Bournemouth hopes to pull off an improbable season sweep of Arsenal when the sides meet in London on Saturday.
The Gunners come into the match after a 1-0 loss at home to PSG in the Champions League on Wednesday, and they will be looking ahead to next week's second leg at the Parc des Princes.
That could open the door for the Cherries, whose European hopes are on life support after dropping 22 of their last 29 possible points in the league.
My Arsenal vs. Bournemouth predictions break down why the Gunners' squad rotation should open the door for Antoine Semenyo to cause some problems.
Read more in our free betting picks for May 3.
Premier League predictions for Arsenal vs Bournemouth
My Arsenal vs Bournemouth best bet: Antoine Semenyo 1+ shot on target (-135 at FanDuel)
My analysis
With Arsenal's Champions League second leg against PSG looming large, Mikel Arteta has some tough decisions to make with his squad. And given his lack of depth at left back, it’s highly unlikely he will risk the health of young fullback Myles Lewis-Skelly.
Enter Oleksandr Zinchenko or Kieran Tierney.
The Ukrainian defender isn’t nearly the player Lewis-Skelly is in either direction, but he’s often prone to getting caught out of position when Arsenal loses the ball. If the Scottish defender is preferred, then they’ll lose a significant amount of pace at the position.
It’s probable the likes of Declan Rice may also be rested in anticipation of a possible Champions League match going into extra time. For that reason, the Gunners are likely to see less of the ball than usual and will be more vulnerable to being countered.
When that happens, it’ll be Antoine Semenyo and Patrick Kluivert leading the charge up the pitch.
This season in the Premier League, only Mohamed Salah has attempted more shots than Bournemouth’s right winger. Semenyo ranks in the 97th percentile of all attacking midfielders and wingers with 3.65 shots per 90 minutes. And while he doesn’t score on many of them, he has put 31.4% of those efforts on target.
Semenyo has a shot on target in 18 of his last 24 Premier League matches, including five of his last six outings. He managed a shot on target in the reverse fixture against Arsenal, a match in which he registered an eye-opening six shots — a total he’s reached or exceeded five different times this season.
Arsenal’s going to be rotated, with an eye on mid-week, while Bournemouth need a win to keep their European dreams alive. Look for Semenyo to be involved early and often, taking advantage of a very favorable matchup against either Zinchenko or Tierney.
Arsenal vs Bournemouth same-game parlay (SGP)
Antoine Semenyo 1+ shot on target
Bournemouth double chance
Over 2.5 goals
Bournemouth defeated Arsenal 2-0 at home in the reverse fixture, and they have all the motivation coming into this one. Arsenal’s Champions League status for next season is all but secured, and they’re understandably going to be much more focused on the upcoming match with PSG.
For the Cherries, they almost certainly need to win out to qualify for European competition next season. They’ve never gotten a win at Arsenal in English top-flight football, but this is the perfect chance for them to get at least a point.
With Bournemouth throwing bodies forward and Arsenal not being their typical ball-dominant selves, I’m expecting we will see a bit of a back-and-forth contest at times. That typically leads to goals, and that will happen on Saturday.
Arsenal failed to score in the 2-0 loss away at Bournemouth, ending a run of five consecutive competitive matches between the sides with at least three goals. Look for the final score to be more reflective of those previous matchups.
Arsenal vs Bournemouth odds
Arsenal vs Bournemouth live odds
Arsenal vs Bournemouth opening odds
- Moneyline: Arsenal -155 | Bournemouth +425
- Draw: +300
- Over/Under: Over 2.5 (-115) | Under 2.5 (-120)
Arsenal vs Bournemouth side and Over/Under analysis
- Arsenal are favored on the 3-way moneyline, and they can be had for as high as +115. The draw is +250 almost everywhere, while Bournemouth is on the board at +250.
- Although Arsenal lost the reverse fixture, Bournemouth has never won at the Emirates and have just one victory in their last 11 matches across all competitions.
- The Under has hit in Bournemouth’s last three matches, while the Over is 4-2 in Arsenal’s last six.
How to watch Arsenal vs Bournemouth
| Location | Emirates Stadium, London, UK |
| Date | Saturday, 5-3-2025 |
| Time | 12:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBC |
| Weather | 67F, sunny, no rain, winds ranging from 13-25 mph. |
 Recent EPL form |
D-W-D-D-W |
 Recent EPL form |
D-D-W-D-L |
Arsenal vs Bournemouth key injuries
Arsenal: Gabriel D (Out), Kai Havertz F (Out), Gabriel Jesus F (Out), Riccardo Califiori D (Out), Takehiro Tomiyasu D (Out), Jorginho M (Out).
Bournemouth: Enes Unal F (Out), Luis Sinisterra F (Doubtful), Ryan Christie M (Out).
Not intended for use in MA.
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