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2007 preseason NFL picks Week 4

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Captain
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Posted: #1
Game: NY Jets @ Philadelphia
 
Pick : NY Jets + 2.5 ( 2 units )
 
2 clovers
 
Captain
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Posted: #2
 
Veteran
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Posted: #3
 
Captain
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Posted: #4
adding :
 
 
Game : San Francisco @ San Diego
 
Pick :
San Francisco + 3 ( 2 units )
 
 
All-Star
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Posted: #5
Good luck RF...............home your system kicks it in the regular season
 
All-Star
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Posted: #6
I meant HOPE your system kicks it
 
Captain
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Posted: #7
Thanks
updating record >>>
 
2007 NFL  preseason record :
 
Week 1 >>>>>
 
8-9    Cincinnati + 3        W  ( + 3 units )
8-11  Kansas City + 3    L    ( - 2.2 units )
8-13  Denver + 2.5            W  ( + 3 units )
8-13  Denver + 3               W  ( + 2 units )
 
Week 1 : 2 - 1     ( + 5.8 units )
**************************************************
 
Week 2  >>>>
 
8-17  Miami + 3                 W  ( + 2 units )
8-18  New Orleans + 3.5    W  ( +  3 units )
8-18  New Oleans  + 3       W  ( + 2 units )
8-18  Denver + 3.5           L     ( - 2.2 units )
8-19  NY  Giants + 3.5        W  (+  2 units )
8-20 Indi Colts + 2           L      ( - 3.3 units ) ***
 
Week 2 : 3 - 2  (  + 3.5  units )
*********************************************************
 
Week 3 >>>>
 
8-23  Green bay + 3         L      ( - 3.3  units )
8-24   Carolina - 1.5         L      ( -  2.2 units )
8-25  Miami + 2                L      ( - 3.3 units )
8-25  Dallas - 2.5              L      (  - 2.2 units )
8-25  San Francisco + 6    W     ( + 2 units  )
 
8-26  Atlanta + 3  ( MNF )  W    ( + 7 units )
 
Week 3 :  2 - 4  ( - 2 units )
 
*************************************************************
Through 3 weeks >>>> 7-7 ( + 7.3 units )
3-0 on top plays
 
Captain
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Posted: #8
 
Week 4 >>>>
 
NY JETS + 2.5  ( 2 units )  
pending :
San Francisco + 3  ( 2 units )
 
( not looking good at all as SD is
leading 13-3 and looking for more )
SF has had some strong second halves , so we'll see...
 
I backed off from making NY  Jets my strongest play
as they had been my first choice.
 
I also didn't play the trends picks of Pittsburgh and New Orleans
both of which covered. >>>>>
 
 
So 1-1 would certainly be disappointing .
 
Regardless, there is one play I like on Friday where I will be looking to put 5 units if i go 1-1 , and 7 if I go 2-0
 
That play will be on the Bengals .
 
I have been on the correct side of Bengals games the three
weeks of preseason, and hope to make it four.
I treat this as my MNF play where I have been quite fortunate 
 over the years.
As we all know, there will not be NFL this weekend .
 
On the other game , I have a strong lean towards Atlanta
 
I will be back tomorrow with official play...
 
 
 
All-Star
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Posted: #9
 
Captain
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Posted: #10
Alright .....
 
Yesterday 1-0-1  ( + 2 units )
preseason 8-7-1  ( + 9.3 units )
 
 
 
Game :  Indianapolis @ Cincinnati
Pick : Cincinnati - 5  ( 8 units )
 
Note :
I am 3-0 on Cincinnati's games this preseason
and + 15 units ...looking to make it 4-0
 
 
 
All-Star
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Posted: #11
 
All-Star
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Posted: #12
GL Dude glad to see you back around this season...best NFL capper imo on this site!
 
Will follow you on the bengals tonight for a small play.
 
 
 
Veteran
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Posted: #13
roberto,
 
Thanks for all the info, I'll certainly be checking in with you all year.
One question for tonight:
Are you playing Cincy for 8 Units b/c you love the game that much OR - are you simply playing it large b/c it's the last pre-season game and you're guaranteed a non-losing preseason regardless of the outcome ( kinda like an all-in bet) ???????
 
GL
 
Captain
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Posted: #14
Sportsfanatic71 ..thanks
Pinnacle..good question ..deserves an answer
 
The answer to your question is both
I love the game ...and letting my winnings ride
 
A brief analysis of why I like Cincinnati  >>>>
 
Indianapolis is coming off a huge win last week @ home against  Detroit by the score of 37-10 ,
while Cincinnati lost @ Atlanta 19-24
 
Last time Indianapolis played on the road was week 1 of this preseason where they lost to a Dallas team 10-23
Indi was a 5.5 point underdog in that game .
 
The Colts play the regular season opener less than week away
on thursday against a dangerous NO Saints squad.
All the attention, preparation, and planning by the Colts is being concentrated on  the 2007 NFL season opener .
 
It is clear not only by Tony Dungy' statements , but also by his actions in the past , that the starters will not see any playing time
on this game .
 It means absolutely nothing at any level to the Colts as they prepare to play the Saints on a short week.
 
Cincinnati has lost all games this preseason and is on a 6 game losing streak counting the last 3 games they dropped at the end of last year to miss the playoffs.
 
There is a lot more reason for Marvin lewis to play some starters
and give them some confidence going into the first week of the regular season.
There is also the motivational incentive to perform well in front of their fans , and break the losing streak.
The starting offense of the Bengals also needs extra work.
 
Not the case for the Colts >>>
 
As the preview @ Covers states :
 
Two years ago, the Colts played only two starters - both on defense - in the final preseason game in Cincinnati.
Last year, they used only one starter - again, on defense - in their last tuneup game in Indianapolis.
Indianapolis lost last year's week 4 game against Cincinnati
20-3 and that was @ home.
The prior year on week 4  of the preseason , they weren't so fortunate as the Colts lost 38-0 to the Bengals on the road.
Oh and they were getting 5.5 points ...
 
Indianapolis lost all 5 of their games in preseason  last year
only to go on to win the Super Bowl .
 
This game @ Cincinnati means a great deal more to the Bengals than it does to the Colts.
 
It means more to the players , it means more to the coaches,
it means more to the fans.
 
For Cincinnati ...
winning the final week of preseason and winning it big against
the Super bowl champions regardless of who suits up and for how long is that extra motivation needed that makes this an excellent pick !
 
 
 
 
Prospect
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Posted: #15
GL on the same side as you!
 
Rookie
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Posted: #16
I'll follow on Cin. tonight.  Good Luck!
 
Captain
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Posted: #17
Thanks ....
 
Go  BENGALS   !!!!
 
 
 
Covers Rehab
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Posted: #18
Good Luck Roberto  
 
Captain
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Posted: #19
That's a wrap ....with a win...
 
 
updating record >>>
 
2007 NFL  preseason record :
 
Week 1 >>>>>
 
8-9    Cincinnati + 3        W  ( + 3 units )
8-11  Kansas City + 3    L    ( - 2.2 units )
8-13  Denver + 2.5            W  ( + 3 units )
8-13  Denver + 3               W  ( + 2 units )
 
Week 1 : 2 - 1     ( + 5.8 units )
**************************************************
 
Week 2  >>>>
 
8-17  Miami + 3                 W  ( + 2 units )
8-18  New Orleans + 3.5    W  ( +  3 units )
8-18  New Oleans  + 3       W  ( + 2 units )
8-18  Denver + 3.5           L     ( - 2.2 units )
8-19  NY  Giants + 3.5        W  (+  2 units )
8-20 Indi Colts + 2           L      ( - 3.3 units ) ***
 
Week 2 : 3 - 2  (  + 3.5  units )
*********************************************************
 
Week 3 >>>>
 
8-23  Green bay + 3         L      ( - 3.3  units )
8-24   Carolina - 1.5         L      ( -  2.2 units )
8-25  Miami + 2                L      ( - 3.3 units )
8-25  Dallas - 2.5              L      (  - 2.2 units )
8-25  San Francisco + 6    W     ( + 2 units  )
 
8-26  Atlanta + 3  ( MNF )  W    ( + 7 units )
 
Week 3 :  2 - 4  ( - 2 units )
***********************************************************
 
 
Captain
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Posted: #20
Week 4 >>>
 
 
8-29  NY Jets + 2.5         W ( + 2 units )
8-29  San Francisco + 3   P  ( even )
 
8-30  Cincinnati - 5          W   ( + 8 units )
 
week 4 : 2-0-1  (  + 10 units )
 
*********************************************************
 
Preseason record : 9-7-1  ( + 17.3 units )
 
Top Plays :  4-0
 
 
 
 
 
Veteran
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Posted: #21
well done Roberto
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