Colorado @ St. Louis Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 5th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. In today's matchup, Nolan Arenado is at a disadvantage facing the league's 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 42.2% rate (100th percentile). Among all the teams today, the best infield defense belongs to the Colorado Rockies. Nolan Arenado has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.7-mph dropping to 85.7-mph over the last 7 days. Nolan Arenado's launch angle this year (17.5°) is quite a bit worse than his 21.7° figure last year.

Busch Stadium has the 5th-largest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally bad for homers. Among all the teams today, the best infield defense belongs to the Colorado Rockies.

Paul Goldschmidt has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 2nd-deepest RF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams today, the best infield defense belongs to the Colorado Rockies. Paul Goldschmidt's average exit velocity has dropped off recently; his 92.2-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 85.1-mph in the past week's worth of games. Paul Goldschmidt's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, going from 16% to 12.8%. Paul Goldschmidt's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off of late, falling from 48.5% on the season to 28.6% in the last week.

In today's game, Willson Contreras is at a disadvantage facing the league's 2nd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.2% rate (82nd percentile). Among all the teams today, the best infield defense belongs to the Colorado Rockies. In the past week's worth of games, Willson Contreras's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.1% down to 0%. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Willson Contreras's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (2.4°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 7.8°.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). This contest is projected to have the 12th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Lars Nootbaar stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Lars Nootbaar hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. Lars Nootbaar will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Nolan Jones is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 61% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. This contest is projected to have the 12th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense grades out as the 6th-weakest out of every team today. Over the past week, Nolan Jones's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.8% up to 18.2%.

Ryan McMahon is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. This contest is projected to have the 12th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense grades out as the 6th-weakest out of every team today. Over the last two weeks, Ryan McMahon's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96-mph over the course of the season to 104.5-mph of late. Ryan McMahon's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (15.3°) is a considerable increase over his 11.9° angle last season.

This contest is projected to have the 12th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The switch-hitting Michael Toglia will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Austin Gomber. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense grades out as the 6th-weakest out of every team today. Michael Toglia has hit one of the hardest balls in the majors in the last week — 113.1-mph — which is a favorable measure of recent form and raw power.

Jurickson Profar is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. This contest is projected to have the 12th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The switch-hitting Jurickson Profar will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Austin Gomber. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest out of every team today. Jurickson Profar's launch angle of late (25.8° over the last 14 days) is a significant increase over his 13.9° seasonal mark.

Elehuris Montero is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season. This contest is projected to have the 12th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Elehuris Montero will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Austin Gomber today. Elehuris Montero hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense grades out as the 6th-weakest out of every team today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 84th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Ezequiel Tovar is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 72% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season. This contest is projected to have the 12th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Ezequiel Tovar will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Austin Gomber in today's game. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense grades out as the 6th-weakest out of every team today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Rodgers in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Brendan Rodgers is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. This contest is projected to have the 12th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Brendan Rodgers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Austin Gomber in today's game. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest out of every team today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 78th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Nolan Gorman is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. This contest is projected to have the 12th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nolan Gorman has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Nolan Gorman will hold that advantage in today's game.

Elias Diaz is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. This contest is projected to have the 12th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Elias Diaz will have the handedness advantage against Austin Gomber today. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense grades out as the 6th-weakest out of every team today.

This contest is projected to have the 12th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Austin Wynns will have the handedness advantage against Austin Gomber in today's matchup. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense grades out as the 6th-weakest out of every team today. Austin Wynns has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 86-mph average to last year's 83.7-mph mark. Austin Wynns's launch angle this year (17.5°) is a significant increase over his 9.5° mark last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Carlson in the 78th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. This contest is projected to have the 12th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The switch-hitting Dylan Carlson will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Austin Gomber. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Dylan Carlson will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal average of 12.7°, Dylan Carlson has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 30° mark in the last week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. This contest is projected to have the 12th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Jordan Walker will have the handedness advantage against Austin Gomber in today's matchup. Jordan Walker hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Jordan Walker will hold that advantage today.

This contest is projected to have the 12th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Alan Trejo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Austin Gomber in today's game. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense grades out as the 6th-weakest out of every team today. Alan Trejo has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 3.9% seasonal rate to 14.3% over the last 7 days. Alan Trejo has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 101-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal mark of 89.4-mph.

This contest is projected to have the 12th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Andrew Knizner will have the handedness advantage over Austin Gomber in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Andrew Knizner will hold that advantage in today's game. Andrew Knizner has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 11.1% seasonal rate to 20% in the last week. Andrew Knizner has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 93.6-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 89.3-mph mark.

Tyler O'Neill has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.