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    All Forums | College Football

    Teams to "Fade"

    12 Next Last»
    Capper007
    JFen31
    azzkikr333
    sungod95
    jimmydafreak
    ...
    Participants:
    Search model icon
    Views: 4277
    Posts: 48
    12 Next Last»
     
    Capper007
    Capper007
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    Posted: Sep. 11, 2012 - 7:12 AM ET #1

    KU

    UNLV

    PITT

    HOUSTON

    RICE

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    KU

    UNLV

    PITT

    HOUSTON

    RICE

     
    JFen31
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    Posted: Sep. 11, 2012 - 7:55 AM ET #2

    Not really getting ahead of the curve there as all of those teams are already perceived as being terrible. Not to mention, even the worst teams can be backed in the right spots.
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    Not really getting ahead of the curve there as all of those teams are already perceived as being terrible. Not to mention, even the worst teams can be backed in the right spots.
     
    Capper007
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    Posted: Sep. 11, 2012 - 9:32 AM ET #3

    In general "fade" of course the line matters!!!
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    In general "fade" of course the line matters!!!
     
    azzkikr333
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    Posted: Sep. 11, 2012 - 9:34 AM ET #4

    pitt is horrible to watch
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    pitt is horrible to watch
     
    sungod95
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    Posted: Sep. 11, 2012 - 9:47 AM ET #5

    Iowa
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    Iowa
     
    jimmydafreak
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    Posted: Sep. 11, 2012 - 10:11 AM ET #6

    #1 Auburn

    You fill in 2-5.

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    #1 Auburn

    You fill in 2-5.

     
    shark_apreza
    shark_apreza
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    Posted: Sep. 11, 2012 - 10:25 AM ET #7

    you forgot to mention

    akron
    uab
    fau
    Nmex
    Nmexst
    savanahh st

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    you forgot to mention

    akron
    uab
    fau
    Nmex
    Nmexst
    savanahh st

     
    jakecece
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    Posted: Sep. 11, 2012 - 12:17 PM ET #8

    Pitt scares me this week. Why is line going down? They look very bad with 2 horrible losses and the line is going down. I get that Va tech isn't a great team but they should be able to beat Pitt by 10. Anyone know why lines moving down???
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    Pitt scares me this week. Why is line going down? They look very bad with 2 horrible losses and the line is going down. I get that Va tech isn't a great team but they should be able to beat Pitt by 10. Anyone know why lines moving down???
     
    shark_apreza
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    Posted: Sep. 11, 2012 - 12:19 PM ET #9

    Quote Originally Posted by jakecece:

    Pitt scares me this week. Why is line going down? They look very bad with 2 horrible losses and the line is going down. I get that Va tech isn't a great team but they should be able to beat Pitt by 10. Anyone know why lines moving down???

     why people get scared or worried about line movements... make your homework and pull the trigger
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    Quote Originally Posted by jakecece:

    Pitt scares me this week. Why is line going down? They look very bad with 2 horrible losses and the line is going down. I get that Va tech isn't a great team but they should be able to beat Pitt by 10. Anyone know why lines moving down???

     why people get scared or worried about line movements... make your homework and pull the trigger
     
    Capper007
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    Posted: Sep. 11, 2012 - 6:50 PM ET #10

    Line movement isnt always right!! the sharps move is what they fear, and most of the time it is the sheep move (usually the favorite)!!
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    Line movement isnt always right!! the sharps move is what they fear, and most of the time it is the sheep move (usually the favorite)!!
     
    2MuchJohnson4U
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    Posted: Sep. 11, 2012 - 8:42 PM ET #11

    capper - agreed, all of those teams are garbage.  But I was actually leaning toward Houston this week.  Possible letdown spot for UCLA after a big win, plus UH can score some points.  Possible backdoor cover?

    GL

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    capper - agreed, all of those teams are garbage.  But I was actually leaning toward Houston this week.  Possible letdown spot for UCLA after a big win, plus UH can score some points.  Possible backdoor cover?

    GL

     
    Gordon Gekko
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    Posted: Sep. 11, 2012 - 8:49 PM ET #12

    I think Pitt may be a play this week, waiting for more information, but even the poorest teams will have line opportunity created by market speculation.  
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    I think Pitt may be a play this week, waiting for more information, but even the poorest teams will have line opportunity created by market speculation.  
     
    joewashington
    joewashington
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    Posted: Sep. 11, 2012 - 9:02 PM ET #13

    Hate to say it............Sooners
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    Hate to say it............Sooners
     
    czar2k4ever
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    Posted: Sep. 11, 2012 - 9:25 PM ET #14

    Not sure what to think about cfb year... gl to all!
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    Not sure what to think about cfb year... gl to all!
     
    gmanusc2001
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    Posted: Sep. 11, 2012 - 9:29 PM ET #15

       PITT
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       PITT
     
    KChingon
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    Posted: Sep. 11, 2012 - 10:18 PM ET #16

    Quote Originally Posted by 2MuchJohnson4U:

    capper - agreed, all of those teams are garbage.  But I was actually leaning toward Houston this week.  Possible letdown spot for UCLA after a big win, plus UH can score some points.  Possible backdoor cover?

    GL


    The fact that the game is at night on the west coast makes me think they're still a strong fade here.  This game won't end until around midnight Houston time.  Houston also lost by 18 the last time they played at UCLA, and UCLA was already up 18 when Keenum went down.  I also think the relative strength of the two teams has flipped since then.
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    Quote Originally Posted by 2MuchJohnson4U:

    capper - agreed, all of those teams are garbage.  But I was actually leaning toward Houston this week.  Possible letdown spot for UCLA after a big win, plus UH can score some points.  Possible backdoor cover?

    GL


    The fact that the game is at night on the west coast makes me think they're still a strong fade here.  This game won't end until around midnight Houston time.  Houston also lost by 18 the last time they played at UCLA, and UCLA was already up 18 when Keenum went down.  I also think the relative strength of the two teams has flipped since then.
     
    jakecece
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    Posted: Sep. 11, 2012 - 10:25 PM ET #17

    I like this years UCLA team. They are very well coached and finally have an offense that can put points on the board. The defense is a typical Pac-10(sorry 12) team but they have good athletes and play hard. I think they are the team to ride until they prove otherwise.
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    I like this years UCLA team. They are very well coached and finally have an offense that can put points on the board. The defense is a typical Pac-10(sorry 12) team but they have good athletes and play hard. I think they are the team to ride until they prove otherwise.
     
    Zoot
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    Posted: Sep. 11, 2012 - 10:27 PM ET #18

    Colorado is on my fade list
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    Colorado is on my fade list
     
    dimedimenickel
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    Posted: Sep. 11, 2012 - 10:28 PM ET #19

    In general, I would be careful putting teams on auto fade. It only takes line makers a few games to adjust.  Going into the year, the auto Buy at ANY price were Oregon, USC, Wiscy, Bama, LSU.  3 of those teams are 0-2 ats and the others are 1-1.  Nobody getting rich off of those teams right now.  Focus on the smaller schools/conferences.  Lots of value in Sun Belt right now b/c so many of those teams lost to FCS teams.  So odds makers don't know what the hell to make of teams like MTSU so they give you short lines 2 weeks in a row.  
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    In general, I would be careful putting teams on auto fade. It only takes line makers a few games to adjust.  Going into the year, the auto Buy at ANY price were Oregon, USC, Wiscy, Bama, LSU.  3 of those teams are 0-2 ats and the others are 1-1.  Nobody getting rich off of those teams right now.  Focus on the smaller schools/conferences.  Lots of value in Sun Belt right now b/c so many of those teams lost to FCS teams.  So odds makers don't know what the hell to make of teams like MTSU so they give you short lines 2 weeks in a row.  
     
    SteelUbaldo
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    Posted: Sep. 11, 2012 - 10:49 PM ET #20

    Pitt is the worst team in the FBS.  VA Tech at -10 or less is a great play.  It is a max play for me this weekend.
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    Pitt is the worst team in the FBS.  VA Tech at -10 or less is a great play.  It is a max play for me this weekend.
     
    RetainLane
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    Posted: Sep. 11, 2012 - 10:56 PM ET #21

    Quote Originally Posted by Gordon Gekko:

    I think Pitt may be a play this week, waiting for more information, but even the poorest teams will have line opportunity created by market speculation.  

    Highly considering Pitt myself.  Poor showing on national TV = large public overreaction. 


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    Quote Originally Posted by Gordon Gekko:

    I think Pitt may be a play this week, waiting for more information, but even the poorest teams will have line opportunity created by market speculation.  

    Highly considering Pitt myself.  Poor showing on national TV = large public overreaction. 


     
    The8ofCups
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    Posted: Sep. 12, 2012 - 1:27 AM ET #22

    Rice won as a road dog, and weren't slaughtered by UCLA.  Hardly see them as an auto-fade.
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    Rice won as a road dog, and weren't slaughtered by UCLA.  Hardly see them as an auto-fade.
     
    The_WORM
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    Posted: Sep. 12, 2012 - 1:33 AM ET #23

    UNLV back door cover at home all the time.  The Vegas affect teams don't take them serious and players party as much as they can.  Live here I see it all the time. 

    On paper should always fade but those lights will get a team that knows their better in trouble all the time
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    UNLV back door cover at home all the time.  The Vegas affect teams don't take them serious and players party as much as they can.  Live here I see it all the time. 

    On paper should always fade but those lights will get a team that knows their better in trouble all the time
     
    CDuff311
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    Posted: Sep. 12, 2012 - 3:28 AM ET #24

    Florida Atlantic will be on my radar each week. They are pathetic.
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    Florida Atlantic will be on my radar each week. They are pathetic.
     
     
    Capper007
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    Posted: Oct. 1, 2012 - 9:31 AM ET #25

    CU AND AUBURN NOW THAT ITS CONFERENCE TIME!! Spreads will stay high..see LSU /Aub and UCLA/CU

    17+ Points / game guesstimate!!

    Remove Pitt now that its conference time (Big east)

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    CU AND AUBURN NOW THAT ITS CONFERENCE TIME!! Spreads will stay high..see LSU /Aub and UCLA/CU

    17+ Points / game guesstimate!!

    Remove Pitt now that its conference time (Big east)

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