NHL Player Props & Best Bets for Today, March 21: Shots Galore!

Todd Cordell - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Todd Cordell • Betting Analyst 12+ years betting experience
Updated: Mar 21, 2026 , 09:58 AM ET • 4 min read

Check out Todd Cordell's Daily NHL player prop picks, including a big shooting night for Pavel Buchnevich against the Canucks!

Pavel Buchnevich of the St. Louis Blues NHL
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Pavel Buchnevich of the St. Louis Blues NHL

Will Smith is enjoying a terrific offensive campaign for the San Jose Sharks, already equalling his rookie point total in 20 fewer games.

He’s in a prime position to hit the scoresheet riding shotgun with Macklin Celebrini, which is why he headlines my three NHL player props and NHL picks for Saturday, March 21.


Best NHL player prop bets today

Player Bet99
Kings Kempe Over 2.5 shots -155
Sharks Smith Over 0.5 points  -125
Blues Buchnevich Over 1.5 shots -145

Get a first bet encore up to $800 with the BET99 promo code COVERSNHLGet a first bet encore up to $800 with BET99 bonus code COVERSNHL.
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Our best NHL player props for Saturday, March 21

Take a look at our best bets and expert analysis below.

Prop #1: Adrian Kempe Over 2.5 shots

-155 at BET99

Adrian Kempe has greatly benefited from the arrival of Artemi Panarin, one of the most dynamic playmakers in the sport.

He has averaged 3.2 shots on goal per game and cleared 2.5 shots in nine of 12 games with Panarin by his side, including seven of eight at home.

The Buffalo Sabres rank 26th in shots allowed and play a fast brand of hockey, creating a great game environment for Kempe to shoot.

  • Time: 4:00 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: SN+, ESPN+

Prop #2: Will Smith Over 0.5 points

-125 at BET99

Will Smith has points in 56% of his games and 64% when playing on home soil. Those are already strong numbers that go through the roof when isolating games against Bottom-10 teams in points allowed to his position.

Smith has hit the scoresheet in 11 of 14 that fit the criteria, averaging a whopping 1.5 points along the way.

He is projected to ride shotgun with Macklin Celebrini on the top line, and he’s been incredibly productive when doing so. Smith has points in 16 of the last 21 games he played alongside Celebrini.

  • Time: 4:00 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: SN+, ESPN+

Prop #3: Pavel Buchnevich Over 1.5 shots

-145 at BET99

Pavel Buchnevich is a matchup-dependent shooter, and he has a very good one tonight against the Vancouver Canucks, who rank 27th in shots allowed.

Buchnevich has consistently cleared 1.5 shots in these kinds of matchups, going Over in 16 of 21 games (76%) against Bottom-10 shot suppression teams.

His numbers are even better on the road, where Robert Thomas and his line generally draw the toughest matchups. Buchnevich has multiple shots in 83% of his away games vs. Bottom-10 teams in shots allowed.

  • Time: 7:00 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: SN+, ESPN+

These props are available now at BET99, one of our best betting sites.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Todd Cordell - Covers
Betting Analyst

Todd Cordell is a data-driven betting analyst. He uses numbers to help identify value across a wide variety of sports, with NHL being his specialty. Shot props, in particular, have proven to be a very fruitful market. Todd has served as a betting analyst in the public sphere for many years, most recently with theScore covering the NHL and MLB.

When not writing about sports betting, Todd stays busy analyzing the New Jersey Devils with a fine-tooth comb for InfernalAccess, his Devils-centric blog. Todd attended Sheridan College and graduated in 2014 with a diploma in print journalism.

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