18-9-1 ytd +184 units...4-1 POD's +75 units...5-3 last week netting+66 units as I nailed my largest wager of the season thus far with the Monday night under...Here's last weeks thread below as always:https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=21&sub=101158739&page=1I looked like it could have been a scary week with Tebow and the Bronco's throwing the moose my way in the Dolphin game but I rebounded nicely finishing out the NFL on a 5-0 run that netted +110 units....Going to start looking over the card and be back shortly. Good luck this week everyone...

All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

!!!! NFL Week 8 !!!!

...

Participants:

Posts: 43

oddsbuster

Banned

Joined: Oct, 2006

Posts: 20924

Posted: Oct. 26, 2011 - 4:24 PM ET #1

18-9-1 ytd +184 units...

4-1 POD's +75 units...

5-3 last week netting+66 units as I nailed my largest wager of the season thus far with the Monday night under...

Here's last weeks thread below as always:

https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=21&sub=101158739&page=1

I looked like it could have been a scary week with Tebow and the Bronco's throwing the moose my way in the Dolphin game but I rebounded nicely finishing out the NFL on a 5-0 run that netted +110 units....

Going to start looking over the card and be back shortly. Good luck this week everyone...

oddsbuster

Banned

Joined: Oct, 2006

Posts: 20924

Posted: Oct. 26, 2011 - 4:51 PM ET #2

Lean list:

Detroit @ Denver under 43... Tim Tebow proved that for 3+ qtr's last week that the transition from Orton to Tebow was not going to be an immediate success. It's not going to get easier for him this week with one of the best D-Line's in football strolling into town. It's also a good thing the Lion's have a serious running back situation to go along with an injured QB as the Lion's offensive line continue's to let Stafford get slammed to the ground time and time again...

New England @ Pittsburgh under 51.5....

Cincy @ Seattle under 38... Seattle is struggling. It's not going to get any easier this week vs the Bengals...

Cleveland +9.5 & under 38.5... The 49er's are overachieving right now and this is a lot of point's...

Minny @ Carolina over 48...

Philly -3... Heavy lean....

oddsbuster

Banned

Joined: Oct, 2006

Posts: 20924

Posted: Oct. 26, 2011 - 5:23 PM ET #3

1st play is:

Detroit @ Denver under 43 for 20 units... The Lion's offensive line has been consistently getting beat lately with most of the blame to be put on the tackle's ( one specifically Jeff Backus). There has been clearly evidence of that with Stafford getting knocked around time and time again. He's one blind sided hit away from getting knocked out for the season just like what happened last season. The bottom line here is if the Lion's don't have time to throw the ball then how do they move the ball because they have tried running the ball and it's just not working. The Lion's have gained just 573 yards of offense in their past 2 games however their defense line continue's to keep them in every game. Tim Tebow should get a heavy dose of that staggering defensive line this week as I expect him to be running for his life most of this game. Tebow proved us all last week that it was more than possible to struggle as he did for 3+ qtr's before pulling off a miracle win last week late in the 4th qtr. Sign me up for another under wager...

poolman11

Banned

Joined: Jan, 2011

Posts: 16326

Posted: Oct. 26, 2011 - 5:28 PM ET #4

CHEERS BROTHER

mtbaker

All-Star

Joined: Jun, 2010

Posts: 10063

Posted: Oct. 26, 2011 - 5:33 PM ET #5

hey Kemp- I'm really likin the Steelers Under and Eagles this upcoming week

oddsbuster

Banned

Joined: Oct, 2006

Posts: 20924

Posted: Oct. 26, 2011 - 5:40 PM ET #6

Quote Originally Posted by mtbaker:

hey Kemp- I'm really likin the Steelers Under and Eagles this upcoming week

Can't touch the Steeler's. Although I do ponder the under in that game. However feeling's are growing stronger by the minute on Philly...

oddsbuster

Banned

Joined: Oct, 2006

Posts: 20924

Posted: Oct. 26, 2011 - 5:40 PM ET #7

You can add the Jaguar's +9.5 to the lean list.

oddsbuster

Banned

Joined: Oct, 2006

Posts: 20924

Posted: Oct. 27, 2011 - 4:25 PM ET #8

2nd pay is:

N.Y. Giants -9.5 for 20 units... Here's something that should be mind boggling for us all. What do Tom Brady, Aaron Rodgers, Drew Brees & Eli Manning all have in common this season? They are the only 4 QB's with over 100+ QB rating. Kind of weird mentioning Eli's name with those other 3 as it just doesn't seem right. Albeit it is a fact and majorly due to Eli having lots of talent around him on offense to boost this sort of status. The Bottom line here is the Dolphin's are strolling into town and have to be about as flat as flat can be after they had their win last week stolen from them by Tim Tebow and company in the last minutes of the game. This Dolphin team seems to be losing a QB each week we advance and frankly I just don't see how they can stay in this game any longer than Sammy11 did here in the covers forums. I feel very confident laying this kind of chalk in this situation with New York @ home...

POD

kaboom03

Prospect

Joined: Oct, 2011

Posts: 46

Posted: Oct. 27, 2011 - 5:40 PM ET #9

Love the NYG pick! Think that one should be easy money this week! But, do the Lions really have 3 bad weeks in a row? I have a feeling they bounce back for a Huge win this week against a week Denver team! As long as Det QB starts this week. Going to wait for more info on whether he starts for sure or not after getting beat up all last week. I think Det could hang 30+ on Denver. That doesn't leave much room to cover Under. Just an opinion. But BOL to you.

seattleseahawks

Rookie

Joined: Sep, 2007

Posts: 619

Posted: Oct. 27, 2011 - 9:56 PM ET #10

oddsbuster

Banned

Joined: Oct, 2006

Posts: 20924

Posted: Oct. 27, 2011 - 10:13 PM ET #11

Quote Originally Posted by kaboom03:

Love the NYG pick! Think that one should be easy money this week! But, do the Lions really have 3 bad weeks in a row? I have a feeling they bounce back for a Huge win this week against a week Denver team! As long as Det QB starts this week. Going to wait for more info on whether he starts for sure or not after getting beat up all last week. I think Det could hang 30+ on Denver. That doesn't leave much room to cover Under. Just an opinion. But BOL to you.

No way, not with out a run game and that shitty offensive line. Things are starting to play out now and the Lions have been exposed in many area's on offense the past few weeks. They may win but they don'w come close to dropping 30. Matt Stafford and Shaun Hill both took snaps in practice today. Shaun Hill has been brought up many times this week on many talk shows in Detroit. Though all other reports point to Stafford being healthy enough to start. Looks to me like the Lions are just trying to warm up Hill just in case Stafford goes down again. Hill is way more mobile and actually might be a spark right now as the Lion's offense line is given the slow moving pocket passer absolutely no time to pass the rock...

BigUnit

MVP

Joined: Sep, 2008

Posts: 19509

Posted: Oct. 27, 2011 - 10:25 PM ET #12

Quote Originally Posted by oddsbuster:

No way, not with out a run game and that shitty offensive line. Things are starting to play out now and the Lions have been exposed in many area's on offense the past few weeks. They may win but they don'w come close to dropping 30. Matt Stafford and Shaun Hill both took snaps in practice today. Shaun Hill has been brought up many times this week on many talk shows in Detroit. Though all other reports point to Stafford being healthy enough to start. Looks to me like the Lions are just trying to warm up Hill just in case Stafford goes down again. Hill is way more mobile and actually might be a spark right now as the Lion's offense line is given the slow moving pocket passer absolutely no time to pass the rock...

Falcons and 49ers were different animals. Detroit will cover here.

oddsbuster

Banned

Joined: Oct, 2006

Posts: 20924

Posted: Oct. 27, 2011 - 10:32 PM ET #13

Quote Originally Posted by BigUnit:

Falcons and 49ers were different animals. Detroit will cover here.

I'm not saying they won't. Just saying I think it's more than likely Detroit struggle's for the most part in this game. I would love to here some reasoning beside's your different animal concept though. Even though you feel i'm annoying...

oddsbuster

Banned

Joined: Oct, 2006

Posts: 20924

Posted: Oct. 27, 2011 - 10:34 PM ET #14

Quote Originally Posted by oddsbuster:

I'm not saying they won't. Just saying I think it's more than likely Detroit struggle's for the most part in this game. I would love to here some reasoning beside's your different animal concept though. Even though you feel i'm annoying...

I also would like to not see another bailout Monday losers thread this week from you. Time for you to not need a bailout game...

keven vanlith

Veteran

Joined: Jun, 2003

Posts: 2081

Posted: Oct. 27, 2011 - 11:51 PM ET #15

Love the giants

You talked about how the front 4 of the lions will get after tebow (thats true, but who better to nullify a good pass rush than a very moble QB, love the broncos in this spot but thats another story) with jason tuck back this week for the giants, adding to an already fantastic pass rush, the dolphin offence will be smothered, before it has a chance to breath.

oddsbuster

Banned

Joined: Oct, 2006

Posts: 20924

Posted: Oct. 28, 2011 - 12:07 AM ET #16

Quote Originally Posted by keven vanlith:

Love the giants

You talked about how the front 4 of the lions will get after tebow (thats true, but who better to nullify a good pass rush than a very moble QB, love the broncos in this spot but thats another story) with jason tuck back this week for the giants, adding to an already fantastic pass rush, the dolphin offence will be smothered, before it has a chance to breath.

A very mobile QB with a very low completion % of just 49%. Make's good for moving the chains here and there but failing when relied upon to throw (only time will tell)...

Not putting much stock into Justin Tuck returning this week. Sure it could give them a boost. But I would be on the Giants this week with or without Tuck. The Giant's should be able to win this game by DD with offense alone this week. A defense that shows up would just be a plus...

BOL on your wagers this week Keven...

alecboyh

Veteran

Joined: Apr, 2008

Posts: 4842

Posted: Oct. 28, 2011 - 11:47 AM ET #17

Quote Originally Posted by oddsbuster:

2nd pay is:

POD

AGREE!! ITS MY POW!!! GL DUDE!!!

BigLionsFan

Prospect

Joined: Sep, 2011

Posts: 151

Posted: Oct. 28, 2011 - 12:15 PM ET #18

Like the Giants pick. GL

As for the Lions, I just wanted to point out that everyone keeps referencing the Lions bad run game. I agree it's not great, but I would argue that it's not as bad as people make it out to be. Last week the Lions averaged 5 ypc. The problem with this team lately has been Stafford. The line has given up some pressure, but Stafford's also run into pressure on his own. He has happy feet back their the last 3 weeks and it's caused him to miss many throws. I believe he gets back on track this week and I too can see 30 points coming from Detroit.

oddsbuster

Banned

Joined: Oct, 2006

Posts: 20924

Posted: Oct. 28, 2011 - 6:06 PM ET #19

Quote Originally Posted by BigLionsFan:

Like the Giants pick. GL

As for the Lions, I just wanted to point out that everyone keeps referencing the Lions bad run game. I agree it's not great, but I would argue that it's not as bad as people make it out to be. Last week the Lions averaged 5 ypc. The problem with this team lately has been Stafford. The line has given up some pressure, but Stafford's also run into pressure on his own. He has happy feet back their the last 3 weeks and it's caused him to miss many throws. I believe he gets back on track this week and I too can see 30 points coming from Detroit.

This word is starting to get old here in Detroit. What do we have to do to rid of this word? My thought's would be shit canning 2 of those guys left on that line that have been here before the Joey Harrington days (Backus & Raiola). At least Shaun Hill would have a fighting chance as he can escape the pocket to throw a pass. You gotta admit the irony here with this term still lingering around in Detroit. You take a look at the O-Line and the 2 biggest names on their are still here for beyond a decade now. Why? Hell they even got ridiculous extensions...

oddsbuster

Banned

Joined: Oct, 2006

Posts: 20924

Posted: Oct. 28, 2011 - 6:18 PM ET #20

Quote Originally Posted by BigLionsFan:

Like the Giants pick. GL

As for the Lions, I just wanted to point out that everyone keeps referencing the Lions bad run game. I agree it's not great, but I would argue that it's not as bad as people make it out to be. Last week the Lions averaged 5 ypc. The problem with this team lately has been Stafford. The line has given up some pressure, but Stafford's also run into pressure on his own. He has happy feet back their the last 3 weeks and it's caused him to miss many throws. I believe he gets back on track this week and I too can see 30 points coming from Detroit.

Not something I would get to excited about for a running game IMO. I want to see them be able to rely on it when needed, and that's just not the case. The Lions have the leagues 26th ranked rushing offense with 649 total yards on the ground on 159 carries for an average barely over 4ypc. Not exactly number's i'm happy of after 7 games....