!!!!! NFL Week 6 !!!!!

8-3-1 ytd +73 units...

2-1 POD's +15 units...

3-2 last week netting +14 units. Last weeks thread posted below:

https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=21&sub=101150802&page=1

Going to get some action early this week. Be back shortly as I hope to keep this 73% going...

Nice job odds, keep up the good capping, ff.

1 play so far:

Cleveland @ Oakland under 44.5 for 20 units... 44, 46, 33 & 44 are the final tally's of were the number ended up in Cleveland Brown games thus far. Here's where those game's were set @ in the same order 34.5, 39.5, 41.5 & 37.5. So now we have a total set @ 44.5 which is currently the highest number a Brown 's game has yet to see this season. It should be noted that the Raider;s defense is currently allowing in excess of 400+ypg but it should also be noted that the Brown;s offense is averaging 321ypg and just 18.5ppg. With the Brown's rushing attack being virtually non-existent this season I can't see how the Raider's defense will struggle @ home this week after playing against strong offense teams thus far. Below are the Raiders opponents this season and their offensive averages and ranks:

#8 Houston @ 398ypg

#1 New England @ 495ypg

#28 New York Jet's @ 297ypg

#11 Buffalo @ 380ypg

Yet now the struggling offense of the Cleveland Brown's are strolling into town who just happen to play solid defense holding opponents to just 320pg in 4 contests this season and keeping teams below 200ypg in the air. I really like this play a lot this weeken...POD

2nd play is:

Detroit -4.5 for 20 units... It's called riding them until the wheels fall off...

Lean list:

Jax +13

Rams +15

Bills/Giants over 50... I think the new median this year for totals is 50...WTF...

Atlanta -3.5

Bengals -7

Ravens -7

Browns +6

Vikings +3

Jet's -7

Unders will roll this week after the books adjust... I like your CLE under play.

Just play the RAIDERS - the points.....It's Al Davis day in the Bay.........

The Raider's just blew their wad in their last game for Al Davis in a game against the Texan's in which the Texan's outgained the Raider's with 473 yards of offense to teh Raider's 278 yards of offense. How ever they won that game. They can have Al Davis day all day in Oakland but the fact still remains they have issues as a footbal team. I am seriously thinking about snagging the 6pts with the Browns in this game but I would like to see where the number goes from here..

Let's just hope the refs get the memo this week!!!

Sorry, Raiders win big at HOME for Al Davis.....31-7.............

It couldn't be set up any better. A horrible Browns team traveling to the west coast after an early bye week....What exactly is the Brown's motivation? They are not a very good team and the Raiders have possibly the best RB in the league....What's not to like?

For me there is lots to not like about the Raider's laying almost a TD @ home. In the past 3 years the Raider's have been favored in just 5 of their past 18 home games. They only covered that number 2 time's: Last season vs Denver & Seattle. 2 years ago they were favored in just 1 game while last season they were favored in 4 game's. So they are quitely moving up the list of improving with the book's. I just can't see this Raider's team worth betting on yet laying this kind of chalk against anyone in the NFL at this time. I say that because what have the Raider's really done to improve their team from last year to this year? My answer is not too damn much. Everything looks to be the same to me as their was no improvement @ wr, their o-line actually got worse IMO. Their defense definetly got worse and it's showing in their number's thus far (even though they have played top offense's). Cleveland has actually played pretty good defense so far this season up to this point only allowing 320ypg. Sure the Raider's have the X factor in this game in their RB Darren McFadden however with the Raider's were only able to muster up just 184 yards in the air in their last game vs the Texan's who finished dead last the previous season against the pass. That is alarming to me seein that the Raider's only gained 94 yards on the ground in that same game as they needed TO's and breaks to squeek out that emotional win. I haven't yet placed a bet on either side in this game but in no way shape or form will I be rushing to any ticket window to place a wager on the Raider's laying 6 pt's following a super emotional win. Especially since they shouldn't be laying 6pts IMO to begin with.

Well in reponse to this I would say that you are way overvauling travel in a profesional league in which just 1 game per week is played per team. Not too mention you just controdicted yourself by following up with the Brown's coming off of a bye week...

Maybe we can give Mike Holgren a call and see if he is still interested in winning football games from week to week. I'm guessing he still is.

Ok I get it. Al Davis was someone you liked. That final score will wet my whistle just fine for the under...

Updated card:

Cleveland @ Oakland under 44.5 for 20 units...

Detroit -4.5 for 20 units...

Jacksonville @ Pittsburgh under 40 for 20 units...

May add more later...

GL BRO!*!*!*!*!*!*!

GL

Adding:

San Francisco @ Detroit under 46.5 for 20 units... I think I found another hidden gem here with these 2 solid defense's about to square off in a game with a number that give's me comfort to play the under. 46 just seems a bit high for a game...

Adding:

Indy @ Cincy 2nd half under 20 (-120) for 10 units...

Adding:

Carolina @ Atlanta 2nd half over 24 (-115) for 10 units...

Adding:

Dallas +7.5 (-125) for 20 units...

anything worthwhile tonight?