St. Louis @ Kansas City Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 6th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Nolan Arenado pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.4% — 100th percentile) and and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-deepest LF fences in today's game. The Kansas City Royals outfield defense projects as the 4th-strongest out of all the teams today. Nolan Arenado will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. Nolan Arenado's launch angle this season (17.3°) is quite a bit lower than his 21.7° figure last season.

Adam Wainwright will hold the platoon advantage against Maikel Garcia in today's matchup. Maikel Garcia has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.5%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game's deepest RF fences today. Over the last 7 days, Maikel Garcia's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal average of 92.3 mph to 86.4 mph.

Jordan Walker is projected to hit 8th in the batting order today. This year, Jordan Walker has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 15% of his appearances when starting against left-handed pitcher. Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 75th percentile) and and will be challenged by the league's 4th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. The Kansas City Royals outfield defense projects as the 4th-strongest out of all the teams today. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jordan Walker today.

Salvador Perez's BABIP talent is projected in the 25th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Homers are generally less common at parks with deep fences, and Kauffman Stadium has the 2nd-deepest among all parks. Adam Wainwright will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Salvador Perez in today's matchup. Salvador Perez has made substantial strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 10.3% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the past 7 days. Salvador Perez's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 94.3-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 86.5-mph in the last week.

In today's matchup, Paul Goldschmidt is at a disadvantage facing the league's deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.6% rate (78th percentile). The Kansas City Royals outfield defense projects as the 4th-strongest out of all the teams today. Paul Goldschmidt will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Paul Goldschmidt has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91.5-mph dropping to 84.7-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games. Compared to his seasonal angle of 12.3°, Paul Goldschmidt has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3°) in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Willson Contreras has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game's deepest RF fences today. The Kansas City Royals outfield defense projects as the 4th-strongest out of all the teams today. Willson Contreras will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Willson Contreras's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal mark of 95.5 mph to 86 mph. Over the last two weeks, Willson Contreras's 4.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15%.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. The #6 ballpark in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts the best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

19% of the time that Michael Massey has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter. Michael Massey pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.3% — 97th percentile) and and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's deepest RF fences today. Michael Massey's average exit velocity has declined in recent games; his 89.5-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 84.9-mph over the last week. Grading out in the 13th percentile, Michael Massey sports a .283 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year. Placing in the 9th percentile, Michael Massey sits with a .254 BABIP this year.

Edward Olivares is projected to hit 6th in the batting order today. Adam Wainwright will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Edward Olivares today. In today's matchup, Edward Olivares is at a disadvantage facing the league's 4th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.5% rate (91st percentile). Edward Olivares has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 7.1% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last two weeks. Edward Olivares's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined recently, falling from 13.4% on the season to 0% in the last week.

The #6 ballpark in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts the best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Kyle Isbel will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Adam Wainwright in today's game. Out of every team playing today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the St. Louis Cardinals.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, MJ Melendez ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). MJ Melendez is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. The #6 ballpark in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts the best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Nolan Gorman ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Nolan Gorman is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. The #6 ballpark in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts the best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Edman in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #6 venue in the league for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts the best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The switch-hitting Tommy Edman will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Angel Zerpa... and even better, Zerpa has a huge platoon split.

The #6 ballpark in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts the best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Matt Beaty will hold the platoon advantage over Adam Wainwright today. Out of every team playing today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the St. Louis Cardinals.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Carlson in the 77th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #6 venue in the league for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts the best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The switch-hitting Dylan Carlson will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Angel Zerpa... and even better, Zerpa has a huge platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. The #6 ballpark in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts the best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Alec Burleson has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 6.4% seasonal rate to 17.4% over the last two weeks.

Dairon Blanco's BABIP talent is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #6 venue in the league for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts the best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Out of every team playing today, the 7th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the St. Louis Cardinals.

Taylor Motter has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Matt Duffy has gone over 1.5 in 0 of his last 10 games.

Tyler O'Neill has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Bobby Witt Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.