Sam Bennett Picks, Predictions & Best Bets for Oilers vs Panthers Game 3

Sam Bennett is playing himself into contention for the Conn Smythe Trophy, and his unwavering confidence will lead to more shot attempts.

Tony Sartori - Contributor at Covers.com
Tony Sartori • Betting Analyst
Jun 9, 2025 • 10:16 ET • 4 min read
Sam Bennett Florida Panthers NHL
Photo By - Imagn Images. Bennett in NHL action.

The Stanley Cup Final heads to Sunrise as the Florida Panthers host the Edmonton Oilers in Game 3 at Amerant Bank Arena.

Florida forward Sam Bennett is one of the leading candidates for the Conn Smythe Trophy, and for good reason. He leads all skaters this postseason with 13 goals, a result of his willingness to shoot the puck.

Let’s take a look at the best way to target Sam Bennett's odds in my NHL picks for June 9.

Sam Bennett player prop picks

  • Best bet
    o2.5 shots
    (-155)

  • SGP pick
    Bennett o2.5 shots
    Tkachuk o2.5 shots
    Panthers ML
    (+425)

Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

Sam Bennett best bet

Over 2.5 shots (-155 at BET99)

Bennett has been firing the puck at will, which has fueled his scoring outburst this postseason. He leads the Florida Panthers in shot attempts per 60 minutes, with many of those hitting the net.

Subsequently, Bennett also leads the team in shots on goal per 60 minutes. While it remains to be seen whether these shots will continue to get past goaltender Stuart Skinner, they're likely to keep coming.

Benny has recorded five or more shots in two of the past three games, averaging four per outing over that stretch. This has also been a competitive series, with three overtimes through the first two games. Another extended meeting would certainly benefit this pick.

Even if Game 3 doesn’t go to overtime, Edmonton surrendered 30 shots on net in regulation on Friday.

Sam Bennett same-game parlay

Sam Bennett Over 2.5 shots

Matthew Tkachuk Over 2.5 shots

Panthers moneyline

Bennett’s linemate, Matthew Tkachuk, is also a good candidate to target in the same market. If their line controls possession while on the ice, both could rack up shots quickly.

Like Bennett, Tkachuk hasn’t hesitated to shoot the puck this postseason, ranking fifth on the Panthers in shot attempts per 60 minutes.

Many of those attempts haven’t hit the net due to factors like blocks and misses, presenting a good buy-low opportunity for Tkachuk, who will keep shooting and should eventually see more of those pucks reach Skinner.

Sticking with the trend of Bennett’s line controlling play, Florida will continue to spend more time in the offensive zone and punish the Oilers.

Goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky is also a safer candidate to back than Skinner in a matchup between two otherwise closely matched teams.

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Tony Sartori - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Tony Sartori has written over 1,000 pieces of sports betting content across multiple different media outlets. He covers the NHL, UFC, PGA, NFL and MLB. Tony started part-time while attending the University of Wisconsin-Madison, where he went on to receive a B.A. in Economics and a certificate in Entrepreneurship in 2022. He continues to work full-time in the sports betting landscape.

Due to the variety of sports he covers, Tony is handicapping every day. If he had one piece of betting advice for a new sports bettor, it would be to strictly enforce bankroll management rules for yourself. If you set aside $10,000 for your betting bankroll, then you should generally only be betting between $100 - $500 per play.

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