ke'Bryan Hayes's skill is quite bad, sporting a 3.93 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 18th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Edman in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Tommy Edman is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 70% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 5th-best park in baseball for lefty BABIP. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which tends to lead to more offense. Tommy Edman has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 4.9% seasonal rate to 10% in the past two weeks.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Paul Goldschmidt ranks as the 17th-best hitter in the game. Paul Goldschmidt is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 5th-best park in the game for righty base hits. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which tends to lead to more offense. In the last week, Paul Goldschmidt's 57.1% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 47.6%.

Endy Rodriguez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (95% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 5th-best park in baseball for lefty BABIP. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which tends to lead to more offense. Endy Rodriguez will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Jack Suwinski is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 5th-best park in baseball for lefty BABIP. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which tends to lead to more offense. Jack Suwinski will hold the platoon advantage over Adam Wainwright today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Jack Suwinski will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 5th-best park in the game for righty base hits. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which tends to lead to more offense. Alika Williams will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Alika Williams's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, going from 50% on the season to 60% in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alfonso Rivas in the 78th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 5th-best park in baseball for lefty BABIP. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which tends to lead to more offense. Alfonso Rivas will have the handedness advantage against Adam Wainwright in today's matchup. Alfonso Rivas will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 5th-best park in the game for righty base hits. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which tends to lead to more offense. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Andrew McCutchen will hold that advantage in today's game.

Ji Hwan Bae has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.3%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 9th-deepest LF fences in today's game. Ji Hwan Bae has posted a .283 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, placing in the 7th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Placing in the 6th percentile, Ji Hwan Bae sits with a .274 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year. Ji Hwan Bae has put up a .232 batting average this year, ranking in the 22nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 5th-best park in baseball for lefty BABIP. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which tends to lead to more offense. Richie Palacios will hold the platoon advantage over Johan Oviedo today.

HRs are generally less common at parks with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 8th-deepest in the majors.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Tyler O'Neill ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 5th-best park in the game for righty base hits. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which tends to lead to more offense. Tyler O'Neill has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 98.5-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal mark of 93.8-mph. Tyler O'Neill's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 14.7% to 17.7%.

Connor Joe is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 5th-best park in the game for righty base hits. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which tends to lead to more offense. Connor Joe will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 16.7°, Connor Joe has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 26.2° figure over the last two weeks.

Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 5th-best park in the game for righty base hits. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which tends to lead to more offense. Compared to his seasonal average of 17°, Nolan Arenado has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 23.3° angle in the last week. Nolan Arenado has posted a .358 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 83rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 5th-best park in the game for righty base hits. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which tends to lead to more offense. In the past week's worth of games, Jordan Walker's 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.9%. Using Statcast data, Jordan Walker is in the 76th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .270.

Taylor Motter has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Joshua Palacios has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.